Feb 9: Iggles flying, weenies high-fivin’: the kickoff to a great stretch

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

just having fun with the NAM, GEFS EPS have been very consistent.. 

The only risk of a southward whiff would be if we saw this rapidly attenuate....but that doesn't appear to be the case on this event unlike today's.

[Spanks45]

43 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Yea. Thinking 3-6” across sne. 

Yeah, told the kids 4-6 last night....go from. 1-2 today, 4-6 Saturday night, and dare I say 6-10 for the one after?

[The 4 Seasons]

9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You're not whiffing with a vort tracking over our fannies...what is going on in here?

lotta de-lulu and neg nancying

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

lotta de-lulu and neg nancying

too many nancy's .. RGEM holds serve .. solid 4"+ for all of SNE / CNE would cash in with some mid level magic

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You're not whiffing with a vort tracking over our fannies...what is going on in here?

Personally less concerned about a whiff than I am about this slicing and dicing until it’s another nuisance 1-3” event 

[WinterWolf]

48 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nobody is getting 6” unless trends reverse. Look at what every storm has done as we approach go time this year 

I’ll remember to bump this later. Lmao. 

[George001]

21 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Personally less concerned about a whiff than I am about this slicing and dicing until it’s another nuisance 1-3” event 

I wouldn’t expect double digits with this setup but that’s too far in the other direction. 3-6/4-8 is a reasonable call at this range

[dryslot]

After looking actually, The reggie ticked a bit north at 12z fwiw and that's not much at hr 84.

[WinterWolf]

41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You're not whiffing with a vort tracking over our fannies...what is going on in here?

The sane thing that always does….somebody mentions a whiff by the NAM…and in a few posts it’s a POS and missing, and then we have posts  saying the next one misses too. What a place.  Ridiculous. 

[WinterWolf]

59 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nobody is getting 6” unless trends reverse. Look at what every storm has done as we approach go time this year 

What trends?  The NAM?  Wtf is happening to you? 

[The 4 Seasons]

GFS tickling north it seems, gonna be a pretty big hit for most this run

[The 4 Seasons]

[WxWatcher007]

I don’t think 3-6/4-8 is unreasonable for CT given where the models are right now, high res when it’s actually in a useful range pending. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Speeding up in time starts in CT between 6-8pm Saturday night.. has the EURO look of a 4 hour thump of heavy snow .. Has a crazy fronto band along mass VT/NH border likely 2-3" per hour rates.. 

[CoastalWx]

Maybe I can CJ Sunday morning to something fun.

[joey2002]

12 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

GFS tickling north it seems, gonna be a pretty big hit for most this run

Slightly north, but the GFS has been pretty consistent with a good hit for a couple days now which hopefully is a good thing. 
 

[Damage In Tolland]

Another one we can’t get to linger and hang precip back long. I miss those 

[Winter Wizard]

Widespread 4-8" looks like a solid bet for most of SNE. 

[George001]

Just now, joey2002 said:

Slightly north, but the GFS has been pretty consistent with a good hit for a couple days now which hopefully is a good thing. 
 

Yeah nice hit, uniform 6-7 inches for most of SNE

[Spanks45]

9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Speeding up in time starts in CT between 6-8pm Saturday night.. has the EURO look of a 4 hour thump of heavy snow .. Has a crazy fronto band along mass VT/NH border likely 2-3" per hour rates.. 

Good....would love to clear things up Sunday, too many basketball games to reschedule if we have to cancel on Sunday. Another overnight event, besides today, most have come at night this year.

[joey2002]

3 minutes ago, George001 said:

Yeah nice hit, uniform 6-7 inches for most of SNE

Yeah and I’m guessing that ratios would probably be higher than 10:1 in northern areas given a solution like that or in any banding that occurs. 

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Good....would love to clear things up Sunday, too many basketball games to reschedule if we have to cancel on Sunday. Another overnight event, besides today, most have come at night this year.

Coming at night… Lots do, no doubt. Noticed this as a kid too. 

[Spanks45]

4 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Coming at night… Lots do, no doubt. Noticed this as a kid too. 

As we get further into February, it is the best way to maximize accumulation. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

As we get further into February, it is the best way to maximize accumulation. 

That’s a joke…don’t fall for that crap. Good storm and rates, with a good airmass and it doesn’t matter at all. 

[ORH_wxman]

15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Another one we can’t get to linger and hang precip back long. I miss those 

Fast flow. You don’t get lingering storms…on the coast it might prolong a bit with the 925-850 flow trying to enhance things and almost an IVT look as it departs. But otherwise it’s a quick hitter. Best chance for prolonged snow  is maybe we can get some prolonged overrunning next week for a time. But often it ends up focusing into a narrower window. 

[DavisStraight]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Nobody is getting 6” unless trends reverse. Look at what every storm has done as we approach go time this year 

Your biased by today's piece of crap, we had one last month over perform by quite a bit.

[Spanks45]

6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That’s a joke…don’t fall for that crap. Good storm and rates, with a good airmass and it doesn’t matter at all. 

Oh, not saying it won't accumulate....but 29⁰ on February 16th will accumulate better at night than at 1pm, especially in sun exposed areas. Q

[Sn0waddict]

GFS brings a warm nose fairly close to here. Hopefully we can keep that south of us.

[WinterWolf]

11 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

Oh, not saying it won't accumulate....but 29⁰ on February 16th will accumulate better at night than at 1pm, especially in sun exposed areas. Q

Nah..not at all.  Have to disagree..especially on 2/16 which is prime climo. And any difference at all would be negligible.  
 

See April 4th 2016 in down town Boston with all powder snow in the height of the afternoon, no issues accumulating.  

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

GFS brings a warm nose fairly close to here. Hopefully we can keep that south of us.

Ya we get a good 4 hour thump then warm nose and probably freezing drizzle for a while verbatim . But still several inches before that