Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[JC-CT]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I was mocked this morning for going 2-4 isolated 5 or 6

you get mocked for being a one-trick pony

[mahk_webstah]

2 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Gfs looks good. 

For who

[CoastalWx]

GFS looks pretty good. Definitely has the look of a jack route two into southern New Hampshire.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GFS would be 8"+ in northern CT several hours in the goods.. 

yep

[WinterWolf]

7 minutes ago, FXWX said:

It's amazing... We have multiple sh$t winters in a row, and a good chunk of this winter has sucked, and now we are entering a wonderfully looking pattern and this thread becomes a crap show.  Will every storm be a powder-fest?  NO!  It's never been the case.  It's almost always about mixture and transition zones, jackpots or screw zones.  That's what 99% of our good winters are like.  Just enjoy the friggin pattern!!!

So true…folks are f’n nuts.  Thanks John for putting things into perspective, and keeping it really real. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Scooter is always infatuated with route 2 and SNH. Talks about it more than his S Wey area 

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Scooter is always infatuated with route 2 and SNH. Talks about it more than his S Wey area 

Raise your hands in ayer, if you’z a true playa

[ineedsnow]

GFS increased a bit from 6z wasn't expecting that

[WxWatcher007]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS increased a bit from 6z wasn't expecting that

Would like to see that with the euro too

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

GFS increased a bit from 6z wasn't expecting that

4-8..we Snow. We plow. We take. We enjoy.  

[WinterWolf]

18 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

you get mocked for being a one-trick pony

Ya..”Negative Naggy” there in Taunton is ready for the glue factory. 

[mahk_webstah]

I kind of feel like this storm will come back to what we were looking at three or four days ago. What I mean by that is maybe another tick north but not too much further. And something that’s more like 4 to 12 inches broadly across the region. Most will be 6 to 10. I don’t know if the ratios and Snow growth look as good as they did a few days ago, but that was a bit of a wild card in our favor at least initially.
 

it’s hard to grapple with the other systems in the pipeline because we have so many. Most of the energy now is on Sunday, but we really should have a thread for Tuesday and one for Thursday Friday and then one for the weekend. All of those are potentially very impactful.

 

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I kind of feel like this storm will come back to what we were looking at three or four days ago. What I mean by that is maybe another tick north but not too much further. And something that’s more like 4 to 12 inches broadly across the region. Most will be 6 to 10. I don’t know if the ratios and Snow growth look as good as they did a few days ago, but that was a bit of a wild card in our favor at least initially.
 

it’s hard to grapple with the other systems in the pipeline because we have so many. Most of the energy now is on Sunday, but we really should have a thread for Tuesday and one for Thursday Friday and then one for the weekend. All of those are potentially very impactful.

 

Nothing on tuesday.

[WxWatcher007]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Nothing on tuesday.

Euro hasn’t let go of Tuesday yet down here at least, so I think that’s still viable. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro hasn’t let go of Tuesday yet down here at least, so I think that’s still viable. 

GFS on it's own 

[dryslot]

1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro hasn’t let go of Tuesday yet down here at least, so I think that’s still viable. 

Splitting hairs but it looked like 0z weds

[ineedsnow]

close in but the GEFS look great!

[mahk_webstah]

10 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Nothing on tuesday.

Probably not for us.  But for SNE!?  But thurs-Sunday look potentially very big.  Is it 2 systems?  Which one has bigger potential? To me there could be a thread for that period.  Wed-thurs on Wunderground is 9” and Sat-Sunday is 11

[dryslot]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

Probably not for us.  But for SNE!?  But thurs-Sunday look potentially very big.  Is it 2 systems?  Which one has bigger potential? To me there could be a thread for that period

Been modeled well, Thursday is our shot for an all snow event, Sunday could be messy but that is still a long way out

[SouthCoastMA]

Thursday looks a bit amped at the moment. Still 5-6 days out though

[mahk_webstah]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Been modeled well, Thursday is our shot for an all snow event, Sunday could be messy but that is still a long way out

Thursday is 6 days out so it should be be threaded lol!  
even if Sunday ends up messy, it would probably have a good front end. Then a solid 20” pack for whatever comes next.

