Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential

[Kitz Craver]

14 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

12Z trends looks fantastic so far for SNE. Everything coming in colder and south, GGEM, GFS, UKMET looks like a solid 2-5 for most and then ending as some sleet/zr. Thursday looks like a complete mess.

I like fantastic…  what’s up with that GEFS?

[Kitz Craver]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This is the beginning of a 3-4 week continuous ice/ snow pack . Something I did not think was possible even a week ago. Wolfie said we just don’t know and he didn’t .Every system will stay below freezing 

I have a definite pack fetish, so I hope…

[HoarfrostHubb]

34 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

thinking 3 to 5 here with a little sleet and zr at the end

Same... run of the mill, but we take

[DJln491]

no euro on pivotal yet.  as long as it doesn't run it cant screw us over

[dryslot]

Euro is delayed.

[The 4 Seasons]

 

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Euro is delayed.

whats that source page that has info about model delays etc. i saw someone posted it here a while back, id like the link for that

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

whats that source page that has info about model delays etc. i saw someone posted it here a while back, id like the link for that

Officially, There has been no announcement, I usually get it on SV, It had initialized on time, But that's as far as it got.

[yoda]

7 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

 

whats that source page that has info about model delays etc. i saw someone posted it here a while back, id like the link for that

This?

https://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/prodstat/

 

[ORH_wxman]

Weathermodels kept saying it was out to 144 like 10 min ago but none of the maps loaded anything. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Officially, There has been no announcement, I usually get it on SV, It had initialized on time, But that's as far as it got.

DOGE shut off access to internets from Europe

[dryslot]

Its running now

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, yoda said:

This?

https://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/prodstat/

 

No, not that. I have that one, thats just for the american suite. I forget who shared it but it had information on the european and i think other foreign models? When they were delayed and why. Hopefully someone who knows can share it, id just like to have to link for the future as well. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Weathermodels kept saying it was out to 144 like 10 min ago but none of the maps loaded anything. 

Just means an epic run is about to unfold.. Making us wait for the D-drip.. I'm sure Tip is in involved with it, so he can do a social experiment about how waiting for the Euro an extra 30 minutes affects weenies in New England

[dryslot]

2 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

No, not that. I have that one, thats just for the american suite. I forget who shared it but it had information on the european and i think other foreign models? When they were delayed and why. Hopefully someone who knows can share it, id just like to have to link for the future as well. 

And they just announced one, This is on Storm Vista.

12z ECMWF Delays Subscribe

Update - We are continuing to monitor for any further issues.
Feb 04, 2025 - 12:47 EST

Monitoring - 12z ECMWF Op is delayed at ECPDS.
Feb 04, 2025 - 12:47 EST

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

And they just announced one

12z ECMWF Delays Subscribe

Update - We are continuing to monitor for any further issues.
Feb 04, 2025 - 12:47 EST

Monitoring - 12z ECMWF Op is delayed at ECPDS.
Feb 04, 2025 - 12:47 EST

Yea, i think it was this one! thank you for the link, thats what i was looking for.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Just means an epic run is about to unfold.. Making us wait for the D-drip.. I'm sure Tip is in involved with it, so he can do a social experiment about how waiting for the Euro an extra 30 minutes affects weenies in New England

It's a real dr no thing to do, to be delayed for an hours then still f*** us with a crappy run

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

And they just announced one, This is on Storm Vista.

12z ECMWF Delays Subscribe

Update - We are continuing to monitor for any further issues.
Feb 04, 2025 - 12:47 EST

Monitoring - 12z ECMWF Op is delayed at ECPDS.
Feb 04, 2025 - 12:47 EST

Tariffs?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

It's a real dr no thing to do, to be delayed for an hours then still f*** us with a crappy run

That would be classic

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Tariffs?

Looks like they caved too.

[Kitz Craver]

I’m waiting for an absolute let down from dr no

[dryslot]

Euro moving at a snails pace out to hr 42.

[The 4 Seasons]

Clear trend on the GEM. GFS has been pretty consistent with not much change run-run. And id say the Euro for that matter, overall, being the farthest north and warmest

[dryslot]

Dr No, Still says No.

[ineedsnow]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Dr No, Still says No.

also the NAM is the only model bringing this in so fast that I've seen

[dryslot]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

also the NAM is the only model bringing this in so fast that I've seen

The Dr is pretty far north still and warm.

[CoastalWx]

Fuck the euro. 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, dryslot said:

The Dr is pretty far north still and warm.

ya and start time looks to be between 8 and 10am here

[ineedsnow]

looks like 2 to 4 here before we flip at the end

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Fuck the euro. 

Yup. Yesterday it caved..now it’s back..flip flopper. 

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Yup. Yesterday it caved..now it’s back..flip flopper. 

GFS has been the most consistent, doesn't mean the euro is wrong either. But its kind of on its own with that look. The GFS has support from most of the other models