TSSN+ Posted Friday at 02:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:40 PM Just now, WxUSAF said: Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday. Ya honestly idk what is going on with that but doesn’t matter. What happens matters lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Friday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:46 PM 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday. NAM is definitely more spotty in nature until later in the day, but even then it’s not all that widespread. Only thing I can think is they are leaning more on the mesos vs global Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:48 PM 11 minutes ago, mitchnick said: For DC, all the qpf here is a little snow and 90%+ sleet. I'll take it since we can't get snow. All relative friend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted Friday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:49 PM 9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday. Could it be the fact that much of it occurs with temps in the high 20's/low 30's during the day? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 02:50 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:50 PM 3 minutes ago, mappy said: NAM is definitely more spotty in nature until later in the day, but even then it’s not all that widespread. Only thing I can think is they are leaning more on the mesos vs global 3k would be impactful IMO for most of their MD zones verbatim. Solid sleet coating with ZR to fill in the gaps. Colder than Thursday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Friday at 02:53 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:53 PM Just now, WxUSAF said: 3k would be impactful IMO for most of their MD zones verbatim. Solid sleet coating with ZR to fill in the gaps. Colder than Thursday. Maybe it’s overall less precip? I read through the 4am forecast discussion and they don’t really mention anything out of the ordinary to why they think it will be less impactful further south. Colder temps, same warm nose… it’s weird for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 02:59 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 02:59 PM 5 minutes ago, mappy said: Maybe it’s overall less precip? I read through the 4am forecast discussion and they don’t really mention anything out of the ordinary to why they think it will be less impactful further south. Colder temps, same warm nose… it’s weird for sure. Snow and ice don’t count if there isn’t an advisory or warning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Friday at 03:01 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:01 PM 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Snow and ice don’t count if there isn’t an advisory or warning Saturday vs a workday maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Friday at 03:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:03 PM 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Snow and ice don’t count if there isn’t an advisory or warning Sunny and warm Saturday for you lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikeg0305 Posted Friday at 03:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:20 PM Snow and ice don’t count if there isn’t an advisory or warning Boo yah !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted Friday at 03:24 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:24 PM For DC, all the qpf here is a little snow and 90%+ sleet. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted Friday at 03:33 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:33 PM 13 minutes ago, mikeg0305 said: Boo yah !!!! Looks like a messy afternoon for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:40 PM GFS colder this run with some weird circle 32 isotherm over us, detached from the main isotherm to the north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 03:44 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 03:44 PM 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS colder this run with some weird circle 32 isotherm over us, detached from the main isotherm to the north. Legit 1” of snow+sleet. 2” over near @CAPE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Friday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:45 PM 60 in Charleston WV, 38 in Philly, but 31 in DC....interesting temperature distribution on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:49 PM 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Legit 1” of snow+sleet. 2” over near @CAPE. I'm not really seeing the same on WxBell - honestly the GFS is a little underwhelming to me. 6z EURO was our best run in a bit I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 03:50 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 03:50 PM 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Legit 1” of snow+sleet. 2” over near @CAPE. Hmmm Nevermind. Pivotal disagreeing. Was using snow depth on TT and even that is corrupted it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 03:50 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:50 PM Just now, WxUSAF said: Hmmm Nevermind. Pivotal disagreeing. Was using snow depth on TT and even that is corrupted it seems. PBP Randy you are not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Friday at 03:57 PM Share Posted Friday at 03:57 PM The GFS has consistently been a Deb for the saturday storm....wondering if that it is why is so different for tuesday at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 04:01 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:01 PM 3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: The GFS has consistently been a Deb for the saturday storm....wondering if that it is why is so different for tuesday at this point well you never bet on an icy/mix storm to work out so maybe that's a good thing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Friday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:32 PM WWA up for the Northern and Western counties URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 935 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 MDZ005-006-503-505-507-VAZ506-526-072245- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.250208T1700Z-250209T0500Z/ Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Northwest Harford-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- 935 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Saturday to midnight EST Saturday Night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation is expected to overspread the area around noon on Saturday. Precipitation likely starts as snow before transitioning to sleet and eventually freezing rain through the afternoon. Precipitation will transition to rain late Saturday evening as temperatures warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 04:34 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:34 PM 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: WWA up for the Northern and Western counties URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 935 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 MDZ005-006-503-505-507-VAZ506-526-072245- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.250208T1700Z-250209T0500Z/ Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Northwest Harford-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- 935 AM EST Fri Feb 7 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST SATURDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one inch and ice accumulations around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From noon Saturday to midnight EST Saturday Night. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation is expected to overspread the area around noon on Saturday. Precipitation likely starts as snow before transitioning to sleet and eventually freezing rain through the afternoon. Precipitation will transition to rain late Saturday evening as temperatures warm. I'm not even gonna "prince died" you. You're fun...I'll allow it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 04:37 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:37 PM 51 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: 60 in Charleston WV, 38 in Philly, but 31 in DC....interesting temperature distribution on the GFS. Cold air damming. Philly gets some influence from the ocean, we're locked in better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Friday at 04:59 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:59 PM 24 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'm not even gonna "prince died" you. You're fun...I'll allow it. Yes I know I was a late on it... but no one actually posted the advisory other and a little screen shot on their phone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Friday at 05:00 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:00 PM 4 hours ago, stormtracker said: Amen. Don’t say a bad word about the models, because they lose their shit when you do. OMG. I know I get mauled when I criticize. Watch out; No One is immune Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Friday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:05 PM 2 hours ago, kgottwald said: That must have been 1994. Damn near every storm that winter was ice, very little snow. January 19 only reached 8 at DCA after a low of -4!! One started off as freezing rain at 22 with not one flake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 05:23 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:23 PM EURO legit icy with some snow maybe mixed in at the start max temps while this all happens: 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 05:37 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 05:37 PM Yeah euro/3k NAM blend is a notable event for most of MD and NoVA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 05:39 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:39 PM 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah euro/3k NAM blend is a notable event for most of MD and NoVA This one seems to be a sleeper 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted Friday at 05:43 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:43 PM 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This one seems to be a sleeper I feel it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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