Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[OceanStWx]

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

I think 4-8 as a general rule with some spots picking up 8+.   Tuesday night is viable still considering today is 108 hours out still.  The VDay system should be juicy.  Anyone who stays all snow with that will have a pile by next weekend!

BOS has a meaty 50% of the ensemble members between 4 and 6 inches. Only 14% less than 4. Nice long tail on the high side.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Scooter is always infatuated with route 2 and SNH. Talks about it more than his S Wey area 

Maybe there is a special rest stop there which he frequently attends for good times. 

[weatherwiz]

Well here is the 12z GF bufkit for BDL. I'll just stick with my 4-7" forecast though I think 4-5" amounts will be the more common across Connecticut with the best chance for 6-8" totals northwards (like where Scott mentioned). 

But you can see that the window for heavy snow/highest rates is confined to a very small window and and outside of the greatest lift there isn't a whole heck of a lot. 

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

No man I'm not that new LOL. I've been on here for several years. I just don't have the same knowledge as some of these guys. I listen and ask questions. But what I have learned is the amount of people who pounce on you. If you don't ask the right question, or the meltdowns ( which I myself have had ) And definitely getting to know the different characteristics of each person. I was just making the statement because it was getting a little unhinged there.

100%. Unhinged is what we do  

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Maybe there is a special rest stop there which he frequently attends for good times. 

Tap tap…. Tap tap tap?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

HREF is on the warmer further north side .. gets freezing rain / mix to mass border 

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Tap tap…. Tap tap tap?

I know you spend a lot of time on the road…

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

HREF is on the warmer further north side .. gets freezing rain / mix to mass border 

Because it’s run off the HRRR

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

I know you spend a lot of time on the road…

How much will the Chiefs win by are you thinking?

[MJO812]

Euro also shifted north

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Well here is the 12z GF bufkit for BDL. I'll just stick with my 4-7" forecast though I think 4-5" amounts will be the more common across Connecticut with the best chance for 6-8" totals northwards (like where Scott mentioned). 

But you can see that the window for heavy snow/highest rates is confined to a very small window and and outside of the greatest lift there isn't a whole heck of a lot. 

Stick with it…4-8/4-7 is a good forecast. Stop fretting.

[Spanks45]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

HREF is on the warmer further north side .. gets freezing rain / mix to mass border 

It's never easy down here.....just when you think it is within 48 hrs and almost a slam dunk, we slip on some moisture and lose the ball out of bounds. Still time to go on this one, but this is where we were with the last one and we didn't want to believe it. Over/under here is probably 4" right now

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Euro also shifted north

Barely it’s about the same 

[ORH_wxman]

Euro looked a little juicier up in this area…but not a huge shift from 06z

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

It's never easy down here.....just when you think it is within 48 hrs and almost a slam dunk, we slip on some moisture and lose the ball out of bounds. Still time to go on this one, but this is where we were with the last one and we didn't want to believe it. Over/under here is probably 4" right now

Stick with the big boys…they look fine. Too many models sometimes isn’t good. GFS looks fine/so does Euro. 

[WxWatcher007]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

HREF is on the warmer further north side .. gets freezing rain / mix to mass border 

 

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

It's never easy down here.....just when you think it is within 48 hrs and almost a slam dunk, we slip on some moisture and lose the ball out of bounds. Still time to go on this one, but this is where we were with the last one and we didn't want to believe it. Over/under here is probably 4" right now

No easy days. Still fine, but we don’t want anymore ticks. 

[mahk_webstah]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How much will the Chiefs win by are you thinking?

I’m more interested in your work to make rest stops great again

[JC-CT]

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How much will the Chiefs win by are you thinking?

negative 10

[dryslot]

We will take any ticks as long as they are going to the north, Its a slow crawl to gaining qpf up here.

[ORH_wxman]

Pretty solid event. 4-8 with maybe some higher lollis in any higher ratio banding

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Stick with the big boys…they look fine. Too many models sometimes isn’t good. GFS looks fine/so does Euro. 

4-8 still looks good, but we shouldn’t totally discount high resolution guidance if it refuses to play ball, especially as we get closer. We’re probably fine, but it’s worth an eye imo. It would be good to have a warning verify statewide. These have to hit good if we want a shot at climo. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

4-8 still looks good, but we shouldn’t totally discount high resolution guidance if it refuses to play ball, especially as we get closer. We’re probably fine, but it’s worth an eye imo. It would be good to have a warning verify statewide. These have to hit good if we want a shot at climo. 

I Don’t disagree…but for me it’s more about the experience now going forward with this pattern. If I get 6 and not 8 out of this it’s not gonna bother me at all.   If I pick up several more and I mix on Thursday…I don’t really care either.  And whatever happens Tuesday ??    As FXWX said…just enjoy this upcoming stretch.  That’s what I plan to do. 

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Pretty solid event. 4-8 with maybe some higher lollis in any higher ratio banding

How much for the route 2 to SNH corridor? Asking for a friend. 

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Scooter is always infatuated with route 2 and SNH. Talks about it more than his S Wey area 

Scooter knows.

[ORH_wxman]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How much for the route 2 to SNH corridor? Asking for a friend. 

12-18 lollis to 24

[subdude]

At this point, we'll take what we can get heading into mid-Feb. 

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

12-18 lollis to 24

That’s essentially a perfect forecast.
in centimeters

[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Scooter knows.

It’s because Ray lives there. Everyone gets it 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s because Ray lives there. Everyone gets it 

Just saying where the GFS has that sweet spot. That's how it looks. You'll get 3-6 or 4-8 and slot a bit.

[WinterWolf]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Scooter knows.

Not lately.