Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[Snowcrazed71]

5 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Oh, thought you meant the 6th storm, I agree, I like it for that one.

That's what this thread is for. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Looks similar to Thursday 

[dryslot]

 3-6"

[Damage In Tolland]

Ray hates this pattern. Not even blogging for any of these events including Sunday nights. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ray hates this pattern. Not even blogging for any of these events including Sunday nights. 

Both systems are disjointed and lack a good QPF burst that we typically see with strong WAA. Definitely nothing exciting. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Both systems are disjointed and lack a good QPF burst that we typically see with strong WAA. Definitely nothing exciting. 

Still worth writing about if you’re a winter weather person 

[Damage In Tolland]

3 feet in 6 hours 

https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886545933095084394?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

3 feet in 6 hours 

https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1886545933095084394?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Now that’s worth writing about.

[Typhoon Tip]

Notice how that took place in a relaxed deep tropospheric, lateral gradient in the non-hydrostatic heights too   - there's a 975 mb low under that.  We can't seem to get this over on our side of the hemisphere in recent years.  If/when it is cold enough for winter events, the cold itself seems it cannot evolve to middle latitudes without compression/velocity saturation. Cold seems to always arrive with base-line negative interference.   What we need is for more of the gradient to be in the hydrostatic heights (the "thickness").  Not the other way around...    

[mahk_webstah]

According to GYX this storm has more dynamics but maybe that’s changed.

A cold front will cross Thursday night and Friday for a drying
trend and cooling trend into Saturday. This cold air will set
the stage for the next system that will cross the area late
Saturday night and Sunday. Early indications suggest this system
will have better dynamics and more moisture to work with that
will lead to higher snowfall amounts where precipitation stays
mostly snow.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

According to GYX this storm has more dynamics but maybe that’s changed.

A cold front will cross Thursday night and Friday for a drying
trend and cooling trend into Saturday. This cold air will set
the stage for the next system that will cross the area late
Saturday night and Sunday. Early indications suggest this system
will have better dynamics and more moisture to work with that
will lead to higher snowfall amounts where precipitation stays
mostly snow.

This has a better look for your area into Maine from a dynamics pov. But it’s still nothing exciting.

[mahk_webstah]

Well it’s only Tuesday morning 

[Typhoon Tip]

The weekend is less clear for the southern 1/3 to 1/2 of this sub-forum.    Yesterday it was more clear; that clarity has been disrupted overnight by a trend to push the low track farther N.  It's right on the door stop at this point from being a full breach warm intrusion for MA/CT/RI; but for now, we we're narrowly escaping with minoring mix ending as liquid rain S of VT/NH. 

In fact, with 552 dm thickness, and initially a WNW flow ahead of the cold front Sunday morning that I'm seeing in the Euro and GGEM... if the sun comes out in that region there's going to be awesome rise/appeal to the air mass for several hours as it is.

Up there you'd have to correct this  - by the way - weak to middling system more so before this becomes a problem for you.  We'll see if the things settle back S -

[MaineJayhawk]

With the way recent years have gone, I'd think any snow would be exciting

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said:

With the way recent years have gone, I'd think any snow would be exciting

Back to back 3-6 in 3 days is basically 6-12

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

With the way recent years have gone, I'd think any snow would be exciting

  Now it’s sun angle season.  

[Damage In Tolland]

I thought the Sat night/ Sunday storm had the better chance of staying colder/ all snow vs midweek one. What in the sam hell changed?

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This system, along with the prior, don’t look very exciting in SNE. Maybe a couple inches aggregate from both?

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

I thought the Sat night/ Sunday storm had the better chance of staying colder/ all snow vs midweek one. What in the sam hell changed?

It does. But it’s not vastly different than Thursday. A little colder on guidance. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I thought the Sat night/ Sunday storm had the better chance of staying colder/ all snow vs midweek one. What in the sam hell changed?

 Nothing did. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This system, along with the prior, don’t look very exciting in SNE. Maybe a couple inches aggregate from both?

1-3 Thursday and maybe at least that Sunday. For you. 

[WinterWolf]

26 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

With the way recent years have gone, I'd think any snow would be exciting

It is…and good post. 

[dryslot]

21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

  Now it’s sun angle season.  

Have to beware of the warm ground.

[WinterWolf]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I thought the Sat night/ Sunday storm had the better chance of staying colder/ all snow vs midweek one. What in the sam hell changed?

It’s oscillating…this isn’t anything new. It’ll do that a lot more by the time the weekend gets here. 

[Modfan2]

30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It does. But it’s not vastly different than Thursday. A little colder on guidance. 

Thursday and this weekend look to favor the Pike North if not Rt 2 area north. South of the pike with Elevation may score 1-2” of slop out of both events; will see if this changes. 

[ineedsnow]

Icon looks good Saturday night

[ORH_wxman]

1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Thursday and this weekend look to favor the Pike North if not Rt 2 area north. South of the pike with Elevation may score 1-2” of slop out of both events; will see if this changes. 

That might be a bit too pessimistic for N CT in both events. Weekend deal also looks a touch colder than Thursday. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ray hates this pattern. Not even blogging for any of these events including Sunday nights. 

I mentioned Sunday night at the end of my publication last week...didn't warrant much time. This is boring, nuisance crap that I could do without.

[Snowcrazed71]

22 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Icon looks good Saturday night

You must have a love affair with the icon..lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

Unpopular take, but 16" over 16 days really doesn't do a hell of a lot for me TBH. ...my hope is that there is some larger ticket potential towards mid month. But you can shove these 2" installments every 3 days.....just a string of inconvenience.