stormtracker Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: That's about the same as 6z? Didn't even look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Early thoughts, fixing to make a fool of myself. Seeing hr36 on the ICON makes me think wave 1A of this will be a bit south of 12z. ICON has been kind of on its own for days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: That's about the same as 6z? Didn't even look Pretty much - we get an extra 1-2” around DC. But not much changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, caviman2201 said: ICON has been kind of on its own for days I agree, watching RGEM a bit closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, caviman2201 said: ICON has been kind of on its own for days It’s in its own galaxy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, DDweatherman said: I agree, watching RGEM a bit closer. Canadians have kinda been on their own too, tbh. Looks like a region-wide high end WAA situation this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: That's about the same as 6z? Didn't even look It is quite a bit wetter than 12Z. Good run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 37 minutes ago, bncho said: it's another amazing run from the NAM How many times this winter have we seen the CAMs shred the system in the 48 hours prior to the event and they were onto something? Hopefully this is a sign we're finally going to reel this one in. NAM looks solid at the surface, and the thermals are great. Yes please. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 RGEM looks improved over last run as well. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 RGEM is warmer than the NAM. But all snow in DC through 63. Sleet line just south of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Canadians have kinda been on their own too, tbh. Looks like a region-wide high end WAA situation this run. Little juicer 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Really good 18Z suite so far. Time to go make some wings. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 ICON EPS qpf mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Ji's house gets boned lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 This strikes me as a somewhat lite version of 1/6. I think most south of US 50 are good for 6"+ and 3-6" up to near the Mason-Dixon Line. Fairly straightforward setup here, main concern is surface temps being close to freezing. That, plus a progressive pattern will limit the upside and I would be skeptical of pushing double digits. Exercise caution on models currently depicting that. Certainly mindful of potential adjustments north, but not quite sold on that yet. Still, this should be another warning event for most of this forum, and will cement a pretty solid winter that was better than I think anyone could have hoped for. And still more chances to come down the line. 17 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, Winter Wizard said: This strikes me as a somewhat lite version of 1/6. I think most south of US 50 are good for 6"+ and 3-6" up to near the Mason-Dixon Line. Fairly straightforward setup here, main concern is surface temps being close to freezing. That, plus a progressive pattern will limit the upside and I would be skeptical of pushing double digits. Exercise caution on models currently depicting that. Certainly mindful of potential adjustments north, but not quite sold on that yet. Still, this should be another warning event for most of this forum, and will cement a pretty solid winter that was better than I think anyone could have hoped for. And still more chances to come down the line. Yes. I was expecting another wall-to-wall dud and i might hit climo snowfall by Thursday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 RGEM has 0.40”+ QPF here on Wednesday. Looks like all sleet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Yes. I was expecting another wall-to-wall dud and i might hit climo snowfall by Thursday. Seems more often than not when conventional wisdom and every pro forecaster leans one way, you'll want to bet on the opposite occurring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Little juicer 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, psuhoffman said: Wow, you lost some weight. Looking good. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 NAM / RGEM with 6-9” for many 48 hours out. Varsity models still further south with the heaviest axis. Seems the hi res have a healthier and more expansive precip shield instead of focusing so much energy south of us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 9 minutes ago, WVclimo said: RGEM has 0.40”+ QPF here on Wednesday. Looks like all sleet. Joining the CMC and GFS with precip just continuing through Wednesday. And all frozen for us out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Daves guess 8 1 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Question about the watches for NWS...you have split several counties in MD already. In my six years in Frederick, MD, there can be some significant differences between the weather at the MD/ PA border compared to the SW part of the county where I live. Any discussion of splitting the county? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Alright 18z running. Let see if it can keep up the good vibes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Erase that 6-8” and make 8-10” the 6-8” with a bit of an eastward extension and I like it 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, Weather Will said: Question about the watches for NWS...you have split several counties in MD already. In my six years in Frederick, MD, there can be some significant differences between the weather at the MD/ PA border compared to the SW part of the county where I live. Any discussion of splitting the county? Are you looking to secede? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Erase that 6-8” and make 8-10” the 6-8” with a bit of an eastward extension and I like it wait..what is this referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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