Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 05:51 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:51 PM Unlike the event earlier in the week, this one is heading into a fresh airmass. Definitely has more upside potential, IMO. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:55 PM Looks like the advisories are getting extended. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted Friday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:55 PM Just got a WWA for my hood 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 05:58 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 05:58 PM Winter uncancel 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted Friday at 05:59 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:59 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1254 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-504-VAZ050-051-053-054-502-527-080200- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.250208T1500Z-250209T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Orange-Culpeper-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Southern Fauquier-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1254 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, central Maryland, and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 10 AM to 7 PM EST Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Friday at 06:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:10 PM 18 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Unlike the event earlier in the week, this one is heading into a fresh airmass. Definitely has more upside potential, IMO. It does have one thing going against it... It coming in at midday though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Friday at 06:58 PM Share Posted Friday at 06:58 PM 47 minutes ago, Interstate said: It does have one thing going against it... It coming in at midday though. Before 10am fine, 10-12 iffy, 12-3 rough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Friday at 07:32 PM Share Posted Friday at 07:32 PM 18z HRRR is bone dry, but it is off on its own. And, HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:13 PM 41 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: 18z HRRR is bone dry, but it is off on its own. And, HRRR. Trash model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:17 PM WB 18Z 3K NAM: Saturday evening looks linked a good time to stay home. Temps hovering around freezing could mean slick roads after sunset. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Friday at 08:18 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:18 PM 54 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: 18z HRRR is bone dry, but it is off on its own. And, HRRR. 3K NAM is pretty dry too ... spotty heavier areas of QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 08:25 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:25 PM Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Friday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:45 PM This seems like a very quick mover... 6 Hours or less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Friday at 09:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:04 PM Just got to Deep Creek, amazing what a few weeks can do. 3’+ of snow on the ground last time here and now mostly barely ground. Ice Storm warning: Saturday Snow and sleet before 11am, then freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow between 11am and noon, then freezing rain after noon. High near 31. Southeast wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night Rain or freezing rain before 10pm, then rain between 10pm and 4am, then snow and freezing rain likely after 4am. Low around 27. Southeast wind 9 to 17 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of around a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted Friday at 09:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:08 PM 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Just got to Deep Creek, amazing what a few weeks can do. 3’+ of snow on the ground last time here and now mostly barely ground. Ice Storm warning: Saturday Snow and sleet before 11am, then freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow between 11am and noon, then freezing rain after noon. High near 31. Southeast wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night Rain or freezing rain before 10pm, then rain between 10pm and 4am, then snow and freezing rain likely after 4am. Low around 27. Southeast wind 9 to 17 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of around a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. I was out on Tuesday at Wisp. Conditions were rough. Very hard packed and icy. Some trails were in better shape than others so I stuck with them. The only nice thing was I pretty much had a private resort lol. I bet there wasn't more than about 100 skiers/ snow boarders there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 09:41 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:41 PM Nice little burst of snow on the 18Z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 09:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 09:43 PM HRRR with a coating as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted Friday at 10:19 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:19 PM 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Just got to Deep Creek, amazing what a few weeks can do. 3’+ of snow on the ground last time here and now mostly barely ground. Ice Storm warning: Saturday Snow and sleet before 11am, then freezing rain, possibly mixed with snow between 11am and noon, then freezing rain after noon. High near 31. Southeast wind 9 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.3 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Saturday Night Rain or freezing rain before 10pm, then rain between 10pm and 4am, then snow and freezing rain likely after 4am. Low around 27. Southeast wind 9 to 17 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New ice accumulation of around a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. What do you think the roads will be like? Got a bunch of people skiing sat morning and didnt think this storm was going to be a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 11:47 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:47 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1254 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 MDZ003-004-502-VAZ027>031-038>040-501-505-507-WVZ050>053-055-501>504- 080200- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.250208T1400Z-250209T0500Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Central and Eastern Allegany-Shenandoah- Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Northern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- 1254 PM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations around one to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, central, northern, and northwest Virginia, and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From 9 AM Saturday to midnight EST Saturday Night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation is expected to overspread the area Saturday morning. Precipitation likely starts as snow before transitioning to sleet and eventually freezing rain through midday. Precipitation will transition to rain late Saturday evening as temperatures warm. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 11:50 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 11:50 PM How did euro look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Friday at 11:56 PM 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: How did euro look? C-1” snow, general .15”+ ice. Pretty chilly - kinda comes in 2 waves 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 11:58 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 11:58 PM I’ll take it. All my events for tomorrow have been cancelled so I’m free to count every sleet pellet. 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Saturday at 12:30 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:30 AM 31 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’ll take it. All my events for tomorrow have been cancelled so I’m free to count every sleet pellet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherkyle Posted Saturday at 12:35 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:35 AM 37 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’ll take it. All my events for tomorrow have been cancelled so I’m free to count every sleet pellet. HRRR has a clean sounding when it truncates. It's just a matter of getting precip here. It's so anemic looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Saturday at 01:27 AM Share Posted Saturday at 01:27 AM Yeah HRRR is DRRRY. I don't take it too seriously either way, but it did seem to do well for the Thursday event re: QPF (for MBY and for Baltimore, where I was at the time, anyway). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted Saturday at 02:48 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:48 AM 4 hours ago, mdhokie said: What do you think the roads will be like? Got a bunch of people skiing sat morning and didnt think this storm was going to be a big deal. The county does a good job with the main roads so as long as that, think you’ll be ok. We’re on a gravel street that gains about 300’ of elevation from the main road so we’re probably just gonna stay put - got friends visiting us for the weekend. 24/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted Saturday at 02:50 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:50 AM The HRRR isn't alone with being stingy on the precip. Several of the evening CAMs show the same idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 02:54 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:54 AM This is comical The 0z HRRR. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 02:59 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:59 AM It looks like the Models are shifting all the heavier QPF is getting shifted north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 03:17 AM Share Posted Saturday at 03:17 AM 18 minutes ago, Interstate said: It looks like the Models are shifting all the heavier QPF is getting shifted north. Ding ding… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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