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February 11-12; 12-13: Are they real??


stormtracker
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Honestly, until 48 hours out isn’t the EURO the best model by a good margin, then the GFS? And then once we get to 24-48 hours, the NAM and EURO are pretty much the best until onset?  Then look at whether the big blue thing on the radar is over your house and how fast/what direction it’s moving.  And if the ICON, UKIE, GEFS, MEX, GPS, GEPS, PUERTORICO, STD, etc. end up being right 3 or 4 days out it really more luck than skill.  Like it was right, but only because the sun shines on a dogs ass once in a while?

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3 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Question about the watches for NWS...you have split several counties in MD already. In my six years in Frederick, MD, there can be some significant differences between the weather at the MD/ PA border compared to the SW part of the county where I live.  Any discussion of splitting the county?

To my knowledge, no. If there ever was a split, I would imagine it would be N/S along US 15.

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Just now, DDweatherman said:

I think maintenance has begun, bet the new ride is ready by about 10:40PM.

I mean it’s unwavering for a  15 inch storm in C VA…it’s less than 48 hours now…it’s just gonna collapse?  I guess but wow.  

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2 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

It’s the same ride. Good ride.  But at first it seemed like a new ride.  

I’ll say it again. I like that max 50-75 miles south of us right now on GFS. Not saying it will definitely adjust North, but the potential for 10+ is on the table for us. Fun ride so far.

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4 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I mean it’s unwavering for a  15 inch storm in C VA…it’s less than 48 hours now…it’s just gonna collapse?  I guess but wow.  

I don’t think so, I bet it’s south end of DC ish. Richmond should get snows still, just don’t see 12+ there. 

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