bncho Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:44 PM, dailylurker said: TWC has 8-12 for DC, east over AA, PG and south. I wonder if southern areas get watches this afternoon. Expand 8-12????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:39 PM, CAPE said: Sold. Too bad it’s the NAM. Overall lines up with the euro / gfs but definitely wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:45 PM, 87storms said: In the dmv, it’s never real until it’s real real. Expand 2 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 The NAM Nest puts the axis further south, between Fredericksburg and Richmond. Huge practical difference for DC for the afternoon into early evening hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 NAM shows coastal enhancement that beefed up qpf imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:47 PM, jayyy said: Sold. Too bad it’s the NAM. Overall lines up with the euro / gfs but definitely wetter Expand Nam doing the typical Nam thing nearing its range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/?zoom=LWX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:49 PM, Solution Man said: Nam doing the typical Nam thing nearing its range Expand Still you gotta appreciate that bright pink over near our area within the overall pink. It’s pink on pink with a side of pink. The NAM is that fun bro you take out to the bars knowing he’s gonna get you in trouble 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 At this point I don't even care how many inches the models predict. After watching this for a week, if Northern Baltimore gets a Winter Weather Advisory it will suck the season's life out of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Last 5 nam 12k shifts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 1:54 PM, mappy said: I don’t see any threat of a mix for you, just surface temps right at 32. But a good thump and evap cooling will help you! Hope you see 5” Expand I’ll take 32-34F as long as the column stays cold. Angle of the daylight might white rain some. You can get some more qpf and make out well thanks to colder temps up there. Go get you 5” too. Or more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:48 PM, MN Transplant said: The NAM Nest puts the axis further south, between Fredericksburg and Richmond. Huge practical difference for DC for the afternoon into early evening hours. Expand When do you plan on posting the 60 hour HRRR showing how dry it is? Just kidding go Wolves in the 4th qtr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3k is several degrees colder Tuesday before things start vs 6z. Want to keep that going obviously 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:46 PM, bncho said: 8-12????? Expand Yup. Their maps are about as good as the AI euro so who knows lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:52 PM, NVAwx said: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/?zoom=LWX Expand A lot of these products at this timeframe are largely based on the NBM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:48 PM, CAPE said: Funny thing is I did see him in New Orleans twice during ams…a week before they got attacked by a DGZ. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:55 PM, WxUSAF said: 3k is several degrees colder Tuesday before things start vs 6z. Want to keep that going obviously Expand Just left the house, colder but not souther? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:54 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Last 5 nam 12k shifts Expand Noticed how the coastal is tucked closer towards OBX with each run. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:54 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Last 5 nam 12k shifts Expand #LockedIn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:58 PM, DDweatherman said: Just left the house, colder but not souther? Expand 3k ends just as things start for the metros. But based on height lines out west, I’d say yes fwiw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 3:00 PM, WxUSAF said: 3k ends just as things start for the metros. But based on height lines out west, I’d say yes fwiw Expand Combine the 12k and 3k nam and we get the best of both worlds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:44 PM, dailylurker said: TWC has 8-12 for DC, east over AA, PG and south. I wonder if southern areas get watches this afternoon. Expand Can’t say I hate the trends for our areas. Rt 50 might be the place to be for this one. We shall see, but our threat for WSW has been slowly increasing the past 24 hrs 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:54 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Last 5 nam 12k shifts Expand Bruh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 2:54 PM, aldie 22 said: When do you plan on posting the 60 hour HRRR showing how dry it is? Just kidding go Wolves in the 4th qtr! Expand The HRRR was dead on for yesterday. I got 0.05" precip. Blind squirrel and all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 I hope those pink marks on Nam don’t turn to burn marks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Rgem is going to be a better run for the area. And remember gem will look very similar they’re essentially the same model. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 5 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 3:12 PM, psuhoffman said: Rgem is going to be a better run for the area. And remember gem will look very similar they’re essentially the same model. Expand Weirdly splotchy precip distribution, but a general 3-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 On 2/9/2025 at 3:14 PM, psuhoffman said: Expand This is absolute perfection and it would be the biggest storm in almost a decade for many… if only it verifies that way and we assume that all accumulates properly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 I always wondered how I'd react if we got a foot of snow and none of it stuck to the streets...all grass accumulation. The shovel business would go bankrupt 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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