mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Buckle up. I took off tomorrow. I work from home, but am expecting a delay with school. Not sure I believe the GFS output, it’s FRAM assumes all liquid will accrete onto surfaces. We know that heavier precip will run off before it can freeze and sleet piles up like snow instead of sticking to trees. Either way, looks like a messy morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 minutes ago, HighStakes said: And temps never really get that warm after precip moves out. Maybe mid 30's by late day. It’s def a worse case scenario for ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 So coming back from Frederick to Kemp Mill I need to leave Frederuck by what time to be safe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, WEATHER53 said: So coming back from Frederick to Kemp Mill I need to leave Frederuck by what time to be safe? When are you supposed to be traveling? Precip is out of the area by noon. Temps won’t get above freezing until around then too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Hrrr says.. Not too many worries.. Not much freezing stuff.. Is it even reliable for this type of event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, midatlanticweather said: Hrrr says.. Not too many worries.. Not much freezing stuff.. Is it even reliable for this type of event? Hmm. 15z hrr has .2” qpf up here by 4am with more to come. I wouldn’t classify that as nothing to worry about 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I will take the UKIE...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 24 minutes ago, mappy said: When are you supposed to be traveling? Precip is out of the area by noon. Temps won’t get above freezing until around then too Tonight around 7-8pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 17 minutes ago, mappy said: Hmm. 15z hrr has .2” qpf up here by 4am with more to come. I wouldn’t classify that as nothing to worry about Location does matter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: I will take the UKIE...lol Sure, show us. Randomly show an inch of snow today? haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Sure, show us. Randomly show an inch of snow today? haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Must be some algorithm issues there lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 10 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: Tonight around 7-8pm There’s nothing really until much later 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 8 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Location does matter Fair. But you made the broad statement it wasn’t anything to worry about. Maybe for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 34/20.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Euro not as icy as GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 How does sleet look tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: How does sleet look tonight? Hard to say. It will be dark. Makes seeing things difficult. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 16 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: How does sleet look tonight? Maybe some light sleet for HoCo 10pmish per Euro. More widespread after midnight 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 25 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: How does sleet look tonight? Generally clear and round and bouncy 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 17z HRRR a bit more widespread with precip after 8-9pm. DC gets a good band of frozen before midnight 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 HRRR is has a lot more QPF than prior runs 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 We should turn this thread to OBS 34.9/19.5 here in 21057 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, Interstate said: We should turn this thread to OBS 34.9/19.5 here in 21057 Yeah turning it into obs is fine @ravensrule can you edit the title to include Obs? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 18z HRRR covers the entire event. Quite a bit of QPF with it. I didn't think it was gonna be that much? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Blech. Hrrr is warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Blech. Hrrr is warm. yeah does seem warmer for you and others south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Given that this was never going to be a true snow event, whenever it comes to ice the warmer the better. 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Briefly hit 36 for a high. Back down to 34 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3K with a decent thump of sleet upfront for NOVA. Spotty precip after that though. If we stay below freezing I think accretion wont be an issue with it being that light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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