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February 11-12; 12-13: Are they real??


stormtracker
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Earlier in the season, models had an army of >1030mb High pressures going from the Midwest to the Northeast from this range or maybe a few days further out... that ended up breaking down and it rained up to Canada with low pressure there instead lol. I'm not saying that's going to happen here.. the EPO is very negative, which correlates high pressure exactly there, and I don't think the EPO was negative early in the season.. but it's something to keep in mind. High pressure in SE Canada/Great Lakes has been a phantom pattern lately, happening only rarely. Will be interesting to see if this maybe trends a little north. 

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9 minutes ago, Ji said:

Are we just going to ignore the 20 to our south?

With High pressure to the north too. It's been rare to have that. In the 1960s it used to happen a lot, but not lately.  I'm interested to see if that could lead to big model changes as we get closer.  Anyone know when is the last time we had 1030mb High pressure to the NW of a winter storm? 

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14 minutes ago, Ji said:

Are we just going to ignore the 20 to our south?

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk
 

It’s still in windshield wiper mode- not unusual at this point. North and south shift. Yesterday it looked like the frozen line was moving north, but I think it’s a good sign that the GFS and Euro moved south and that they are getting closer to each other. NWS has been alluding to the I-66 and 50 corridors as the bullseye.  We are 4 days out at this point. 

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