Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[ORH_wxman]

I like how the 850 closes off and deepens as it crosses the south coast. That how you get good weenie bands to the north of it. You’re also probably going to prolong some hang-back precip too early Sunday with the extra inflow. 

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Here you go Jerry...  

https://www.atmos.albany.edu/gopher-local/albany/FOUS61

Thanks John!

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I like how the 850 closes off and deepens as it crosses the south coast. That how you get good weenie bands to the north of it. You’re also probably going to prolong some hang-back precip too early Sunday with the extra inflow. 

We love some hang back 

[George001]

54 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

 

Looks like crap still. Quick thump and then mixed bag 

You said it would be weak and strung out not too long ago, now you are worried it’s going by to amp up too much and rain? Nothing wrong with being more conservative, but pick one and stick to it.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

This is only 42 minutes old…and it’s already rotten and spoiled. You need some major help pal. Ya hate to see it..but your takes are trash. 

You should make rap videos about debbies. I can picture you with Greta beat boxing in the background as you rev your sled surrounded by a pack of wolves:

Yo blizz, You’re a spoiled weak ass,

Ya hate to see it but your takes are trash.

Get some help pal. 

Wolfman, I’m out.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

NAM was great here. Hope it’s right. 8+. Would go a long way after the last 3 + years 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I like how the 850 closes off and deepens as it crosses the south coast. That how you get good weenie bands to the north of it. You’re also probably going to prolong some hang-back precip too early Sunday with the extra inflow. 

I was going to point out, NAM hangs light snow back over eastern ma through almost noon Sunday 

[Prismshine Productions]

NAM gives me 8, HRRR had 10, ALY finally got off their ass and posted a Winter Storm Watch for 5-10

[Prismshine Productions]

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations 7 or more
  inches possible.

* WHERE...Portions eastern New York including the southwest
  Adirondacks, Mohawk Valley, Lake George northern Saratoga Region,
  Washington County and southern Vermont.

* WHEN...From Saturday evening through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be difficult.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

19z NWS Blend Product for the curious.

[weatherwiz]

21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I like how the 850 closes off and deepens as it crosses the south coast. That how you get good weenie bands to the north of it. You’re also probably going to prolong some hang-back precip too early Sunday with the extra inflow. 

Even some kinking going on at 700. But that's a nice H7 fronto band that develops...probably a bit too late down in Connecticut but this would bode well probably Pike on north...that's where there is a good chance for some widespread 6-8" totals

[weatherwiz]

Much liking the structure of the precip shield too on the 3km. Very uniform distribution of dbz and not crappy dbz either

[tunafish]

5 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

19z NWS Blend Product for the curious.

PWM jack?  I wouldn't complain but I would be surprised.

[MJO812]

13 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

19z NWS Blend Product for the curious.

That seems too far north 

[Sn0waddict]

RGEM not buying the NAM fun. 

[tamarack]

21 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

19z NWS Blend Product for the curious.

Looks like another 2-4 or 3-5 here.  Enough of these dime-quarter events could add up to a lot of snow.  

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

9 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

That seems too far north 

Yeah, they use a snow ratio algorithm of some sort and the end result is usually a northwards shift in snow totals as compared to 10:1 maps. Here's the QPF map at the same hour. 

[weatherwiz]

18z NAM bufkit certainly rips at BDL for a good 3-4 hours. But it also really likes the ratios too under the stronger omega. That's some pretty hourly rates there

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

18z NAM bufkit certainly rips at BDL for a good 3-4 hours. But it also really likes the ratios too under the stronger omega. That's some pretty hourly rates there

I never understood why these go backwards. My adhd brain can’t handle time that runs from right to left..

[dryslot]

30 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

19z NWS Blend Product for the curious.

I like hr 239 better 

[GaWx]

I was asked if a relative’s JetBlue flight leaving Logan ~7AM Sunday morning (to ATL) will likely be canceled. Anyone have a feel for this? Next JetBlue flight to ATL not til 4PM (too late). Thanks in advance.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

I like hr 239 better.

Yeah, I'm not sure I've ever seen so much "Pivotal Peach, 24+" color on one of those before.

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, GaWx said:

I was asked if a relative’s JetBlue flight leaving Logan ~7AM Sunday morning (to ATL) will likely be canceled? Anyone have a feel for this? Next JetBlue flight to ATL not til 4PM (too late). Thanks in advance.

Decent chance it’s at least delayed. The airport likely isn’t closing down though from this one. 

[weathafella]

2 minutes ago, GaWx said:

I was asked if a relative’s JetBlue flight leaving Logan ~7AM Sunday morning (to ATL) will likely be canceled. Anyone have a feel for this? Next JetBlue flight to ATL not til 4PM (too late). Thanks in advance.

Hi Larry!  The big issue is will they cancel the inbound flight that becomes your relative’s outbound.  I would think at the very least a delay.  If they can leave for Atlanta tomorrow it’s safer.

[SouthCoastMA]

21 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

That seems too far north 

Seems pretty accurate though. 10:1+ gains are more likely north where the mid-level goods are. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Decent chance it’s at least delayed. The airport likely isn’t closing down though from this one. 

Violently agree 

[HoarfrostHubb]

I do wish it was starting a few hours later... these always seem to speed up from a few days earlier

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

I do wish it was starting a few hours later... these always seem to speed up from a few days earlier

Agree..will stil be snowing in morning from hang back precip..but the heavier stuff appears to be overnight/early morning

[CoastalWx]

Gfs looks great.

[mahk_webstah]

21 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Hi Larry!  The big issue is will they cancel the inbound flight that becomes your relative’s outbound.  I would think at the very least a delay.  If they can leave for Atlanta tomorrow it’s safer.

Good advice