Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[WinterWolf]

23 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

Rgem is weak sauce.  

Good thing it’s sucks. 

[ineedsnow]

we GFS 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

What a slam dunk forecast. Wish they were all like this. 

[wx2fish]

Gfs ramped up again 

[CT Valley Snowman]

GFS is a really nice hit.  

[WinterWolf]

35 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Fluff is full of air and sugar

real pack is full of protein that sticks around and doesn’t linger when it gets warm.

Do you mean, “doesn’t whimper when it gets warm?” 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

GFS is a really nice hit.  

She’s coming. 

[ineedsnow]

nice banding here might be over a foot that run

[ineedsnow]

koochie is 13     10 to 1 is 9

[Snowcrazed71]

7 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

She’s coming. 

What's she showing?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

What's she showing?

The kuchie…

[Sn0waddict]

10 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

What a slam dunk forecast. Wish they were all like this. 

Eh getting a bit hairy down here with the sleet line. For most though yes 

[Baroclinic Zone]

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

She’s coming. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

Eh getting a bit hairy down here with the sleet line. For most though yes 

Doesn’t matter with this. You’d rather have 5” with a casing of sleet then 6-7” of all snow anyway. 

[metagraphica]

7 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

What's she showing?

 

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

The kuchie…

 

5 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Eh getting a bit hairy down here...

Gotta love this place.

 

[Sn0waddict]

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Doesn’t matter with this. You’d rather have 5” with a casing of sleet then 6-7” of all snow anyway. 

I get the casing of sleet makes it harder to melt but idk I think I would rather have the 7 inches of snow haha

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Sn0waddict said:

I get the casing of sleet makes it harder to melt but idk I think I would rather have the 7 inches of snow haha

Not with more systems behind it and some could be wet so lets lock in what we can, protect…and build.

[DavisStraight]

4 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

I get the casing of sleet makes it harder to melt but idk I think I would rather have the 7 inches of snow haha

I already have a casing, I want powder.

[ineedsnow]

close in but not bad for the GEFS mean

[Sn0waddict]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Not with more systems behind it and some could be wet so let’s lock in what we can, protect…and build.

Gonna need it for Thursday if the GFS is right.

[tunafish]

Latest from GYX

[wxsniss]

Warnings up

This degree of model consensus seems so rare lately

[HoarfrostHubb]

First one in a while:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
255 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>021-026-RIZ001>007-082130-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0002.250209T0000Z-250209T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0002.250209T0000Z-250209T1800Z/
Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-Eastern
Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-Western
Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern
Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern
Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Northern
Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-Southeast Providence RI-
Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-Washington RI-Newport
RI-
Including the cities of Smithfield, Northampton, Bristol, Quincy,
Narragansett, Westerly, Foxborough, Taunton, Greenfield, Milford,
Boston, Providence, Putnam, West Warwick, Fitchburg, Orange,
Coventry, Brockton, West Greenwich, Springfield, Fall River,
Norwood, Plymouth, Warwick, Lawrence, Barre, Amherst, East
Greenwich, Windsor Locks, Cambridge, Foster, Hartford,
Willimantic, Ayer, Gloucester, Mattapoisett, Charlemont,
Worcester, New Bedford, Blandford, Newport, Chesterfield,
Framingham, Lowell, Union, and Vernon
255 AM EST Sat Feb 8 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 and
  7 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Connecticut, all of Massachusetts
  east of the Berkshires except for the Cape and islands, and all of
  Rhode Island except for Block Island.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

&&

$$

 

[moneypitmike]

Good weekend I needed to stay at Pit1.  I think we'll turn those tables next weekend.

[SouthCoastMA]

weak ass WWA here

[Johnno]

Start time pushed back a bit?

[mahk_webstah]

GYX says ratios up here 15-20:1

[mahk_webstah]

WPC discussion sounds great for many. Indeed there will be a lot of high-fiving across this whole region. 1 to 2 in./h, possibly exceeding 2 in./hr

As the parent shortwave continues to track progressively to the
east, the accompanying forcing and moisture will also pivot with
it, and secondary low pressure development is likely off of the NJ
coast late Saturday night into Sunday morning. This low will become
dominant and intensify as zonal but modestly coupled jet structures
interact with a baroclinic zone offshore. As this low deepens and
moves almost due east south of New England, it will cross near the
Benchmark (40N/70W), leading to a substantial snow event for
Upstate NY, the Poconos, and at least Southern New England (SNE),
although there remains uncertainty into how far north (or south)
the heaviest snow will spread. As the low deepens and pulls away to
the east, a renewed surge of cold air both through the
ageostrophic flow into the low and the subsequent CAA in its wake
will limit the progress of the warm nose, while dry air to the
north noted in regional soundings inhibits PWs from aggressively
lifting towards Canada. In between, an axis of heavy snow is likely
as strong WAA produces impressive 850-600mb fgen, producing strong
ascent into the DGZ. The overlap of this strong fgen with some
theta-e lapse rates approaching 0C/km suggests banding potential
from Upstate NY into SNE, and with elevated SLRs, snowfall rates of
1-2"/hr appear likely. Total snowfall will be limited by the speed
of this system as it will only snow in most areas for 12-18 hours,
but this will still result in heavy accumulations. WPC
probabilities for more than 6 inches of snow are high (>70%) from
the Mohawk Valley of NY eastward into much of MA, southern VT,
southern NH, and the southeastern tip of ME. Locally 8-12" of snow
is possible in some areas.

[ineedsnow]

ill take the over for most..  NWS has 4 to 7 for the warning.. my call from yesterday morning was 6 to 9 and sticking with it

[Damage In Tolland]

5-9” lolli 10’s