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Discussion-OBS Mainly midnight Wed night Feb 5-Noon Thu Feb 6 Snow-ice changing to rain Thu morning except ice may linger through Noon parts of I84 corridor.


wdrag
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16 hours ago, jm1220 said:

It’ll be a race between the heavier snow rates and the warm nose aloft. If the heavier rates work out, many of us even the city and coast can see 2-3”. If it’s shredded up, the warm air will have an easier time advancing and sleet/rain will mix in earlier. In the shredded up case I doubt many near the coast/city get over an inch. We need strong lift and rates to hold back the warm mid level push. Maybe it can be held off until the precip is almost done. 

Looks like you were correct, that if it didn't start out heavy, the warm air would have an easier time, changing it to a mix very quickly.  

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32 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Still 31F here with sleet falling, but 33F reported in Carteret about 7-8 miles to my ENE - wonder if being a bit further west matters for this one with regard to being a little colder. Paved surfaces are very slippery.

Up to 32F but still sleeting with some freezing rain mixed in with 0.4" of mostly sleet on the ground.  Looks like this is about over for us, as temps are above 32F to my S/SE/E and even NE.  Temps still 30F or less from about New Hope to Somerville to Madison and NW of that line, so more frozen to go there.  

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LOL huge underperformer yet again? Not surprised at all, it forgot how to snow in our region. Still pretty confident central park ends February under 5". The next storm will be a carbon copy of this one, and the 1/11 one should miss south or weaken dramatically. We just cant buy a good snowstorm after 2022.

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5 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Thanks Don,

This has to be the greatest number of accumulating snowfalls before reaching 10 inches for Central Park.

Central park may not reach 10" this winter. 

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