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February 11-12; 12-13: Are they real??


stormtracker
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Just now, SnowenOutThere said:

Agree on this, the QDF field just doesn't have the same northward extent but its jackpot zones stay around the same.

Seems like the windshield wiper radius is decreasing...Last 48 hours tracking these things it's hard for me to know what's noise vs. a trend.

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21 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

Richmond was never getting 15” guys. North trends are here

 

5 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Almost 16” in Rich 

 

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Nice little RIC jackpot

I don’t envy whoever has to forecast for Richmond on this one.

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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

IMG_2748.thumb.png.0b67b28636cc39a582634b0ec7315e54.png

I think we’ve seen this episode before. The GFS leads the euro to water, but then the euro finds the right solution and the gfs has to work its way back to what it shows. Consider me surprised if RIC gets 12-16”. If those totals do verify anywhere, I’d expect N of EZF and honestly probably would be near DC. 

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2 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said:

12z gfs says what you talking about Willis

Let’s wait and see what the UK and Euro have to say before we panic over the worst of the global being south. Ric could win for sure but it’s not very climatological favored. Plus would be a shame that is below the “it’s supposed to snow” line. People they live there don’t deserve snow because any true snow weenie would never abide living somewhere that goes years without a snow and averages what I get in a few hours on a good day. 

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Let’s wait and see what the UK and Euro have to say before we panic over the worst of the global being south. Ric could win for sure but it’s not very climatological favored. Plus would be a shame that is below the “it’s supposed to snow” line. People they live there don’t deserve snow because any true snow weenie would never abide living somewhere that goes years without a snow and averages what I get in a few hours on a good day. 

Hahahaha! Funny thing there are people who will take your post seriously!! GO BIRDS!! 

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2 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said:

I dont belive it bro. Been burnt way to many times down here with the North trend lol 

Your local Mets will make sure it’s not fun by posting the 1-2 inch line with some 3 inches north of the airport to around Ashland and Ladysmith. Until we’re at 0 hour.  Hopefully you are north Richmond.  

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2 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

Do models account for bright banding and sleet? I have a feeling that's why the pink is so bright down in VA.

They try to - but not sure the GFS succeeds. I have no ill-will toward the RIC folks but the fact that the EURO shows nothing like that has to raise substantial flags.

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Not a very good run at all for DC north unless you're cool with a minor event (I'm kind of over those, but understand that others are happy with whatever falls).  Precip output is mediocre and there's only a weak surface low off the coast of North Carolina.

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