Ji Posted Monday at 12:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:23 PM Think we’re pretty much at noise level run to run changes. Each one may make a difference for someone’s backyard, but I don’t think there’s been any real “trend” in any direction for 24 hours or so. At this point, bigger differences are going to be due to ratios, whether any precipitation is lost to melting tomorrow afternoon, banding, etcOne reason for the drier models is that the storm is ending way quicker. 1am instead of 9am on Wednesday. So much got the 24 hour storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted Monday at 12:49 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:49 PM Not sure if I’m late but winter storm warnings are up for some of the southern counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Monday at 12:51 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:51 PM 3k was nice this morning. 5-7 for just about everyone south of the PA line. Cant complain about that. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeg0305 Posted Monday at 12:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:54 PM Not sure if I’m late but winter storm warnings are up for some of the southern countiesSorry, what state are you referring to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Monday at 12:55 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:55 PM Just now, mikeg0305 said: Sorry, what state are you referring to? VA The jack zone already has warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Monday at 12:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:56 PM It remains a 5-7” storm with the potential for a couple of inches upside in a small, tbd area. Nothing overnight changed that. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Monday at 12:56 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:56 PM Yeah warnings up to EZF. I would expect in the afternoon update, NVA/DC/etc are included. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted Monday at 01:15 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:15 PM 21 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 3k was nice this morning. 5-7 for just about everyone south of the PA line. Cant complain about that. I would be thrilled with that! It would make up for Jan 19 where I had a WSW for 3-5 right up to start time and got 1.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Monday at 01:23 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:23 PM 31 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 3k was nice this morning. 5-7 for just about everyone south of the Baltimore. Cant complain about that. Fixed 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Monday at 01:30 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:30 PM This is a really easy forecast for dc IMO. I don’t see anything that makes me think 3-6 won’t work. I’m really excited for Tuesday night after sunset, gonna be prime jeb walking conditions. Hopefully we can get something else in the PSU window but I am treating this as if it’s our last snow, gonna savor it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Monday at 01:31 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:31 PM 7 minutes ago, Interstate said: Fixed Map reading isn’t your specialty apparently. 3 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted Monday at 01:39 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:39 PM 43 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: It remains a 5-7” storm with the potential for a couple of inches upside in a small, tbd area. Nothing overnight changed that. Where do I sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted Monday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:44 PM 1 hour ago, Ji said: One reason for the drier models is that the storm is ending way quicker. 1am instead of 9am on Wednesday. So much got the 24 hour storm I was never buying it and if it did show .75 inches qpf over 24 hours I would think that a lot of that is lost to melting especially during the day time. I would much rather see .4 inches in a 6 hour period than .75 over 24 hours. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted Monday at 01:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:52 PM Pre-storm obs: Brine trucks out in force on Georgetown Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Monday at 01:54 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:54 PM 26 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Map reading isn’t your specialty apparently. Even with the Kuchera most people north of Baltimore are under 5 inches. I would go with the 10:1 with the temp profile anyways. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Monday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:59 PM 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: Even with the Kuchera most people north of Baltimore are under 5 inches. I would go with the 10:1 anyways. You wrote South of Baltimore and now you wrote North of Baltimore. I guess in your mind Baltimore doesn’t exist. Either way you were wrong. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted Monday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Monday at 01:59 PM For people around DC, we're still looking at arrival time of 11am-3pm Tuesday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:00 PM 12z NAM looks fine through 24 IMO... snow in DC metro by 15z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Monday at 02:02 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:02 PM 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: You wrote South of Baltimore and now you wrote North of Baltimore. I guess in your mind Baltimore doesn’t exist. Either way you were wrong. I think you are confused. Go reread. I said that 5-7 is south of Baltimore, and in the latest post I said that north of Baltimore is under 5 inches. I just fixed the original post of the user saying south of the M/D line was 5-7. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:04 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:04 PM Mod to heavy snow DCA to EZF... light to moderate north of DC metro into MD at 18z Tues (hr 30) on 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Monday at 02:05 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:05 PM Gonna be a good run for DC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Monday at 02:06 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:06 PM 1 minute ago, yoda said: Mod to heavy snow DCA to EZF... light to moderate north of DC metro into MD at 18z Tues (hr 30) on 12z NAM Wish we could slow this down a little again, but as long as it's heavy enough. Verbatim temps are fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:07 PM Mod to heavy snow for most at 21z Tuesday (33 hours) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Monday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:07 PM First and probably final call unless things change dramatically. Last time I was too bullish, so this time I'm being conservative. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Monday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:08 PM Just south of Baltimore-Fredericksburg getting shellacked at 36 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Monday at 02:08 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:08 PM SoMD getting smoked at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:09 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:09 PM DC metro 6" by 36 (00z Wed) on 12z NAM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Monday at 02:10 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:10 PM Full NAMing incoming this looks great 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Monday at 02:12 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:12 PM Ripping still at 39... mod snow still back at the OH/WV border Upper 20s for temps 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Monday at 02:14 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:14 PM NAM'd HARD. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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