HoarfrostHubb Posted Sunday at 01:08 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:08 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted Sunday at 01:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:12 PM A nice little 2” refresher sounds nice. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:13 PM 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: With 2-4” new and a cloudy day of 38.. all won’t go unless dews come up that high overnight Dews low 40s too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:15 PM Looks like 1-2.5” or so. Might be a jack near Seymour. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 01:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:15 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Dews low 40s too. If we go the progged 38/37.. some damage will be done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 01:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:18 PM Nice 2-4” event. Looking forward to it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:29 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:29 PM Take the under on 4. Will be more 1-2.5”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 01:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:44 PM 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Take the under on 4. Will be more 1-2.5”. I could see some 3-4” lollis easily if the snow growth is there. Good airmass for this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 01:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:47 PM That’s a pretty nice swath of 0.25”+ on the 06z Euro and GFS is pretty similar…even more robust. So if you’re grabbing 15 to 1 on that it’s gonna produce a lot of 3-4” amounts…and maybe even a 5 spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:48 PM 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I could see some 3-4” lollis easily if the snow growth is there. Good airmass for this one. Berks maybe? Was thinking more for the rest of us. Probably 1-2 ern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:49 PM Nice Atlantic inflow for srn CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 01:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:49 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Berks maybe? Was thinking more for the rest of us. Probably 1-2 ern areas. Def a min on the east coast of MA it seems in this one. Central and western areas are the places that would see the higher lollies 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Sunday at 01:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:50 PM 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: That’s a pretty nice swath of 0.25”+ on the 06z Euro and GFS is pretty similar…even more robust. So if you’re grabbing 15 to 1 on that it’s gonna produce a lot of 3-4” amounts…and maybe even a 5 spot Zones say 2-4 here which seems a little high? But you explain it here I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:53 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:53 PM 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Zones say 2-4 here which seems a little high? But you explain it here I think Maybe a narrow area? Can see a little enhancement on Maine coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Sunday at 01:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:55 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: Maybe a narrow area? Can see a little enhancement on Maine coast. Well Will was talking ratios. .2-.25 =4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted Sunday at 01:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:58 PM Looks like a dusting here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 02:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:03 PM 4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks like a dusting here Congrats on 2” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 02:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:04 PM 7 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Well Will was talking ratios. .2-.25 =4 Yeah good ratios there. I always think 10:1 and then adjust for ratios depending on location. Nam juiced a bit. Looks like 2-3” with maybe a spot 4 srn CT to Wrn RI on north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Sunday at 02:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:04 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats on 2” The tblizz/ineedsnow blend should work well. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 02:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:09 PM 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: The tblizz/ineedsnow blend should work well. He’ll do better than me too. But yeah that is a good weenie ensemble blend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 02:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:14 PM 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah good ratios there. I always think 10:1 and then adjust for ratios depending on location. Nam juiced a bit. Looks like 2-3” with maybe a spot 4 srn CT to Wrn RI on north. There’s actually very solid southerly lower level inflow in this event relatively speaking compared to the strength of the system. We get about 40 knots out of the south between 850-925. Someone is going to get a weenie stripe of 3-5” IMHO. The NAM has a crosshair sig too over a chunk of SNE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:18 PM We snow. Juicy little critter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 02:23 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:23 PM 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s actually very solid southerly lower level inflow in this event relatively speaking compared to the strength of the system. We get about 40 knots out of the south between 850-925. Someone is going to get a weenie stripe of 3-5” IMHO. The NAM has a crosshair sig too over a chunk of SNE. Reminds me of those events where the precip jack is srn areas where the LLJ converges with land. Ratios will be good, just not sure how much precip here. Sort of lose the punch as you go east and north a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted Sunday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:24 PM 3k Nam pretty thumpy down towards BHB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 02:24 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:24 PM Would be a bonus to score 3-6 if we can pull it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted Sunday at 02:25 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:25 PM All I need is 3.5 to make it the biggest storm of the season - ha. That would be ironic. Unlikely but within the rhelm of possibility. Thinking 1.5-2 here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Sunday at 02:25 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:25 PM 7 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s actually very solid southerly lower level inflow in this event relatively speaking compared to the strength of the system. We get about 40 knots out of the south between 850-925. Someone is going to get a weenie stripe of 3-5” IMHO. The NAM has a crosshair sig too over a chunk of SNE. It wouldn't be terrible if the lift was just a bit stronger. Maybe if the departing cold dome is just a little steeper something can organize into a more intense band. I'm kind of liking the purely WAA driven event up here. Everywhere I look I'm getting snow totals between 1.5 and 3 inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 02:26 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:26 PM 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Reminds me of those events where the precip jack is srn areas where the LLJ converges with land. Ratios will be good, just not sure how much precip here. Sort of lose the punch as you go east and north a bit. Yep max is going to be in CT and maybe adjacent western RI in the southerly facing hills there I bet. I’m expecting 1-2” in eastern areas but once you get back to those more favorable spots, I could see some more 3-4” amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 02:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:28 PM 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Would be a bonus to score 3-6 if we can pull it Prob not gonna snow long enough for 5-6” jackpots. I think some narrow areas will rip for about an hour or two but the whole thing shuts off fairly quickly so that will limit the upside. So I think 3-4” lollis will do it inside a more general 1-3” swath…maybe someone gets super lucky with a 5” fluff jack…maybe Litchfield county or someone who can enhance the precip slightly on southerly flow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Sunday at 02:32 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:32 PM 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Would be a bonus to score 3-6 if we can pull it You could pull this 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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