nw baltimore wx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 To me, the gfs aligns well with the original watches from LWX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Heavy snow DC metro at 60 on 12z gfs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:50 PM, yoda said: Heavy snow DC metro at 60 on 12z gfs Expand Moves into MD at 63... DCA changes to rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:45 PM, stormtracker said: lol, it's like 30 miles. Good stuff comes close to sunset it appears. Expand I would’ve rather it gone 30 miles in the other direction and taken us from 8” to 10” rather then from 8” to 6.5”, but doesn’t matter much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:50 PM, yoda said: Heavy snow DC metro at 60 on 12z gfs Expand What map are you looking at? Serious question. I don't see heavy, but it does start as soon and goes over to rain for fall line s and e at 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:52 PM, stormtracker said: What map are you looking at? Serious question. I don't see heavy, but it does start as soon and goes over to rain for fall line s and e at 63 Expand PW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 That thump with round 2 on the GFS is legit. Heavy snow/sleet west of the BR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:52 PM, NorthArlington101 said: I would’ve rather it gone 30 miles in the other direction and taken us from 8” to 10” rather then from 8” to 6.5”, but doesn’t matter much Expand Same, but I think we're locked in at this point to a southern jack. NAMs have us jacking, but it's the NAM. Probably should have used a better word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:52 PM, stormtracker said: What map are you looking at? Serious question. I don't see heavy, but it does start as soon and goes over to rain for fall line s and e at 63 Expand 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Dryslot comes charging through/precipitation ends just after 66 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z GFS definitely took a little step back with the snow totals on the northern end and dropped the max stripe in VA a little further south. Not the trend was hoping to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:58 PM, WVsnowlover said: 12z GFS definitely took a little step back with the snow totals on the northern end and dropped the max stripe in VA a little further south. Not the trend was hoping to see. Expand 7 inches in baltimore is fine with me lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I don't like how the gfs says says that I get there, but I'd be ecstatic with 7" of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:59 PM, winter_warlock said: 7 inches in baltimore is fine with me lol Expand Not when short pump is jacking with 11"! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I’m not believing in this Wednesday evening snow until I see some other guidance show it 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:00 PM, mdhokie said: Not when short pump is jacking with 11"! Expand Yeah but if u look at the model it shows rain down there also so I think that 11 inches is wayy overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:58 PM, WVsnowlover said: 12z GFS definitely took a little step back with the snow totals on the northern end and dropped the max stripe in VA a little further south. Not the trend was hoping to see. Expand Not sure that is a trend. More of a wobble. I still like that stripe to come a little north at game time. But splitting hairs at this point. We will know in about 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:00 PM, WxUSAF said: I’m not believing in this Wednesday evening snow until I see some other guidance show it Expand Me too, but I do like the synoptic's of how hard it might thump if it is snow. I'd definitely favor areas around me farther NW for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:04 PM, winter_warlock said: Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol Expand That’s part 2 - round 1 they get hit hard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Northern folks' happiness this week may depend on round 2 giving us a thump before the dry slot/snizzle. GFS continues to show pretty much exactly that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:05 PM, T. August said: That’s part 2 - round 1 they get hit hard. Expand Exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:06 PM, paxpatriot said: Northern folks' happiness this week may depend on round 2 giving us a thump before the dry slot/snizzle. GFS continues to show pretty much exactly that. Expand agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:04 PM, winter_warlock said: Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol Expand The first map is from part 2. They get their good snow from part 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:04 PM, winter_warlock said: Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol Expand You're looking at the Wednesday event. All of their snow falls on Tuesday and overnight. Yes, it's still overdone but this doesn't show that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:02 PM, SnowGolfBro said: Not sure that is a trend. More of a wobble. I still like that stripe to come a little north at game time. But splitting hairs at this point. We will know in about 24 hours Expand The precipitation distribution wobbled back to what it looked like in the 00 UTC run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:04 PM, winter_warlock said: Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol Expand In order to be accurate you have to show or look at the simulated radar throughout Tuesday til the changeover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:00 PM, WxUSAF said: I’m not believing in this Wednesday evening snow until I see some other guidance show it Expand Well, looks like GGEM maybe has 1” north of DC Wednesday afternoon/evening? More for mountains. GGEM has a brutal gradient north of DC for precip tomorrow though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:08 PM, WxUSAF said: Well, looks like GGEM maybe has 1” north of DC Wednesday afternoon/evening? More for mountains. GGEM has a brutal gradient north of DC for precip tomorrow though. Expand When you say north of DC roughly what's the line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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