WinterWolf Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 3 minutes ago, FXWX said: For our area (CT), the timing I'm going with is ideal for widespread school cancellations! Ya John…was thinking that could cancel us out if that’s how it plays out. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 GFS looks good for Thursday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 GFS looks very similar to 18Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 EC/GEM also ticking colder What i find interesting is that GEFS wants nothing to do with the Thursday system, despite the OP being consistently the coldest/farthest south with the LP. Even the GEPS/EPS are much more robust and snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 9 hours ago, tamarack said: Saw it once, way back when I was in HS. January 15, 1961 was a Sunday and my dad and I went ice fishing that afternoon. Caught almost nothing, in part because steady ZR froze on the traps, making them non-functional. About 1/4" accretion when it changed to SN in the evening, with 6" new at sunrise. 95% of the time, an event like that would close the schools, but they had lost 2.5 days in December and a bigger storm was on the horizon, so off we went - no accidents AFAIK. Thurs-Fri brought a 20" blizzard (Fri was JFK inauguration day in snowy DC) costing another school day and winter's biggest on Feb 3-4 yet another. Fortunately for schools, that was a Fri-Sat event with Monday off because plows had no place to push the stuff; NJ had depths 30-50" after that one. That's an unbelievable stretch of winter weather. That is something I would draw up in my basement. I know they have a lot of lousy winters down that way but when things go right down there the results can be incredible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I guess the fact my p/c is showing 1-2" is the reason this thread only has 5 parges. Hopefully the weekend will produce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Looks good for a few inches at least in many areas Thursday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 GFS remains steadfast in advisory snows before slot and drizzle. I don’t think 3-5” is out of the question 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Euro and GFS are both pretty similar for SNE. 3-5” on the front end. NAM is staying paltry with the QPF but we’re still about 2-3 cycles away from the NAM being worth looking at. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro and GFS are both pretty similar for SNE. 3-5” on the front end. NAM is staying paltry with the QPF but we’re still about 2-3 cycles away from the NAM being worth looking at. 6z Euro just bumped North and warmer at 6z, not much snow in SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 15 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 6z Euro just bumped North and warmer at 6z, not much snow in SNE Damn, right when it seemed like it was lining up with the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 19 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 6z Euro just bumped North and warmer at 6z, not much snow in SNE Still looks like 3-4” pike northward but yeah, def skimpier to the south. Euro’s been waffling a decent amount on this one relatively speaking so we’ll see if that is the case again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 17 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Still looks like 3-4” pike northward but yeah, def skimpier to the south. Euro’s been waffling a decent amount on this one relatively speaking so we’ll see if that is the case again. Ya gfs has been very consistent while euro is waffling, let’s see if we can get some agreement on a closer solution today.. im thinking this is a quick coating to 2” south of the pike, and 2-4” north.. Saturday night trending a bit in that direction too but still plenty of time 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Nickels Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Snow to ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Well 3-5 is obviously more enticing than C-2” considering the pack has been or will be, by the end of today completely vaporized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 16 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Well 3-5 is obviously more enticing than C-2” considering the pack has been or will be, by the end of today completely vaporized. 3-5 with some IP/ZR has a lot more staying power than C-2…get two of them in a row and then you’re in business for trying to run the table to the end of the month if you can avoid the rogue cutter since there’s prob more threats beyond sunday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 3-6" is a good number here on Thursday, And probably again on Sunday too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: 3-6" is a good number here on Thursday, And probably again on Sunday too. Think we might be too far north to get much over 3 here, but going to open another trail tonight with the groomer and planning to try the last two Friday night. Not gonna be stellar, but will be a lot better than it currently is ungroomed 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 5 minutes ago, TheMainer said: Think we might be too far north to get much over 3 here, but going to open another trail tonight with the groomer and planning to try the last two Friday night. Not gonna be stellar, but will be a lot better than it currently is ungroomed That's good, Looks like conditions are good over there where you are, I was suppose to go the to the county for a couple days this week but i'm busy at work and could not make it up, Looks like conditions up there were ok but thin in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 minute ago, dryslot said: That's good, Looks like conditions are good over there where you are, I was suppose to go the to the county for a couple days this week but i'm busy at work and could not make it up, Looks like conditions up there were ok but thin in spots. Yeah my house is one of the furthest south places you'd want to leave from, seems to be a snow hole from me to Newport and then Auburn looked like more snow yesterday down by you when I went to the office. If we can pull off a foot in the next 10-12 days then things will be pretty damn good for school vacation week, probably the best conditions for that week in 5 years if we can avoid a cutter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 32 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's good, Looks like conditions are good over there where you are, I was suppose to go the to the county for a couple days this week but i'm busy at work and could not make it up, Looks like conditions up there were ok but thin in spots. I can attest…there is some fabulous riding in the county. And some areas are thin as you said. Stay away from fields at the moment. Allagash and Debouile couldn’t have been any better…and Eagle Lake was actually very good too. Down to caribou was decent to good(a little thin as you got towards town in caribou). But they’ve gotten a few more inches since I’ve been there a week ago. So things are improving too. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 40 minutes ago, TheMainer said: Yeah my house is one of the furthest south places you'd want to leave from, seems to be a snow hole from me to Newport and then Auburn looked like more snow yesterday down by you when I went to the office. If we can pull off a foot in the next 10-12 days then things will be pretty damn good for school vacation week, probably the best conditions for that week in 5 years if we can avoid a cutter The issue around here is there's no base to speak of, These past few storms have been all powder, Looks like the club got out and panned some trails, I think we should be good the rest of the month, Nothing really looks cutterish to me up here ATT, We may not get all of them as some of these going forward remain south but we look to be in good shape now going forward. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 NAM juiced. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Shifted north as it was pretty far south at this lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 32 minutes ago, dryslot said: The issue around here is there's no base to speak of, These past few storms have been all powder, Looks like the club got out and panned some trails, I think we should be good the rest of the month, Nothing really looks cutterish to me up here ATT, We may not get all of them as some of these going forward remain south but we look to be in good shape now going forward. Yeah we were lucky to maintain at least an inch or two of crusty ice/snow (up to 8 inches in higher elevations) since around Thanksgiving which has been helping tremendously, don't think we'd be doing anything if we didn't have that. Hoping you guys can cash in and establish a good base, I'd like to ride south towards at least Skowhegan or further this year since we've been getting a little burnt out of our area north thats been the only riding possible for 5 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Probably going to be a very narrow area but there may be some spots looking at a decent ZR event. This is going to end up on the colder side in terms of sfc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: NAM juiced. Nice thumping band for pike on that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Just now, TheMainer said: Yeah we were lucky to maintain at least an inch or two of crusty ice/snow (up to 8 inches in higher elevations) since around Thanksgiving which has been helping tremendously, don't think we'd be doing anything if we didn't have that. Hoping you guys can cash in and establish a good base, I'd like to ride south towards at least Skowhegan or further this year since we've been getting a little burnt out of our area north thats been the only riding possible for 5 years I haven't rode local in years, In order to do so, I have to head NW and your rolling the dice on numerous clubs even maintaining the trails, Once you get to Jay, Then its good heading right towards the Rangeley area but its to get there can be problematic especially over the last few years with some of these big rain and wind storms, Not sure if some of these clubs that are shorthanded even went out to cut trees or replace bridges. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Nice thumping band for pike on that run. Narrow area of forcing so although counterintuitive, I think we don't want that over the BM ironically. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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