RedSky Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 RGEM .50" qpf mostly frozen but temps oddly above freezing much of the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 26 minutes ago, RedSky said: .80" all frozen on the NAM that would be a high impact event Not sure where you saw 0.80" - 18z actually cut total precipitation - see below Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Physicsteve Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I saw a brine truck doing its thing earlier and figured some advisories must have been hoisted. Then I had to think about what day it was and why they were doing it now. There's probably enough crushed salt left on the roads anyway (jk?) Not sure what to think about this event. Obviously not a blockbuster like potentially exists on the horizon, but it doesn't take much ice or sleet to make driving a dicey proposition. Happening overnight and into the Thursday AM commute may make this more impactful than face value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 54 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Not sure where you saw 0.80" - 18z actually cut total precipitation - see below 18z 12k NAM looking right at it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 6 minutes ago, RedSky said: 18z 12k NAM looking right at it That 12K Nam Though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Whats wrong with 12k NAM we can't use that now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I'm into a half bottle of wine not sure whats up lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 minute ago, RedSky said: I'm into a half bottle of wine not sure whats up lol You may need additional nap time for overnight starting events....start the wine around 3-4pm, dinner, then a few hours snooze and you'll be good to go for any overnight activity, I'm sure of it... 38F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 32 minutes ago, RedSky said: Whats wrong with 12k NAM we can't use that now lol I was actually impressed by it not hating on it sorry been a long day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 28 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: You may need additional nap time for overnight starting events....start the wine around 3-4pm, dinner, then a few hours snooze and you'll be good to go for any overnight activity, I'm sure of it... 38F Jotted down don't use the 12k NAM in my notepad I don 't always get notified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I can't get NAM'd anymores Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Move closer to the world my friend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: Move closer to the world my friend.... Ces is doing St Pats early looks like mmhm 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
540line Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 2 minutes ago, RedSky said: Ces is doing St Pats early looks like mmhm EAGLES green ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 hours ago, RedSky said: 18z 12k NAM looking right at it 12k always an issue..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 0Z HRRR has the burbs never getting above freezing till after precip stops with a couple inches of snow/sleet combo before some freezing drizzle to end. Of course not a forecast! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 First and most likely my last call for tomorrow night for Macungie - 2-4+ inches of snow and sleet and then a prolong period of light freezing rain and drizzle to form a nice crust. Real bitch to shovel and to drive. Warning, do not scrape off snow/sleet until event is over on the vehicles and walkways. Put down salt tomorrow afternoon. You want the brine on the bottom of this crap By next weekend, we will get crushed. 12-18+ inches for the LV looks promising. with the better model consistency coming into play. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 NAM showing no snow at all for anyone in PA but sleet and then still quite a bit of ZR - it has temps getting above freezing across most of PA by the 11am or noon tomorrow. IF this were correct some significant +0.25 amounts of ZR across Chester County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Correct me if I’m wrong but it seems the starting time for this mess is between 4-6am where previously it was 1-4am. I think the later start time would be even more concerning more traffic on the roads etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 19 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Correct me if I’m wrong but it seems the starting time for this mess is between 4-6am where previously it was 1-4am. I think the later start time would be even more concerning more traffic on the roads etc. I think you are correct! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 42 minutes ago, penndotguy said: Correct me if I’m wrong but it seems the starting time for this mess is between 4-6am where previously it was 1-4am. I think the later start time would be even more concerning more traffic on the roads etc. They will brine the roads today, it'll be fine. It will go above freezing tomorrow and everything will be normal. For snow fans this sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 38 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: They will brine the roads today, it'll be fine. It will go above freezing tomorrow and everything will be normal. For snow fans this sucks. No, it ain't snow. But this was supposed to be our relax period. We were supposed to $hitt the blinds and rain until 2/20 or so. I'll take a period of ice as a small win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 8 minutes ago, JTA66 said: No, it ain't snow. But this was supposed to be our relax period. We were supposed to $hitt the blinds and rain until 2/20 or so. I'll take a period of ice as a small win. Yeah, I guess I'll wait for the sound of pings on the window early morning. Birds are on my mind, this is secondary and a plus.... 28F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 That 12z HRRR run is really snowy for much of Berks and the Lehigh Valley. I think it's out to lunch, it's the only model that mutes the WAA and keeps it at bay. The entire profile stays below freezing for most of the storm. I guess it's hard to know whether the warmer (NAM) or colder (HRRR) models will win out as of now. The typical model biases are being shown... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3K NAM looks like a thump of ice over to drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, Birds~69 said: They will brine the roads today, it'll be fine. It will go above freezing tomorrow and everything will be normal. For snow fans this sucks. I get it eventually it’ll warm above freezing but out this way we tend to hold on to icing longer than predicted in almost cases, especially if it starts near rush hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 24 minutes ago, penndotguy said: I get it eventually it’ll warm above freezing but out this way we tend to hold on to icing longer than predicted in almost cases, especially if it starts near rush hr Yeah 100%. Rough morning commute for sure till about 10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, JTA66 said: No, it ain't snow. But this was supposed to be our relax period. We were supposed to $hitt the blinds and rain until 2/20 or so. I'll take a period of ice as a small win. If these models verify like they are saying the blinds are going to be ripped off the hangers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Hoping the NAM is drunk again as while it has almost no snow for anyone in PA it does have quite a bit of sleet followed by ZR - up to 1/3 inch of ice for my area would be far from swell..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 42 minutes ago, anthonyweather said: Yeah 100%. Rough morning commute for sure till about 10am I don't see it being rough at all maybe just maybe backroads little dicey that's about it. Local burbs with the low around 29 or 30 plus they will brine today, should be mainly wet. The city should be no problem. Freezing rain sucks when it's in a low to mid-20s but near 30 it's mainly wet on the roads. Trees and branches are different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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