Discussion-OBS Mainly midnight Wed night Feb 5-Noon Thu Feb 6 Snow-ice changing to rain Thu morning except ice may linger through Noon parts of I84 corridor.

[Tatamy]

Light freezing drizzle here.  27/24

[rgwp96]

Sleet and light snow 27/19

[sussexcountyobs]

22.8 with light snizzle falling.

[rgwp96]

1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said:

22.8 with light snizzle falling.

Not looking good for a front end dump , hoping heavier precip changes it to snow for a few hrs 

[binbisso]

Snowing everything coated in the south bronx. Radar starting to ramp up

[Tatamy]

Moderate freezing rain 28/26

[rgwp96]

2 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

Moderate freezing rain 28/26

So much for the heavier rates changing it to snow  that I was hoping for 

[Tatamy]

1 minute ago, rgwp96 said:

So much for the heavier rates changing it to snow  that I was hoping for 

Certainly doesn’t look like it to me at least for places south and west of the city.  

[Bxstormwatcher360]

19 minutes ago, binbisso said:

Snowing everything coated in the south bronx. Radar starting to ramp up

So far so good on no mixing here. Also the winds switched from ese to ene,should help us here for a little bit for more snow up here.

[rgwp96]

7 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

So far so good on no mixing here. Also the winds switched from ese to ene,should help us here for a little bit for more snow up here.

I’m well nw of you and I have sleet never a good sign 

[ForestHillWx]

25/23 here. I can hear some pingers. Maybe it flips back when the heavier rates get over head. 

Roads were brined, and the salt truck just passed the house so they are taking this seriously in my town thankfully. 

[dmillz25]

Snow/Sleet mix here

[Bxstormwatcher360]

8 minutes ago, rgwp96 said:

I’m well nw of you and I have sleet never a good sign 

Yeah that is odd,i havent heard pinging yet but i think it goes all snow once the heavy slug of moisture comes thru. Its snow covered in the bronx right now.

[dmillz25]

15 minutes ago, Bxstormwatcher360 said:

Yeah that is odd,i havent heard pinging yet but i think it goes all snow once the heavy slug of moisture comes thru. Its snow covered in the bronx right now.

You should be mixing soon

Mostly sleet here now

[RU848789]

Snow/sleet mix here at 30F with about 1/4" of snow/sleet on the ground as of 5:30 am. Radar looks juicy. Wasn't supposed to be sleet yet. If we've already had a permanent changeover that's way early and means we're likely not going to get more than 1/2" or so of sleet (~1.5" of snow "equivalent" by mass). Sleet being reported in most CNJ locations from what I've seen. NAM for the win, if so, and a significant model and forecast bust for most, IMO, as the changeover to sleet wasn't supposed to occur until 7-8 am. I wonder if this also means we might get more freezing rain than expected, which would suck.

[rgwp96]

2 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Snow/sleet mix here at 30F with about 1/4" of snow/sleet on the ground as of 5:30 am. Radar looks juicy. Wasn't supposed to be sleet yet. If we've already had a permanent changeover that's way early and means we're likely not going to get more than 1/2" or so of sleet (~1.5" of snow "equivalent" by mass). Sleet being reported in most CNJ locations from what I've seen. NAM for the win, if so, and a significant model and forecast bust for most, IMO, as the changeover to sleet wasn't supposed to occur until 7-8 am. I wonder if this also means we might get more freezing rain than expected, which would suck.

Sleet being reported in Sussex county nj. Nam for the win for soundings that’s for sure 

[steve392]

Heavy sleet in little ferry, nj at. Won't be a fun drive north. 

[dmillz25]

Snow fighting back now

[LibertyBell]

48 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

Certainly doesn’t look like it to me at least for places south and west of the city.  

looks like heavy sleet here

[LibertyBell]

13 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Snow/sleet mix here at 30F with about 1/4" of snow/sleet on the ground as of 5:30 am. Radar looks juicy. Wasn't supposed to be sleet yet. If we've already had a permanent changeover that's way early and means we're likely not going to get more than 1/2" or so of sleet (~1.5" of snow "equivalent" by mass). Sleet being reported in most CNJ locations from what I've seen. NAM for the win, if so, and a significant model and forecast bust for most, IMO, as the changeover to sleet wasn't supposed to occur until 7-8 am. I wonder if this also means we might get more freezing rain than expected, which would suck.

sleet counts as snow so technically it's snow at a 2:1 ratio

[wdrag]

Wantage NJ 0.2" sleet in the past hr 21.4. Snow mixed at times past 1a5 minutes. If you're gotten snow accumulation by this time, you are blessed. 

[LoboLeader1]

27 here currently, very light snow falling. Judging from the radar, precip should be out of here by 1PM.

[Volcanic Winter]

Definitely some icing down here at TR / Manchester border. Just ticked up to 33F, was below freezing most of the night here. 
 

[rgwp96]

4 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Wantage NJ 0.2" sleet in the past hr 21.4. Snow mixed at times past 1a5 minutes. If you're gotten snow accumulation by this time, you are blessed. 

Figured we were in trouble as nam soundings were Def Warmer up above than other modlels

[RU848789]

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

sleet counts as snow so technically it's snow at a 2:1 ratio

In my experience measuring sleet, it's more like a 3:1 ratio, although that ratio can range from 2-4:1.  

https://www.wral.com/story/how-to-measure-rain-snow-and-sleet/21158392/

[RU848789]

Everything is coated with a very slippery layer of snow/sleet and any untreated surfaces are treacherous; even the brined road we live on is very slippery. As I've said countless times, when it comes to impacts on travel and removal, frozen mass is way more important than depth (except for visibility impacts which are nil for sleet); also, sleet melts more slowly than snow once temps go above 32F, given the much lower surface area to volume/mass ratio (less surface area is exposed to warmer air per unit mass). Up to 31F now and worried about freezing rain coming, although still a mixture of maybe 80% sleet/20% snow.

[cannoliman42]

Ping city over here in NW Queens. Much earlier than expected. Gotta hand it to the NAM. 

[rgwp96]

Def more snow mixing back in northern Morris county 

[Pequest]

Woke up to the sound of pingers on my windowsill at 5:30am. Looking at my Ring cams during the overnight it appears it came down as sleet from the getgo. As others have said, NAM for the win!

[LAVistaNY]

Westchester along the CT border @600 ft

Light dusting 23° with light snow