February 8 Sir Mix a Lot Remix

[TSSN+]

Nws still meh for this event for some reason and shows plain rain. I’m like um ok? Where the plain rain? 

 

[mappy]

11 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Nws still meh for this event for some reason and shows plain rain. I’m like um ok? Where the plain rain? 

 

lot of precip types in my forecast, plain rain isn't mentioned until saturday overnight

Saturday

A slight chance of snow before 1pm, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet between 1pm and 4pm, then freezing rain and sleet after 4pm. High near 30. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday Night

Freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet before 10pm, then rain or freezing rain between 10pm and 1am, then a chance of rain after 1am. Low around 27. Southeast wind 5 to 11 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.2 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

[mappy]

[WxUSAF]

I’d expect WWAs any time now 

[Interstate]

29 minutes ago, mappy said:

Definitely colder going into it compared to yesterday. HoCo holds the column until about 3-4pm before the warm nose kicks in. 

Yep. Not suppose to get above freexing tomorrow. We are not relying on the wet bulb tomorrow. 

[yoda]

36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I’d expect WWAs any time now 

I'm assuming they will come after the 12z suite 

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, H2O said:

Time to focus on this event and ignore the one for Tuesday cause people in there are fucking ridiculous 

Amen. Don’t say a bad word about the models, because they lose their shit when you do. 

[stormtracker]

1 hour ago, TSSN+ said:

Nws still meh for this event for some reason and shows plain rain. I’m like um ok? Where the plain rain? 

 

This one might be a sleeper.  If I can get just an inch of snow, I’d be ecstatic.  I’ll take less and some sleet/ze.  All things relative. 

[TSSN+]

1 hour ago, mappy said:

lot of precip types in my forecast, plain rain isn't mentioned until saturday overnight

Saturday

A slight chance of snow before 1pm, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet between 1pm and 4pm, then freezing rain and sleet after 4pm. High near 30. Calm wind becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New ice accumulation of less than a 0.1 of an inch possible. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Saturday Night

Freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet before 10pm, then rain or freezing rain between 10pm and 1am, then a chance of rain after 1am. Low around 27. Southeast wind 5 to 11 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New ice accumulation of 0.1 to 0.2 of an inch possible. New sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Ya like I said though the models don’t show any plain rain so idk why it’s even in the forecast lol

[TSSN+]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

I’d expect WWAs any time now 

I am shocked no office has up any products. No watches even for the mountains is wild. 

[Interstate]

1 hour ago, TSSN+ said:

Nws still meh for this event for some reason and shows plain rain. I’m like um ok? Where the plain rain? 

 

Yeah I have no rain mentioned in my forecast until late Saturday night when it is ending.

[mappy]

5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Ya like I said though the models don’t show any plain rain so idk why it’s even in the forecast lol

Yeah it’s weird. Temps won’t get above freezing up our way until Sunday 

[mappy]

4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

I am shocked no office has up any products. No watches even for the mountains is wild. 

There’s a winter storm watch for Garrett and Allegany in MD. Some in PA too per CTP

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, mappy said:

There’s a winter storm watch for Garrett and Allegany in MD. Some in PA too per CTP

Wind adv must be covering it up. Didn’t see the blue on the map. 

[Interstate]

3 minutes ago, mappy said:

There’s a winter storm watch for Garrett and Allegany in MD. Some in PA too per CTP

Yeah you cannot see it on LWX product because the Wind Advisory is showing.

[mappy]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Wind adv must be covering it up. Didn’t see the blue on the map. 

Yep. I only noticed it when I went to check the ice forecast map and saw the text posted for the watches 

[mitchnick]

12z Nam is cold as heck and heavy on the sleet.

[Eskimo Joe]

Just now, mitchnick said:

12z Nam is cold as heck and heavy on the sleet.

Goood. Goood.

[TSSN+]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

12z Nam is cold as heck and heavy on the sleet.

Bleh I hate sleet so much. There goes sleeping tomorrow night. Just going to hear sleet pelting my windows. 

[mitchnick]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Bleh I hate sleet so much. There goes sleeping tomorrow night. Just going to hear sleet pelting my windows. 

Not in love with it either, but snow on Tuesday will accumulate on it immediately. 

[stormtracker]

4 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

12z Nam is cold as heck and heavy on the sleet.

For whom?

[TSSN+]

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Not in love with it either, but snow on Tuesday will accumulate on it immediately. 

If it doesn’t melt by then 

[peribonca]

1 hour ago, TSSN+ said:

I am shocked no office has up any products. No watches even for the mountains is wild. 

They're probably busy trying to figure out the next 4 storms next week 

[kgottwald]

20 hours ago, dailylurker said:

I hear this all the time. I've been in ice storms and when it pours you can almost see the trees turning white and sagging. I remember in I think 1993 we had a real ice storm. Only one I've ever seen that didn't melt at the end of the storm. I remember 18 degrees and pouring rain. The cold snap that followed kept the trees coated for about a week. It was beautiful. That cold shot was the coldest I've ever seen in this area. 

That must have been 1994. Damn near every storm that winter was ice, very little snow. January 19 only reached 8 at DCA after a low of -4!!

[mitchnick]

21 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

For whom?

For DC, all the qpf here is a little snow and 90%+ sleet.

 

 

[mappy]

Advisories up for north and west crew

[WxUSAF]

Just now, mappy said:

Advisories up for north and west crew

Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday. 

[Eskimo Joe]

Winter Weather Advisories going out now.

[MountainGeek]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday. 

They seem to be betting on more snow/sleet and less ice in the overall mix. 

[WxUSAF]

3k NAM has up to 0.5” of precip for Annapolis area. 0.25-0.4” for most everyone else in the metro area. All sleet and fzra.