[dryslot]

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

Thursday is 6 days out so it should be be threaded lol!  
even if Sunday ends up messy, it would probably have a good front end. Then a solid 20” pack for whatever comes next.

I would prefer something with a little meat to it, These fluff storms are tough for building a base to ride on until it sets up.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

GEFS last three runs definitely grabbing onto the HRRR idea of primary to Binghamton.. Have to monitor that closely .. They have warmed pretty significantly since 00z.. This is mostly a CT issue ATM

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

12z ICON and 6z EURO look really close.. GFS will probably come down a bit at 12z

It actually bumped me up an inch.

[Prismshine Productions]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

GEFS last three runs definitely grabbing onto the HRRR idea of primary to Binghamton.. Have to monitor that closely .. 

increases moisture NoP/Rt2 while causing mix issues on the coast?

[Damage In Tolland]

43 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Raise your hands in ayer, if you’z a true playa

lol. He absolutely can’t help himself 

[Digityman]

2 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

What the heck's going on this morning. Everyone is freaking out. I swear this forum is bipolar LOL. Yesterday everybody was up in the sky today. They're freaking out like there's a apocalypse coming. 

Regardless of what happens, it is what it is. Taking the NAM and running with it at the moment is very silly. Not that it doesn't have any impact on what's going to happen with Saturday night's storm, but the other larger models are still looking like they are a go with the storm for our area. Let's see where the 12z shows and go from there. But man, stop the freak out people!

New here? 

/S

[weathafella]

I think 4-8 as a general rule with some spots picking up 8+.   Tuesday night is viable still considering today is 108 hours out still.  The VDay system should be juicy.  Anyone who stays all snow with that will have a pile by next weekend!

[TheSnowman]

2 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

What the heck's going on this morning. Everyone is freaking out. I swear this forum is bipolar LOL. Yesterday everybody was up in the sky today. They're freaking out like there's a apocalypse coming. 

Regardless of what happens, it is what it is. Taking the NAM and running with it at the moment is very silly. Not that it doesn't have any impact on what's going to happen with Saturday night's storm, but the other larger models are still looking like they are a go with the storm for our area. Let's see where the 12z shows and go from there. But man, stop the freak out people!

You must be New Here.  

Will is our Resident Genius & Historian, ORH means Worcester by the way.  Ray is our long term forecaster and Toaster Suicideer.  Watch out when he’s getting Screw Zoned, can be worse than me.  Everyone Loves Gerry.  Kevin Annoys us All, but when you first get annoyed, expect your official AmericanWX Boards Patch, it’ll come in the mail by way of our old pal Messenger.  

Oh, & I’m the Accordion Player.  Ya.  Dinner Mints are on the left.  Snow Weeinies Anonymous meets on Saturday at Typhoon Tip’s house.  (Make sure you learn some stats about Typhoon Tip before attending)  

 

Welcome.  

[Snowcrazed71]

4 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

You must be New Here.  

Will is our Resident Genius & Historian, ORH means Worcester by the way.  Ray is our long term forecaster and Toaster Suicideer.  Watch out when he’s getting Screw Zoned, can be worse than me.  Everyone Loves Gerry.  Kevin Annoys us All, but when you first get annoyed, expect your official AmericanWX Boards Patch, it’ll come in the mail by way of our old pal Messenger.  

Oh, & I’m the Accordion Player.  Ya.  Dinner Mints are on the left.  Snow Weeinies Anonymous meets on Saturday at Typhoon Tip’s house.  (Make sure you learn some stats about Typhoon Tip before attending)  

 

Welcome.  

No man I'm not that new LOL. I've been on here for several years. I just don't have the same knowledge as some of these guys. I listen and ask questions. But what I have learned is the amount of people who pounce on you. If you don't ask the right question, or the meltdowns ( which I myself have had ) And definitely getting to know the different characteristics of each person. I was just making the statement because it was getting a little unhinged there.