ravensrule Posted yesterday at 04:31 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:31 AM Trending towards more ice. Let’s bring this baby home. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted yesterday at 05:40 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:40 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted yesterday at 09:09 AM Share Posted yesterday at 09:09 AM WB 6Z 12K NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 10:51 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:51 AM 6z gfs is so weak that we don’t get much ice or snow before the main event in Thursday, which is all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted yesterday at 11:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:53 AM The mesos are at range, but they certainly look better than the globals for this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 12:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:19 PM 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: 6z gfs is so weak that we don’t get much ice or snow before the main event in Thursday, which is all rain. Eh, looked okay to me. I do prefer the hi-res depictions with a tiny bit of WAA snow before the sleet/FRZA before we mostly dryslot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted yesterday at 12:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:46 PM Bit of ice mainly in predawn hours, no? All rain by morning commute?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted yesterday at 01:20 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:20 PM I'm nervous for my deck railings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted yesterday at 01:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:42 PM 21 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: I'm nervous for my deck railings Be careful with your lawn chairs and trash can lids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted yesterday at 02:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:19 PM We're due for glazed trees. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 02:21 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:21 PM The PSU north ice event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM 12Z NAM ptype and soundings suggest an initial shot of snow followed by a longer period of sleet. It eventually goes to rain or freezing rain but with very marginal surface temperatures until you get closer to the MD-PA border. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted yesterday at 03:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:13 PM 1 hour ago, yoda said: Be careful with your lawn chairs and trash can lids Be sure to bring your patio umbrellas inside too. They can tip over with enough ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted yesterday at 03:14 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:14 PM NAM has thunder sleet at JYO that sounds fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted yesterday at 03:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:16 PM There is a pretty good consensus for a messy early Thursday morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 03:16 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:16 PM NAM has a very thin accumulating snow band mostly north of our area ahead of the ice. RGEM putting it right through central MD. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted yesterday at 03:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:26 PM NAM has a very thin accumulating snow band mostly north of our area ahead of the ice. RGEM putting it right through central MD. Normally I’d say throw it out but.. it kinda nailed the last storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 03:51 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:51 PM GFS still has the N and W event. It's CAD and freezing down here too, but we all know how that's gonna go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted yesterday at 03:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:53 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS still has the N and W event. It's CAD and freezing down here too, but we all know how that's gonna go. Close Faquier county schools? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted yesterday at 03:54 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:54 PM GFS is a tick cooler... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 03:54 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:54 PM Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Close Faquier county schools? Yes, absolutely. Drizzle should arrive before 5am decision time on Thursday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted yesterday at 04:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:18 PM Sorry wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted yesterday at 04:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:22 PM We don’t lose the 925 level until after 12z on Thursday on the GFS, and 15z up by PA. Seems like about 0.30” frozen in DC on the NAM/GFS/GEM before changeover. Edit - lowballed the RGEM, 0.70” frozen 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted yesterday at 04:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:41 PM Wasn’t the rgem the only one that got it right last time by keeping the mixing in around DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Swiscaster Posted yesterday at 04:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:45 PM What is the timing on this? I am supposed to be driving back to Centreville, VA from Mechanicsburg, PA on Wednesday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted yesterday at 04:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:52 PM What is the timing on this? I am supposed to be driving back to Centreville, VA from Mechanicsburg, PA on Wednesday afternoon.3am to 8amish on Thursday. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted yesterday at 05:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:42 PM Euro seems meh for anything in the metros. N and W thing I guess, but it seems even kinda meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 05:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:45 PM 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro seems meh for anything in the metros. N and W thing I guess, but it seems even kinda meh It's the most meh of all guidance still for sure - but this would be impactful NW. It's ~28 in PSU-land, it's not super heavy, it should accrete. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted yesterday at 05:48 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:48 PM 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: It's the most meh of all guidance still for sure - but this would be impactful NW. It's ~28 in PSU-land, it's not super heavy, it should accrete. Is this an increase and or south from 6z and 0z ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted yesterday at 05:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:50 PM I’m just eyeing this up for a sneaky day off school in an otherwise long week 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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