yoda Posted Monday at 02:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:14 PM System winding down at 42 but still snowing across the region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Monday at 02:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:15 PM Looks similar to 6z with the distribution. Wetter down around DC though. Not sure how much of a difference it made north of bmore yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Monday at 02:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:15 PM 10+ on 10-1 on that run in DC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:16 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:16 PM Still snowing lightly at 45 on 12z NAM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:17 PM 2 minutes ago, T. August said: Looks similar to 6z with the distribution. Wetter down around DC though. Not sure how much of a difference it made north of bmore yet. 0.75 QPF around BWI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Monday at 02:17 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:17 PM All of the models seem stubborn in their placement of the heavy accumulations the edges are definitely defined now i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Monday at 02:18 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:18 PM Just now, yoda said: 0.75 QPF around BWI Yeah north of there looks like +.1” precip from the 6z run, so definitely better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:19 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:19 PM 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Monday at 02:20 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:20 PM 3K is about the same for DC but improved a bit for the northern crew. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 02:21 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 02:21 PM 13 minutes ago, Terpeast said: First and probably final call unless things change dramatically. Last time I was too bullish, so this time I'm being conservative. NAM laughs at this. Too bad it’s the NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted Monday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:21 PM 3k has snow arriving in DC at 2pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:21 PM 12z NAM Kuchera through 48 12z NAM 10:1 though 48 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Monday at 02:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:22 PM NAM parent vs. nest timing is still the difference between whether Maryland schools can open tomorrow (and dismiss early) or have to be closed for the day. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Monday at 02:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:22 PM Unlike previous events this winter, the NAM has juiced up as we're closing. Plus it's falling at night. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Monday at 02:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:23 PM 1 minute ago, yoda said: 12z NAM Kuchera through 48 12z NAM 10:1 though 48 So basically the NAM is overdone as usual? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Monday at 02:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:23 PM Nam and gfs seem on an island with the 0.5” precip line right on or near Frederick. The other models have it more towards dc and south. Regardless, looks like a 2-4” minor event is likely. Next interesting thing to track will be temps leading in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Monday at 02:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:23 PM 20 minutes ago, Interstate said: I think you are confused. Go reread. I said that 5-7 is south of Baltimore, and in the latest post I said that north of Baltimore is under 5 inches. I just fixed the original post of the user saying south of the M/D line was 5-7. I think you’re confused like usual. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Monday at 02:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:23 PM 1 minute ago, yoda said: 12z NAM Kuchera through 48 12z NAM 10:1 though 48 Man i wish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted Monday at 02:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:23 PM 3K NAM with a general 4-8 N-S is more realistic than the the regular NAM 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EstorilM Posted Monday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:24 PM 25 minutes ago, hstorm said: Pre-storm obs: Brine trucks out in force on Georgetown Pike. LOL I used to live off that road, closer to the beltway though. Miss the old Arby's (that was totally out of place) in town. They haven't run the brine trucks out here yet in Loudoun (by me anyways) but I'm sure they're starting to. I'm kinda worried about temps for this one, I'm north of the jackpot zone, but I think accumulation-wise (by sunset or so) areas north of the jackpot might be about even by that point. I live near a creek bed / valley and it's typically 5-10 degrees below fcst for that area and other spots locally, so I'm hoping it piles up tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted Monday at 02:25 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:25 PM 7 minutes ago, yoda said: 0.75 QPF around BWI That would do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Monday at 02:25 PM Author Share Posted Monday at 02:25 PM 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: 3K NAM with a general 4-8 N-S is more realistic than the the regular NAM this is probably way more realistic than a foot downtown lol. NAM is almost always overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Monday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:26 PM What a winter for Calvert if that holds! Hey there Wes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted Monday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:26 PM 1 minute ago, rjvanals said: 3K NAM with a general 4-8 N-S is more realistic than the the regular NAM Serious question, can we stop posting 12k NAM snow maps? We all know the 3k is more realistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:26 PM 12z 3km NAM Kuchera 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Monday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:26 PM Just now, stormtracker said: this is probably way more realistic than a foot downtown lol. NAM is almost always overdone. you said almost 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WolfStock1 Posted Monday at 02:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:27 PM 2 minutes ago, EstorilM said: LOL I used to live off that road, closer to the beltway though. Miss the old Arby's (that was totally out of place) in town. They haven't run the brine trucks out here yet in Loudoun (by me anyways) but I'm sure they're starting to. I'm kinda worried about temps for this one, I'm north of the jackpot zone, but I think accumulation-wise (by sunset or so) areas north of the jackpot might be about even by that point. I live near a creek bed / valley and it's typically 5-10 degrees below fcst for that area and other spots locally, so I'm hoping it piles up tomorrow. Are brining in Leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:27 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:27 PM 3 minutes ago, rjvanals said: 3K NAM with a general 4-8 N-S is more realistic than the the regular NAM More like 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted Monday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:28 PM On TT, there is the option to look at "positive snow depth change". What exactly does that mean? It shows 7 north to 8 south at 45h, yet 10-1 has 8 north to 12 south. Which is more accurate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Monday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:28 PM 1 minute ago, yoda said: More like 6-10 4" - 8" regionwide and call it a day. 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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