Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 Almost snows for 24 hours on the GFS. I like that 1030mb High to the NW... then there is a pretty strong system right on its tail.. going into a -EPO pattern, could be some ice. Holding that High pressure to the north? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WB 6Z GEFS compared to 0Z also ticked North. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:03 AM, Ji said: Wow one more tick like that and we back lol Expand I don’t know if it ticked north. It just looks stronger and QPF field just looks better. I do not like the orientation of the QPF up in my area. I want SW to NE and not W to E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 0z Euro AI had a very slight tick North with the overall extent of precip over its last run for the 24 hour period for the Tuesday into Wednesday am chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 WB 6Z EURO almost continuous frozen precipitation from Tuesday midday until it ends as rain on Thursday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:01 AM, Weather Will said: Everyone better wake up!!!!! WB 6Z GFS compared to 0Z. Expand That’s much better, best post in half a day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 It really needs to keep coming north today. Today's the day. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:27 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO almost continuous frozen precipitation from Tuesday midday until it ends as rain on Thursday. Expand The continuous precip idea is similar to what the AI showed the last 2 runs. I take that as a positive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 9:32 AM, Ji said: Will any chance we rebound today? EPS increased overnight Expand That looks fantastic! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:27 AM, Weather Will said: WB 6Z EURO almost continuous frozen precipitation from Tuesday midday until it ends as rain on Thursday. Expand There is a break between the 2 waves. The second one begins as snow before going over to mix/rain. This is the actual snow map for wave one, and up to an inch of that for central VA into S MD is from today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:50 AM, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: That looks fantastic! Expand It’s trending in our favor. This board will light up today, get some rest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:52 AM, Solution Man said: It’s trending in our favor. This board will light up today, get some rest. Expand You need 2 runs in a row for a trend. 12z will determine trend or no trend, or a different evolution than previously advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:55 AM, mitchnick said: You need 2 runs in a row for a trend. 12z will determine trend or no trend, or a different evolution than previously advertised. Expand the most important model runs since January 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:55 AM, mitchnick said: You need 2 runs in a row for a trend. 12z will determine trend or no trend, or a different evolution than previously advertised. Expand Let’s do it then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6z EPS A half to 1 inch of that from about DC south is from today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:55 AM, mitchnick said: You need 2 runs in a row for a trend. 12z will determine trend or no trend, or a different evolution than previously advertised. Expand I'd argue two doesn't make a trend either but maybe in the weather world it does. Anyway to my untrained eye it doesn't look like it's coming north it's just juicier with a bigger precip shield. I'm ok with that 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I know long range NAM …. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 12:08 PM, wtkidz said: I know long range NAM …. Expand If you take the Conus view, it looks to have 2 waves like the Euro. Take a look out at Arkansas and Kansas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 11:59 AM, CAPE said: 6z EPS Expand It’s interesting that a couple of days ago it looked like we would be missing out on the show to our north and worrying about a mix or rain. I still think the purple will trend a little north back to where it was for several days. At least I hope so! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 10:03 AM, Ji said: Wow one more tick like that and we back lol Expand Ji is now the positive and optimistic one. What kind of bizarro world are we living in lol? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 12:59 PM, WVsnowlover said: Ji is now the positive and optimistic one. What kind of bizarro world are we living in lol? Expand one where 8 inch snowfall means 8 days out equal 4 inch snowstorms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 6z AI. This is a tough one to figure because of the graphics. But it may have a tick south but it is more of an extended period of snow that "may" make up for it. The 2nd part looks a little warmer. Looks like N MD holds on, but if I had to guess, it's trending to a bigger hit from Central PA to NE, who looks to justify those big ensemble numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:04 PM, mitchnick said: 6z AI. This is a tough one to figure because of the graphics. But it may have a tick south but it is more of an extended period of snow that "may" make up for it. The 2nd part looks a little warmer. Looks like N MD holds on, but if I had to guess, it's trending to a bigger hit from Central PA to NE, who looks to justify those big ensemble numbers. Expand Just to add, I think DC and BWI look as good as 0z. Maybe more qpf but you'll need to wait for better graphics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 The rest of the AI run is a master class of how to screw the MA with hits to the north, including the 15th/16th & 20th, only to end with a massive snow in the Carolinas. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:12 PM, mitchnick said: The rest of the AI run is a master class of how to screw the MA with hits to the north, including the 15th/16th & 20th, only to end with a massive snow in the Carolinas.I wonder if that’s locked in 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I know we won’t take it seriously (yet), but the 6z GFS had the monster Miller A PSU Storm at the end of its run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:25 PM, Scraff said: I know we won’t take it seriously (yet), but the 6z GFS had the monster Miller A PSU Storm at the end of its run. Expand If it happens I vote we name it The PSU blizzard. It could be the final boss. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 1:20 PM, Ji said: I wonder if that’s locked in Expand Who just said Ji was being positive ? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 On 2/8/2025 at 12:08 PM, wtkidz said: I know long range NAM …. Expand It was setting up for something decent. I liked it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8 Share Posted February 8 I'm seeing a slight improvement in the 6z Gem over 0z for Tuesday with a subtle deepening of the vortex over western Hudson Bay which lifts heights in the east. Hopefully it's correct and the adjustment continues. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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