WxUSAF Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 EPS is solid. 5-6” metros and vicinity. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:02 PM, Heisy said: Yep, I had a feeling it was going to head this way after the 6z euro Ai run. Yesterday I was starting to feel potential high end SECS event now it’s looking like another 2-4”er . Expand I guess for up in Philly you might wanna wave the white flag and go 2-4. I don't see why DC and Baltimore should do this at this juncture.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:03 PM, Kmlwx said: I mean how about 0 inches? Would that be better? Just sayin'! Expand 3-6" (or less if the trend continues) immediately washed away kinda feels like 0 inches to me. I mean it will be a nice add to the totals, though! But ya really won't have time to enjoy it even as scenery because of the rain in that scenario. Hoping the lead wave prevails! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:06 PM, WxUSAF said: EPS is solid. 5-6” metros and vicinity. Expand Yeah definitely decent. It’s a little more south/dry but it’s hard to complain when the mean is 5” for most in the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:10 PM, T. August said: Yeah definitely decent. It’s a little more south/dry but it’s hard to complain when the mean is 5” for most in the forum. Expand South and dry may not be what we wanna see though...could be the start of a trend. We'll see... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:12 PM, Maestrobjwa said: South and dry may not be what we wanna see though...could be the start of a trend. We'll see... Expand I hear you but the eps was a little too amped for a lot of people at 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Looks like flooding is the biggest threat over the next 10 days. We need it. 1 3 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:14 PM, dailylurker said: Looks like flooding is the biggest threat over the next 10 days. We need it. Expand Yeah big parade of rainers after Tuesday. I'm hoping we can have one more nice threat window towards the last week of February before we wave the white flag in the metros. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 EPS 12Z yesterday, 00Z last night, 12Z today. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Have you guys looked at the German model? It’s phenomenal! Gives my backyard 12oz of pilsner. PS—Anyone in DC today and need a beer? I’m working remote today from Other Half Brewing. It’s a rough life, but someone has to do it! 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:21 PM, WVclimo said: EPS 12Z yesterday, 00Z last night, 12Z today. Expand Pretty clear de-amplification trend. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:27 PM, Scraff said: Have you guys looked at the German model? It’s phenomenal! Gives my backyard 12oz of pilsner. PS—Anyone in DC today and need a beer? I’m working remote today from Other Half Brewing. It’s a rough life, but someone has to do it! Expand Ah! You are only a mile or so away. Been there a few times and they’ve got a lot of awesome options. Remote work has ended, but very jealous of your day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:32 PM, NorthArlington101 said: Ah! You are only a mile or so away. Been there a few times and they’ve got a lot of awesome options. Remote work has ended, but very jealous of your day. Expand Swing by!! I’ll treat!! I’ve got an hour and 45 on the meter. And sorry for the banter in here. Back to our storm now… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:21 PM, WVclimo said: EPS 12Z yesterday, 00Z last night, 12Z today. Expand Yeah can’t deny the shift south but looking at the individual members, they look great. I still think 8-10” is the ceiling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 I’m totally fine with the south shift as long as the Tue wave maintains enough strength to give us decent qpf. The danger now is that it weakens so much that it becomes a non event, or an advisory for RIC, then the storm after pushes thermals north of us. It’s still unlikely, but not impossible. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:34 PM, Scraff said: Swing by!! I’ll treat!! I’ve got an hour and 45 on the meter. And sorry for the banter in here. Back to our storm now… Expand Man gots money. See you soon. And as we all know, I can drink. Set up the second mortgage for the bill while I'm on my way. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 AI cut back again some on qpf. Maybe .1"? That's a guess. Storm 2 probably starts as some snow then changes over. Should stay pretty cold on the surface as it's a brief warmup. Other threats on Long Range thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Just a thought. But people can feel how they want. We don’t all have to agree or want the same things. Every time someone says they like it don’t like a run we don’t need 5 posts telling them why they shouldn’t feel that way! I have been as big an offender at this as anyone. I will own that and I’m going to try to do better myself. 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:50 PM, stormtracker said: Man gots money. See you soon. And as we all know, I can drink. Set up the second mortgage for the bill while I'm on my way. Expand 38 mins left on the meter. Hurry the F up! I’m old school and not using ParkMobile. So I can’t re-up just sitting here waiting for you. The free beer options are heading towards sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 7:24 PM, Scraff said: 38 mins left on the meter. Hurry the F up! I’m old school and not using ParkMobile. So I can’t re-up just sitting here waiting for you. The free beer options are heading towards sunset. Expand Heh, I was joking man. I'm stuck at work. It's Friday, so I'm basically surfing the web. I've reached the end of the internet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 7:19 PM, psuhoffman said: Just a thought. But people can feel how they want. We don’t all have to agree or want the same things. Every time someone says they like it don’t like a run we don’t need 5 posts telling them why they shouldn’t feel that way! I have been as big an offender at this as anyone. I will own that and I’m going to try to do better myself. Expand True. We also don't need 50 doom posts with tearing of hair and gnashing of teeth from everyone who frets over every single change in every single model run or when some crazy 15" amount becomes 4-8". 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 7:31 PM, Scarlet Pimpernel said: True. We also don't need 50 doom posts with tearing of hair and gnashing of teeth from everyone who frets over every single change in every single model run or when some crazy 15" amount becomes 4-8". Expand The doom posts only bother you if you let them. Is it better to have a thread full of posts telling people how to feel? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 This place after every model run 2 1 23 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 Didn’t see anyone mention, but the 12z geps isn’t bad at all. A few tenths fall after this in northern areas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:27 PM, Scraff said: Have you guys looked at the German model? It’s phenomenal! Gives my backyard 12oz of pilsner. PS—Anyone in DC today and need a beer? I’m working remote today from Other Half Brewing. It’s a rough life, but someone has to do it! Expand Meh...looks drier. You had a bigger glass at 00Z! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 8:08 PM, T. August said: Didn’t see anyone mention, but the 12z geps isn’t bad at all. A few tenths fall after this in northern areas.How is this not horrible? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 6:48 PM, Terpeast said: I’m totally fine with the south shift as long as the Tue wave maintains enough strength to give us decent qpf. The danger now is that it weakens so much that it becomes a non event, or an advisory for RIC, then the storm after pushes thermals north of us. It’s still unlikely, but not impossible. Non event? What model shows a non event ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7 Author Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 8:42 PM, Ji said: How is this not horrible? Expand Because it’s accumulating snow. We don’t tend to do that well around here. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 8:42 PM, Ji said: How is this not horrible? Expand Idk man a 3-5” mean is decent. Unfortunately the gfs op is still one of the snowiest out there, even including individual ens members. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 7 Share Posted February 7 On 2/7/2025 at 7:37 PM, H2O said: This place after every model run Expand 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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