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February 11-12; 12-13: Are they real??


stormtracker
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3 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Just loving this board. 

When models trend south, we say it’s not coming back north and bail from the storm. Then the second models shift north, we say it’s gonna go all the way to PA. 

And what's wrong with that? :huh:

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5 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Just loving this board. 

When models trend south, we say it’s not coming back north and bail from the storm. Then the second models shift north, we say it’s gonna go all the way to PA. 

"Tale as old as time..."

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Just loving this board. 
When models trend south, we say it’s not coming back north and bail from the storm. Then the second models shift north, we say it’s gonna go all the way to PA. 

lol
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1 hour ago, caviman2201 said:

We have now entered the most R part of this hobby... bickering over snow that hasn't even happened yet 

I agree with you, just to point out one thing. To use the R word is highly offensive to anyone with special needs. It's akin to a racial slur or a horribly sexist comment. It's definitely way worse than all my dick jokes, shockingly none of the people who complain about it, have said one word about this. 

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37 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said:

I don't think this is done trending north. Today's storm was way north of the models. Jan 6th had places in central PA get decent accumulations when models said they'd get nothing. What hasn't trended north this year?

Good point about Jan 6. It had a split but one band did go north, so north it ended to way NW of us with a huge dead zone in between.  

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18Z AI came north and juiced up around DC/BWI. Hard to say by how much because the scale is so big (.4" - 1.00".)
Seems like subtle changes in the 500mb maps are making big real time differences

Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk

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1 hour ago, aldie 22 said:

 

Screenshot_20250208_064437_Photos.jpg

It’s still just bizarre to me that I’m on a nation-wide forum (granted in a regional sub) and a meme pops up like this. I’m in Middleburg, basically a few minutes between Leesburg and Aldie off 15 lol.

 

Also, I guess I missed some drama between the 12z and 18z??

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55 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

18Z AI came north and juiced up around DC/BWI. Hard to say by how much because the scale is so big (.4" - 1.00".)

Going off of pivotal it looks like around .6 qpf along the m/d line to .9 around DC. Really nice bump north.

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