KAOS Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Crappy map NAM... https://kaosfactory.github.io/wxblox/fmap2.html?lat=pasadena,md,us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WSW expanded to MD/PA border.... 248 AM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 MDZ004>006-507-102000- /O.EXA.KLWX.WS.A.0007.250211T1800Z-250212T1200Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 248 AM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches possible. * WHERE...Carroll, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6Z WB 3K NAM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 32 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WSW expanded to MD/PA border.... 248 AM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 MDZ004>006-507-102000- /O.EXA.KLWX.WS.A.0007.250211T1800Z-250212T1200Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 248 AM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches possible. * WHERE...Carroll, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. A WSW for 2-4 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 17 minutes ago, weathercoins said: A WSW for 2-4 inches? Taken literally the southern part of the northern counties could get 5 inches on the NAM. Looks like DCA is the bullseye, happy for the inside the DC Beltway crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WB 0Z AI and GFS also have .50 into the southern zones of the northern MD counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WB 6Z NBM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WB 6Z GFS.... looks good! Will be thrilled with another 4-6 IMBY. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WB 6Z GFS, colder with the second round..... snow on snow for NW burbs. summary: snow breaks out mid to late morning on Tuesday. First round ends early morning Wed. New batch moves in late afternoon on Wed. And ends early am TH. Totals for both rounds below. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 43 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS, colder with the second round..... snow on snow for NW burbs. summary: snow breaks out mid to late morning on Tuesday. First round ends early morning Wed. New batch moves in late afternoon on Wed. And ends early am TH. Totals for both rounds below. Most, if not all, guidance is showing the 2nd piece has little to no winter wx impact for most in this sub. Some folks may start with a period of winter wx, but it’s mostly rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 58 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS, colder with the second round..... snow on snow for NW burbs. summary: snow breaks out mid to late morning on Tuesday. First round ends early morning Wed. New batch moves in late afternoon on Wed. And ends early am TH. Totals for both rounds below. That's a healthy expansion north of the QPF...still a significant jack to the south but that definitely increased around IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 hours ago, weathercoins said: A WSW for 2-4 inches? It will become an advisory, unless LWX thinks part 2 could drop warning level snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 It's amazing the GFS won't give up those ridiculous snowfall totals. Is it ever going to back down? The freaking NAM has significantly less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, snowfan said: Once again true winter storm criteria way South. The warning level drought continues. Onto late month. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Weeeeeeeee Tuesday Snow likely after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 32. Calm wind becoming south around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Tuesday Night Snow. Low around 28. Light and variable wind becoming northeast around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 This could be decent storm #2 this year for our southern Prince William and southern Fairfax county folks. Those guys don't usually jack and are generally the more subtle and polite whiners...good luck down there hope it's everything the gfs is advertising 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 53 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS, colder with the second round..... snow on snow for NW burbs. summary: snow breaks out mid to late morning on Tuesday. First round ends early morning Wed. New batch moves in late afternoon on Wed. And ends early am TH. Totals for both rounds below. Thanks for the maps Will! Appreciate it as always 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 NWS on a bit further to the south... Caroline-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Western King William-Western King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- 240 AM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches and a light glaze of ice accumulation. * WHERE...Portions of east central, eastern, and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From 10 AM Tuesday to 10 AM EST Wednesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 19 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: This could be decent storm #2 this year for our southern Prince William and southern Fairfax county folks. Those guys don't usually jack and are generally the more subtle and polite whiners...good luck down there hope it's everything the gfs is advertising If the heavier axis shifts a hair north, like 30 miles, i think 6-10 inches is a decent forecast down this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 WB 6Z EURO... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO... a lot drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO... Stubborn...locked on the jack zone for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO... Does the Euro have any of the part II stuff that the GFS and NAM seem to be showing for the northern crew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO... Steady as she goes, everything is pretty locked in now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, paxpatriot said: Does the Euro have any of the part II stuff that the GFS and NAM seem to be showing for the northern crew? No. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Euro does this dry thing usually then will juice up tonight or tomorrow day of the storm. It’s happened several times in our decent storms as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Think we’re pretty much at noise level run to run changes. Each one may make a difference for someone’s backyard, but I don’t think there’s been any real “trend” in any direction for 24 hours or so. At this point, bigger differences are going to be due to ratios, whether any precipitation is lost to melting tomorrow afternoon, banding, etc 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 This has been one long track mf'er...fatigued is the best way to describe it for me. Final call for mby 5.6". No ranges or % just straight up call. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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