grhqofb5 Posted Friday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:04 PM 3 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: It's just one page back. Here it is again for anyone who missed it. Hope we don't have anyone freak out in Loudoun County/Leesburg area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:06 PM EPS is solid. 5-6” metros and vicinity. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Friday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:07 PM 4 minutes ago, Heisy said: Yep, I had a feeling it was going to head this way after the 6z euro Ai run. Yesterday I was starting to feel potential high end SECS event now it’s looking like another 2-4”er . I guess for up in Philly you might wanna wave the white flag and go 2-4. I don't see why DC and Baltimore should do this at this juncture.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 06:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:07 PM 5 minutes ago, Kmlwx said: I mean how about 0 inches? Would that be better? Just sayin'! 3-6" (or less if the trend continues) immediately washed away kinda feels like 0 inches to me. I mean it will be a nice add to the totals, though! But ya really won't have time to enjoy it even as scenery because of the rain in that scenario. Hoping the lead wave prevails! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Friday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:10 PM 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS is solid. 5-6” metros and vicinity. Yeah definitely decent. It’s a little more south/dry but it’s hard to complain when the mean is 5” for most in the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 06:12 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:12 PM 1 minute ago, T. August said: Yeah definitely decent. It’s a little more south/dry but it’s hard to complain when the mean is 5” for most in the forum. South and dry may not be what we wanna see though...could be the start of a trend. We'll see... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Friday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:14 PM Just now, Maestrobjwa said: South and dry may not be what we wanna see though...could be the start of a trend. We'll see... I hear you but the eps was a little too amped for a lot of people at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Friday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:14 PM Looks like flooding is the biggest threat over the next 10 days. We need it. 1 3 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Friday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:19 PM 4 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Looks like flooding is the biggest threat over the next 10 days. We need it. Yeah big parade of rainers after Tuesday. I'm hoping we can have one more nice threat window towards the last week of February before we wave the white flag in the metros. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted Friday at 06:21 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:21 PM EPS 12Z yesterday, 00Z last night, 12Z today. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted Friday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:27 PM Have you guys looked at the German model? It’s phenomenal! Gives my backyard 12oz of pilsner. PS—Anyone in DC today and need a beer? I’m working remote today from Other Half Brewing. It’s a rough life, but someone has to do it! 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:31 PM 9 minutes ago, WVclimo said: EPS 12Z yesterday, 00Z last night, 12Z today. Pretty clear de-amplification trend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 06:32 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:32 PM 3 minutes ago, Scraff said: Have you guys looked at the German model? It’s phenomenal! Gives my backyard 12oz of pilsner. PS—Anyone in DC today and need a beer? I’m working remote today from Other Half Brewing. It’s a rough life, but someone has to do it! Ah! You are only a mile or so away. Been there a few times and they’ve got a lot of awesome options. Remote work has ended, but very jealous of your day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted Friday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:34 PM Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Ah! You are only a mile or so away. Been there a few times and they’ve got a lot of awesome options. Remote work has ended, but very jealous of your day. Swing by!! I’ll treat!! I’ve got an hour and 45 on the meter. And sorry for the banter in here. Back to our storm now… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Friday at 06:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:40 PM 9 minutes ago, WVclimo said: EPS 12Z yesterday, 00Z last night, 12Z today. Yeah can’t deny the shift south but looking at the individual members, they look great. I still think 8-10” is the ceiling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Friday at 06:48 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:48 PM I’m totally fine with the south shift as long as the Tue wave maintains enough strength to give us decent qpf. The danger now is that it weakens so much that it becomes a non event, or an advisory for RIC, then the storm after pushes thermals north of us. It’s still unlikely, but not impossible. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 06:50 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 06:50 PM 15 minutes ago, Scraff said: Swing by!! I’ll treat!! I’ve got an hour and 45 on the meter. And sorry for the banter in here. Back to our storm now… Man gots money. See you soon. And as we all know, I can drink. Set up the second mortgage for the bill while I'm on my way. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Friday at 07:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:08 PM AI cut back again some on qpf. Maybe .1"? That's a guess. Storm 2 probably starts as some snow then changes over. Should stay pretty cold on the surface as it's a brief warmup. Other threats on Long Range thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:19 PM Just a thought. But people can feel how they want. We don’t all have to agree or want the same things. Every time someone says they like it don’t like a run we don’t need 5 posts telling them why they shouldn’t feel that way! I have been as big an offender at this as anyone. I will own that and I’m going to try to do better myself. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted Friday at 07:24 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:24 PM 31 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Man gots money. See you soon. And as we all know, I can drink. Set up the second mortgage for the bill while I'm on my way. 38 mins left on the meter. Hurry the F up! I’m old school and not using ParkMobile. So I can’t re-up just sitting here waiting for you. The free beer options are heading towards sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 07:31 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 07:31 PM 6 minutes ago, Scraff said: 38 mins left on the meter. Hurry the F up! I’m old school and not using ParkMobile. So I can’t re-up just sitting here waiting for you. The free beer options are heading towards sunset. Heh, I was joking man. I'm stuck at work. It's Friday, so I'm basically surfing the web. I've reached the end of the internet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Friday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:31 PM 9 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Just a thought. But people can feel how they want. We don’t all have to agree or want the same things. Every time someone says they like it don’t like a run we don’t need 5 posts telling them why they shouldn’t feel that way! I have been as big an offender at this as anyone. I will own that and I’m going to try to do better myself. True. We also don't need 50 doom posts with tearing of hair and gnashing of teeth from everyone who frets over every single change in every single model run or when some crazy 15" amount becomes 4-8". 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Friday at 07:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:34 PM 2 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said: True. We also don't need 50 doom posts with tearing of hair and gnashing of teeth from everyone who frets over every single change in every single model run or when some crazy 15" amount becomes 4-8". The doom posts only bother you if you let them. Is it better to have a thread full of posts telling people how to feel? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted Friday at 07:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:37 PM This place after every model run 2 1 23 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Friday at 08:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:08 PM Didn’t see anyone mention, but the 12z geps isn’t bad at all. A few tenths fall after this in northern areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Friday at 08:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:09 PM 1 hour ago, Scraff said: Have you guys looked at the German model? It’s phenomenal! Gives my backyard 12oz of pilsner. PS—Anyone in DC today and need a beer? I’m working remote today from Other Half Brewing. It’s a rough life, but someone has to do it! Meh...looks drier. You had a bigger glass at 00Z! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:42 PM Didn’t see anyone mention, but the 12z geps isn’t bad at all. A few tenths fall after this in northern areas.How is this not horrible? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Friday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:43 PM I’m totally fine with the south shift as long as the Tue wave maintains enough strength to give us decent qpf. The danger now is that it weakens so much that it becomes a non event, or an advisory for RIC, then the storm after pushes thermals north of us. It’s still unlikely, but not impossible. Non event? What model shows a non event ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 08:44 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 08:44 PM Just now, Ji said: How is this not horrible? Because it’s accumulating snow. We don’t tend to do that well around here. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Friday at 09:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:05 PM 20 minutes ago, Ji said: How is this not horrible? Idk man a 3-5” mean is decent. Unfortunately the gfs op is still one of the snowiest out there, even including individual ens members. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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