Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[HoarfrostHubb]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I don't see why the ORH hills have 8-12. This isn't an elevation storm. 

Yeah.  And less moisture here. 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

I don't see why the ORH hills have 8-12. This isn't an elevation storm. 

No idea but the 18z GFS looks great

[ineedsnow]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah.  And less moisture here. 

18Z GFS gone wild for the rt2 area

[The 4 Seasons]

36 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

8-12?? Did someone here hack the noaa website lol

That map must be an error on their part. Their probability map of 8 inches or more of snow for New Haven is 1% 

their grids P&C is also 7-12 so i dont think its a mistake

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don't see why the ORH hills have 8-12. This isn't an elevation storm. 

East or north facing with a orographic boost?

[weathafella]

Pike region looks really good for this.  May be some nice surprises given mid level look this run.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Pike region looks really good for this.  May be some nice surprises given mid level look this run.

Thanks !

[J Paul Gordon]

Live in Clinton so maybe 4-6 here, but have to go to Southbridge, probably 8-12 there!

[The 4 Seasons]

First call. 

 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Mahk’s juju…

[The 4 Seasons]

Not much change on the EC. Jacks CT into SE MA. solid warning for all of SNE

[ORH_wxman]

6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Not much change on the EC. Jacks CT into SE MA. solid warning for all of SNE

Trying to show a weenie fronto band further north this run too into S VT/S NH. 

[Prismshine Productions]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Trying to show a weenie fronto band further north this run too into S VT/S NH. 

how strong of a fronto?

[Tolland Death Band]

2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:

these maps and forecasts from okx and box are all over the place. if you didnt know any better or just like the general public you could get anything from 4-6", 4-7", 5-9" 8-12" for the same location! whether you click on the watch, the pc, the zone, or the 2 different maps they have. they gotta fix their messaging, its crazy.

And the watch for NYC/LI for 2-4 doesnt make sense

Good callout. 8-12” in New Haven and 3-6” in my area has never happened in my 54 years lol

[ineedsnow]

we can hope!

Saturday Night

Snow, mainly after 10pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 18. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.

Sunday

Snow, mainly before noon. High near 29. Northeast wind around 7 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, Tolland Death Band said:

Good callout. 8-12” in New Haven and 3-6” in my area has never happened in my 54 years lol

Actually it has…I can give you an example…January blizzard in 2016.  New Haven got croaked, and Tolland got fringed.  So it does happen from time to time. But it won’t with sat/sun. 

[Tolland Death Band]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Actually it has…I can give you an example…January blizzard in 2016.  New Haven got croaked, and Tolland got fringed.  So it does happen from time to time. But it won’t with sat/sun. 

Was that the year we called “southwest ct winter”? I guess there was that one case…

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Tolland Death Band said:

Was that the year we called “southwest ct winter”? I guess there was that one case…

It was a warm winter(super Nino)…but that storm killed the mid Atlantic…and fringed SNE. 

[The 4 Seasons]

9 minutes ago, Tolland Death Band said:

Good callout. 8-12” in New Haven and 3-6” in my area has never happened in my 54 years lol

I can think of one actually...

[The 4 Seasons]

4 minutes ago, Tolland Death Band said:

Was that the year we called “southwest ct winter”? I guess there was that one case…

It was. I actually liked that Winter despite it being a complete ratter for most. 40" of snow, which is about my normal. 2 10"+ snowstorms and one of them was an all daytime blizzard. 

[weatherwiz]

Well got the opportunity to dig deep into the details for Saturday into Sunday. Ultimately, one concern I have for higher totals is just the forward speed and the duration the best lift/maximized snow growth is. I could end up seeing some 7-10" amounts possible though but not widespread enough to map and that will be tied into very localized areas of enhanced lift.

https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2025/02/february-8-9-2025-southern-new-england.html

 

[The 4 Seasons]

Nice lift in the DGZ for that 18Z EC run. Ill have to crack open bufkit for the first time this season now that we have something actually worth looking at. From the AFDs and what ive seen it looks like theres pretty strong lift inside the DGZ and good 700 fronotogensis which should provide 12-15:1 ratios at times for this one during the height of it.

[The 4 Seasons]

20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

we can hope!

Saturday Night

Snow, mainly after 10pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 18. Light and variable wind. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 6 to 10 inches possible.

Sunday

Snow, mainly before noon. High near 29. Northeast wind around 7 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

8-14? seems a little agro

[CT Rain]

22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Actually it has…I can give you an example…January blizzard in 2016.  New Haven got croaked, and Tolland got fringed.  So it does happen from time to time. But it won’t with sat/sun. 

My favorite kind of storm!

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CT Rain said:

My favorite kind of storm!

And we know why.

[WinterWolf]

17 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

I can think of one actually...

Yup, I mentioned this to him two posts above this.  

[Damage In Tolland]

27 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Actually it has…I can give you an example…January blizzard in 2016.  New Haven got croaked, and Tolland got fringed.  So it does happen from time to time. But it won’t with sat/sun. 

There was not anything like that. Not that extreme . Crack another brew 

[dmillz25]

3-8” on average from NYC through SNE/CNE is pretty lit

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Yup, I mentioned this to him two posts above this.  

literally not much else i can think of except maybe Jan 7 2011. NE CT 2-4. HVN area 10-12

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

There was not anything like that. Not that extreme . Crack another brew 

cue Curb music...look right above your post. Tolland 5.. HVN area 12.5, 14.4" here. Dont you remember that blizzard? its NYC all timer.  I remember you saying that night NYC might get 35-50