SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO... Steady as she goes, everything is pretty locked in now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 5 minutes ago, paxpatriot said: Does the Euro have any of the part II stuff that the GFS and NAM seem to be showing for the northern crew? No. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Euro does this dry thing usually then will juice up tonight or tomorrow day of the storm. It’s happened several times in our decent storms as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago Think we’re pretty much at noise level run to run changes. Each one may make a difference for someone’s backyard, but I don’t think there’s been any real “trend” in any direction for 24 hours or so. At this point, bigger differences are going to be due to ratios, whether any precipitation is lost to melting tomorrow afternoon, banding, etc 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago This has been one long track mf'er...fatigued is the best way to describe it for me. Final call for mby 5.6". No ranges or % just straight up call. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Think we’re pretty much at noise level run to run changes. Each one may make a difference for someone’s backyard, but I don’t think there’s been any real “trend” in any direction for 24 hours or so. At this point, bigger differences are going to be due to ratios, whether any precipitation is lost to melting tomorrow afternoon, banding, etcOne reason for the drier models is that the storm is ending way quicker. 1am instead of 9am on Wednesday. So much got the 24 hour storm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Not sure if I’m late but winter storm warnings are up for some of the southern counties Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 3k was nice this morning. 5-7 for just about everyone south of the PA line. Cant complain about that. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeg0305 Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Not sure if I’m late but winter storm warnings are up for some of the southern countiesSorry, what state are you referring to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Just now, mikeg0305 said: Sorry, what state are you referring to? VA The jack zone already has warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago It remains a 5-7” storm with the potential for a couple of inches upside in a small, tbd area. Nothing overnight changed that. 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Yeah warnings up to EZF. I would expect in the afternoon update, NVA/DC/etc are included. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 21 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 3k was nice this morning. 5-7 for just about everyone south of the PA line. Cant complain about that. I would be thrilled with that! It would make up for Jan 19 where I had a WSW for 3-5 right up to start time and got 1.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 31 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: 3k was nice this morning. 5-7 for just about everyone south of the Baltimore. Cant complain about that. Fixed 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago This is a really easy forecast for dc IMO. I don’t see anything that makes me think 3-6 won’t work. I’m really excited for Tuesday night after sunset, gonna be prime jeb walking conditions. Hopefully we can get something else in the PSU window but I am treating this as if it’s our last snow, gonna savor it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Interstate said: Fixed Map reading isn’t your specialty apparently. 3 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 43 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: It remains a 5-7” storm with the potential for a couple of inches upside in a small, tbd area. Nothing overnight changed that. Where do I sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDScienceTeacher Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ji said: One reason for the drier models is that the storm is ending way quicker. 1am instead of 9am on Wednesday. So much got the 24 hour storm I was never buying it and if it did show .75 inches qpf over 24 hours I would think that a lot of that is lost to melting especially during the day time. I would much rather see .4 inches in a 6 hour period than .75 over 24 hours. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Pre-storm obs: Brine trucks out in force on Georgetown Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 26 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Map reading isn’t your specialty apparently. Even with the Kuchera most people north of Baltimore are under 5 inches. I would go with the 10:1 with the temp profile anyways. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: Even with the Kuchera most people north of Baltimore are under 5 inches. I would go with the 10:1 anyways. You wrote South of Baltimore and now you wrote North of Baltimore. I guess in your mind Baltimore doesn’t exist. Either way you were wrong. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago For people around DC, we're still looking at arrival time of 11am-3pm Tuesday? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 12z NAM looks fine through 24 IMO... snow in DC metro by 15z 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: You wrote South of Baltimore and now you wrote North of Baltimore. I guess in your mind Baltimore doesn’t exist. Either way you were wrong. I think you are confused. Go reread. I said that 5-7 is south of Baltimore, and in the latest post I said that north of Baltimore is under 5 inches. I just fixed the original post of the user saying south of the M/D line was 5-7. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Mod to heavy snow DCA to EZF... light to moderate north of DC metro into MD at 18z Tues (hr 30) on 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Gonna be a good run for DC 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 1 minute ago, yoda said: Mod to heavy snow DCA to EZF... light to moderate north of DC metro into MD at 18z Tues (hr 30) on 12z NAM Wish we could slow this down a little again, but as long as it's heavy enough. Verbatim temps are fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Mod to heavy snow for most at 21z Tuesday (33 hours) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago First and probably final call unless things change dramatically. Last time I was too bullish, so this time I'm being conservative. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Just south of Baltimore-Fredericksburg getting shellacked at 36 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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