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Tracking February 6. Light to moderate event potential


Typhoon Tip
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1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Why cancel for a couple of inches only to have them sweat in June. You of all people should no this.

cuz 1-2" of snow and ice on the roads in the low 20s is worse than 4-6" of 32-33F wet snow in feb/march that has a hard a time accumulating on anything paved, especially in low elevations?

The merritt is completely snow covered as are most of the main roads and highways. 

I don't feel like it was any different in the early 2000s when i was in school. People were saying the same thing they do now, "why did we cancel for flurries" etc. Same shite different decade. 

 

Screenshot 2025-02-06 081814.png

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Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

cuz 1-2" of snow and ice on the roads in the low 20s is worse than 4-6" of 32-33F wet snow in feb/march that has a hard a time accumulating on anything paved, especially in low elevations?

The merritt is completely snow covered as are most of the main roads and highways. 

I don't feel like it was any different in the early 2000s when i was in school. People were saying the same thing they do now, "why did we cancel for flurries" etc. Same shite different decade. 

 

Screenshot 2025-02-06 081814.png

I'm talking about here though. Not CT. Obviously it started earlier there. 
Anyways nice and quiet with nobody home FTW.

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Idk…feel like we used to get one of these each winter with temps near 0F as precip breaks out. We’ve had some good SWFEs over the past couple of decades that were pounding S+ with negatives at 2m. 

I feel like for this particular winter this is kind of a 'nadir system' 

Doesn't have to be a stem wound coastal bomb like in 2015 with that 5 F juggernaut, 978 mb low going by to make the point.  It was 8 this morning when the u/a deck capped the cold, and now it is 14 with est 3/4 mi vis of straight down micro dendrite bundles. [edit, now slightly bigger aggregates and est 1/2 mi vis ]

I had mentioned some time ago in this thread that part of this system's advantage was in fact it's translation speed; it is outpacing the surface lag.  By the time any WAA could scour this slab of low cold, it's long gone. 

The systems going forward appear to be on the polar side of the boundary so may be safer. Not sure they'll be this knuckle stinger cold at onset.

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15 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

cuz 1-2" of snow and ice on the roads in the low 20s is worse than 4-6" of 32-33F wet snow in feb/march that has a hard a time accumulating on anything paved, especially in low elevations?

The merritt is completely snow covered as are most of the main roads and highways. 

I don't feel like it was any different in the early 2000s when i was in school. People were saying the same thing they do now, "why did we cancel for flurries" etc. Same shite different decade. 

 

Screenshot 2025-02-06 081814.png

I mean I agree with the crowd here that think we've become too soft... and for sure have! However you're absolutely right. Te cold ground and low temps made the roads instantly slick. I can even feel it in the Power wagon this A.M. Roads are NOT good here right now

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