JTA66 Posted Thursday at 03:14 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:14 PM Little more then 48 hours before this one gets underway. Currently looks a little colder than today's event, but will still be a mixed bag for most. Go... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted Thursday at 04:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:22 PM About 0.15" of this was from this AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted Thursday at 04:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:38 PM 15 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: About 0.15" of this was from this AM 15 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: About 0.15" of this was from this AM Still yuckkkk. Another .10in of ice. That morning we are going into our one job early thing to get there by 8am in Allentown PA. Going to be hideous trying to get here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted Thursday at 06:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:47 PM Some of these amounts are way too high. This looks like an all-rain event in AC to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted yesterday at 01:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:29 AM Any snow with this one will outperform today's event. Birds Sunday then hopefully a snowier solution Tuesday Wednesday.... Parade in the snow would be super cool. Just shut down Philly for a day or two.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 02:44 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:44 AM NAM gets snow into the area by lunchtime Saturday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 02:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:49 AM NAM 12k has 3-4" snow here between 1pm and 7pm Saturday before any changeover fwiw Eta: 100% frozen event that even ends briefly as snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 03:07 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:07 AM Rgem doesn't get snow moving in until 7pm Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 03:14 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:14 AM Rgem also has ~3" snow before change to sleet. 100% frozen event also ends briefly as snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 01:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:12 PM NAM with a look not too different from our last event for tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted yesterday at 01:23 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:23 PM 10 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: NAM with a look not too different from our last event for tomorrow. So much for the front end thump of snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thesmithsinde Posted yesterday at 01:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:28 PM Thanks for all the info you guys provide, pretty much just a lurker for a long time. Question, driving home from Hunter Mountain NY on Sunday to DE. How does that drive look and was wondering the best time frame to make it back for the game. Thank you ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted yesterday at 01:32 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:32 PM NAM looks pretty carbon copy of the slop from yesterday morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chadzachadam Posted yesterday at 01:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:42 PM Apple weather app says 7” for Philly tomorrow evening/night. I know those amounts are rarely right but that seems especially absurd. Friends are asking me about the “big snowstorm” tomorrow and I’m trying to tell them there’s no such thing. But hey wouldn’t hate it if the weather app is onto something.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolHandMike Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:53 PM 24 minutes ago, Thesmithsinde said: Thanks for all the info you guys provide, pretty much just a lurker for a long time. Question, driving home from Hunter Mountain NY on Sunday to DE. How does that drive look and was wondering the best time frame to make it back for the game. Thank you ! If it's going to be anything like yesterday, the main roads and highways should be ok. But I like to check pa511 before a long drive--it's worth a look right before you head out to see what, if any, restrictions/accidents are in place. Have a safe drive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted yesterday at 02:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:19 PM Yeah looking more like yesterday imo but I do think we at least see some snow to start in the 95 area. Don't think we'll get as much plain rain as yesterday either. Thinking we'll see at least 1" of snow followed by sleet then ending as freezing rain/drizzle. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kickingupastorm Posted yesterday at 06:23 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:23 PM WWA has been hoisted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Long-range 18z HRRR shifted quite a bit cooler compared to its earlier 12z run. I took a sounding from near KABE at 02 UTC and you can see the warm nose between 700-850mb creeping close to freezing. The next hour mark it switches over to sleet, but at this time we're going to town with deep lift and saturation in the DGZ. The HRRR indicates ~0.1-0.2" of QPF during this hour, so you could thump a quick 1-3" if that's correct. Really depends on how intrusive that warm layer is. We saw with the storm earlier this week the HRRR was way too cold, which is it's typical bias. Either way, I don't foresee much ZR in the Lehigh Valley and Berks, it'll be mostly sleet IMO with a glaze of ZR. Down in Montgomery, Bucks, Chester I see the higher ZR accretion. SW of 95 is probably mostly rain or a light glaze of ice on cold surfaces. As a side note, look at that hodograph and low-level WAA/veering lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago MT HOLLY hinting towards possible Ice Storm Warning issuance.... "There is a chance of warning level ice across parts of southeastern PA, with the highest odds across Chester and Montgomery Counties, but not confident in issuing any ice storm warnings yet, so capped ice below 1/4 inch for the time being." 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 6 hours ago, Chadzachadam said: Apple weather app says 7” for Philly tomorrow evening/night. I know those amounts are rarely right but that seems especially absurd. Friends are asking me about the “big snowstorm” tomorrow and I’m trying to tell them there’s no such thing. But hey wouldn’t hate it if the weather app is onto something.. The weather apps account everything under 32° as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 18z NAM ups sleet totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chadzachadam Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 5 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: The weather apps account everything under 32° as snow Even still 0.7” frozen qpf seems really high for this storm no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Wondering how it’s going to be around 8am in Bethlehem PA on Sunday. Probably more or less the same as Thursday morning I assume, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 31 minutes ago, Chadzachadam said: Even still 0.7” frozen qpf seems really high for this storm no? Snow maps are spitting out all froze precipitation and not identifying ZR or sleet. Id set expectations low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Plus the speed of the storm, it’s moving quickly which will cut back on qpf maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: Snow maps are spitting out all froze precipitation and not identifying ZR or sleet. Id set expectations low truth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Thinking this will be significantly higher impact than a few days ago. Plus icing on a Saturday night right before the superbowl? Could get fairly ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: 18z NAM ups sleet totals I have a stupid question is 0.5 on that map .5" sleet or 3:1 thus 1.5"sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 5 minutes ago, RedSky said: I have a stupid question is 0.5 on that map .5" sleet or 3:1 thus 1.5"sleet? Inches of sleet so if you see 1.0 inches that is about 0.30" of liquid = sleet - not really a perfect calculation but gives a general idea 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 1 minute ago, ChescoWx said: Inches of sleet so if you see 1.0 inches that is about 0.30" of liquid = sleet - not really a perfect calculation but gives a general idea Ok explains why I was expecting more sleet last time I read it wrong doh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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