Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[CoastalWx]

38 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Just changes on timing 12z GEFS today for the whole storm 

Too chose for ensembles now.

[Modfan2]

8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Thinking 3-6” widespread, somewhere up by Ray scores 8

I agree with this for areas south of the pike and DIT or areas with elevation. 3-5” seems reasonable here.

[GaWx]

Update on cousin’s BOS to ATL JetBlue tomorrow 7AM flight: canceled;

-she’s now flying JetBlue out of BOS ~11:20 AM and gets to JFK ~12:40PM; then changes planes and would leave JFK ~2:35PM for ATL

 So, as long as delay in leaving BOS 11:20AM not more than, say, an hour, she’d make the JFK 2:35PM flight. She may not have checked bags. If not, maybe she’d have more than hour to spare. I assume she’d have better chance to make JFK to ATL flight if no checked bags.

 No telling if JFK will have delays leaving 2:35PM Sun.

 If she misses JFK flight, she’ll just forget going to ATL and stay in NYC, where her other home is.

 Opinions about this plan?

[ineedsnow]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Too chose for ensembles now.

Ya but it was the point.. he posted how much less each run was but he didn't post the whole storm.. 

[ineedsnow]

12z Euro increased for here 

[Damage In Tolland]

9 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

I agree with this for areas south of the pike and DIT or areas with elevation. 3-5” seems reasonable here.

This is 5-10 for everyone . It’s an easy forecast 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Update on cousin’s BOS to ATL JetBlue tomorrow 7AM flight: canceled;

-she’s now flying JetBlue out of BOS ~11:20 AM and gets to JFK ~12:40PM; then changes planes and would leave JFK ~2:35PM for ATL

 So, as long as delay in leaving BOS 11:20AM not more than, say, an hour, she’d make the JFK 2:35PM flight. She may not have checked bags. If not, maybe she’d have more than hour to spare. I assume she’d have better chance to make JFK to ATL flight if no checked bags.

 No telling if JFK will have delays leaving 2:35PM Sun.

 Opinions about this plan?

There’s definitely a delay risk which then puts the jfk flight in jeopardy. 

[CoastalWx]

Euro looks good. Not as juicy as some models, but solid. 

[Patrick-02540]

1 minute ago, GaWx said:

Update on cousin’s BOS to ATL JetBlue tomorrow 7AM flight: canceled;

-she’s now flying JetBlue out of BOS ~11:20 AM and gets to JFK ~12:40PM; then changes planes and would leave JFK ~2:35PM for ATL

 So, as long as delay in leaving BOS 11:20AM not more than, say, an hour, she’d make the JFK 2:35PM flight. She may not have checked bags. If not, maybe she’d have more than hour to spare. I assume she’d have better chance to make JFK to ATL flight if no checked bags.

 No telling if JFK will have delays leaving 2:35PM Sun.

 Opinions about this plan?

It all comes down to having available equipment for the flight, more so than runway conditions.  If you're nerdy enough, and if you know the flight number, using FlightRadar24 or similar, you should be able to get the plane's registration number, and work backwards, and see where the equipment is and what other flights it's running.  But kind of useless to do until very early tomorrow morning.  I do this on my flights and you have insite into delays hours before alerted by the carriers. 

[GaWx]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

There’s definitely a delay risk which then puts the jfk flight in jeopardy. 

 

6 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said:

It all comes down to having available equipment for the flight, more so than runway conditions.  If you're nerdy enough, and if you know the flight number, using FlightRadar24 or similar, you should be able to get the plane's registration number, and work backwards, and see where the equipment is and what other flights it's running.  But kind of useless to do until very early tomorrow morning.  I do this on my flights and you have insite into delays hours before alerted by the carriers. 

 Thanks. I forgot to add that her parents live in NYC and she happens to be moving back there. So, if she misses flight to ATL, it’s actually ok. She’d forget ATL trip and just stay in NYC.

[Chrisrotary12]

Beware the dryslot around sunrise tomorrow in CT? Potential for a nice Kraft/Tucker/Watson in eastern areas as mid-levels close off? Should be fun for all and leaves plenty of time to clean up before the game.

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

6 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Beware the dryslot around sunrise tomorrow in CT? Potential for a nice Kraft/Tucker/Watson in eastern areas as mid-levels close off? Should be fun for all and leaves plenty of time to clean up before the game.

 

Damage is done in CT by 2-3am … dry slot with snizzle expected 

[DavisStraight]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Damage is done in CT by 2-3am … dry slot with snizzle expected 

NAM made it look like its lasts longer, what model we emphasizing for this one?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, DavisStraight said:

NAM made it look like its lasts longer, what model we emphasizing for this one?

Thats just for CT, very good agreement on all guidance on a heavy thump and then slot to snizzle in ct after 2-3am .. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Final Call

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/02/final-call-for-weekend-snows.html

[George001]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Thinking 3-6” widespread, somewhere up by Ray scores 8

You were saying nobody is breaking 6 with this just yesterday 

[WinterWolf]

14 minutes ago, George001 said:

You were saying nobody is breaking 6 with this just yesterday 

He had most at 2-3 and said it looks like trash. But we knew better. 

[Damage In Tolland]

19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/02/final-call-for-weekend-snows.html

Appreciate keeping Tolland in the dong

[Damage In Tolland]

34 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Damage is done in CT by 2-3am … dry slot with snizzle expected 

There’s another 1-3 from 7-12 especially River East . Northern 4 counties don’t slot 

[moneypitmike]

I suspect the final .1" or so of qpf will do very little to accumulation......lower ratio (higher weight) will just serve to compress the fluff below it a little.

[moneypitmike]

32 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Final Call

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/02/final-call-for-weekend-snows.html

 

5-8 looks spot on for here.  Hoping I can verify.....good for the soul. 

[kdxken]

Buttoning down the hatches here. Boats looking for safe harbor. A run on beer too.

 

[CoastalWx]

14 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Appreciate keeping Tolland in the dong

I want a dong!

[moneypitmike]

1 minute ago, kdxken said:

Buttoning down the hatches here. Boats looking for safe harbor. A run on beer too.

 

 

Where are youi?

 

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr is nice here. A little Krafty.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

1 hour ago, George001 said:

You were saying nobody is breaking 6 with this just yesterday 

I was a bit underdone yesterday. I still think most people see less than 6” I think best chance for 6+ is up towards Hubb and Rays area 

[Superstorm]

Hrrr is nice here. A little Krafty.

Focuses best snows between pike and southern NH/VT.


.

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Focuses best snows between pike and southern NH/VT.


.

Hi!

[Greg]

[HoarfrostHubb]

Lynn, MA Jack?