ILSNOW Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 agreed hope to get some snow from the saturday system. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Hi-Res keep drying this thing out. So do the globals, but to a lesser extent. HRRR has me down to about 0.02" of ice. NAM at 0.01". IWX holding off on headlines until the morning. Expect a WWA even if it's just a glaze since even that can cause problems on the roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Still a complete crush job on the 12z Euro for NW Ohio while it's peanuts on the NAM. I think CLE likely goes ahead with a Winter Storm or Ice Storm Warning tomorrow morning if we can get some model consensus, that east wind off the icy lake should help metro Toledo combat surface temp increases coming from both the warm surge of air aloft along with the latent heat release that comes with freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 The 18z euro is the driest run yet here. It has .02 total precip for this “storm”. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Well that went to hell fast. Imagine the meltdown had this been a 3-6”er down to less than an inch inside 24 hours. I’m good without the ice though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 11 minutes ago, Harry Perry said: Well that went to hell fast. Imagine the meltdown had this been a 3-6”er down to less than an inch inside 24 hours. I’m good without the ice though. Yeah. A stronger and more organized storm would have given both of us freezing rain changing to rain. There was never really much chance of snow for either of us with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Dry air wins on the potential snowband for this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 14 hours ago, roardog said: Yeah. A stronger and more organized storm would have given both of us freezing rain changing to rain. There was never really much chance of snow for either of us with this one. Seems like the GFS actually won out with this depiction, then? Most Euro runs were showing a more wound up/impactful system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 37 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Dry air wins on the potential snowband for this morning. It was obvious this one wasn't going to amount to much and with the warm up tomorrow, I was actually okay with it. I had been putting all my hope in Saturday and now that looks like it's going to be a dud here as well. So much for that. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I still have no idea what precip type we get tonight. Models seemed to have backed away from freezing rain and are leaning more snow/sleet but at this point it's anybodys guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: I still have no idea what precip type we get tonight. Models seemed to have backed away from freezing rain and are leaning more snow/sleet but at this point it's anybodys guess. Pretty confident in Toledo getting .2" of freezing rain at this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 0.5”-1” is my best guess for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 On 2/4/2025 at 11:31 AM, sbnwx85 said: Tenth of an inch of ice seems like a solid bet. Someone will jackpot around two tenths. Then it all melts Thursday morning and we do it again Saturday. To steal A-L-E-K's line.... call looking $$$ 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 A few places are getting freezing rain around Cincinnati right now, also Indianapolis. Ice Storm Warning for a few areas of the Mid-Atlantic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Starting to spit on and off already. All liquid falling from the sky so far. Temp at 29. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Have had a few bursts of freezing drizzle. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bowtie` Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 OK, now it is thundering here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 this is what we have been reduced to. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 29 minutes ago, Baum said: this is what we have been reduced to. It’s the most excitement I’ve had in weeks while keeping my pants on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Yep - getting some good claps of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Yep - getting some good claps of thunder.Extremely impressive. And cloud tops are exceeding 30,000 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Slick out here in Naperville. Caught a few patches of ice on “treated surfaces” driving my son home from basketball practice. Apparently some bad wrecks to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Welp. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Very efficient icing conditions when it is raining. Got a nice glaze of ice on the way home tonight in a downpour. Seems like mostly freezing drizzle upstream. We’ll see what more substantial develops if anything. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheeselandSkies Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Nothing even really on the KMKX radar and there are numerous crashes on the WI 511 map due to slippery road conditions; and some of the traffic cameras appear to be iced over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Some of the Ohio WX folks on X are depressed because of too much dry air. I always thought they were overhyping this as usual. This is what is great about being a hurricane guy. If the models are correct, we get a Category 4 hurricane. If the models are incorrect, we get a Category 5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Ice thunderstorm Quote KTOL 060546Z 08010KT 3SM VCTS -FZRA BR FEW011 BKN024 OVC043 M02/M03 A2989 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS TSB25E40 P0015 $ KTOL 060540Z 09011KT 2 1/2SM VCTS FZRA BR FEW011 SCT017 OVC024 M02/M03 A2988 RMK AO2 VIS 1 1/4V4 LTG DSNT ALQDS TSB25E40 P0015 T10221033 $ KTOL 060531Z 11007G15KT 3SM TSFZRA BR FEW011 BKN026 OVC055 M02/M04 A2993 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS TSB25 P0010 T10221039 $ KTOL 060523Z 09010G17KT 3SM FZRA BR BKN026 BKN048 OVC060 M02/M03 A2990 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S-NW P0007 T10171033 $ KTOL 060514Z 08011G20KT 7SM VCTS -FZRA BKN028 BKN036 OVC060 M02/M04 A2990 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT ALQDS P0002 T10221039 $ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 PL/ZR event. Nothing overly exciting. Models showing snow here were wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 It looks like about a half inch of snow here. A real whopper of a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 My car is completely coated with 0.1" of ice. The salt I put on the driveway did almost nothing. All because of this, during the ice thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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