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February 2025 General Discussion


Spartman
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1 hour ago, bowtie` said:

Why the negative vibes in the tag for this thread? Now in the body of the thread, knock yourself out and be as negative as you like. But to get all sides of every coin to add to the discussion, I think Keeping the thread title bare would be better for adding all posters. 

Spartman often has the deep south in mind when posting lol. February definitely not a certain dumpster fire. Plenty of potential and a much more active pattern than January.

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Yeah like most recent winters, February looks to potentially be the most active month for storms. Definitely a signal after around the 5th of at least some snow chances for the forum. A reminder that we have had winters in the past that look like they were going to be futility winters, and then we have a major rally for snow in February and March. Case in point 22-23 where Madison and Green Bay had ~50 inches of snow accumulate from Feb 14th to April 2nd. We still have quite a bit to go for winter, even if the last week hasn't quite felt like it. 

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February could pass our January snowfall total by tomorrow night. I’ll take a February 2019 repeat please. That month featured 39” of snow here. NWS wants to play ball in the morning AFD. 

All these
events should slowly chip away at the seasonal snow deficit but we
have a lot of ground to make up... We`ll have to do our best
February 2019 impression to make it happen.
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For the 10 year anniversary of the Superbowl snowstorm, I updated the event recap page with another one of our forecasters, and we also the added new graphics for that page to the 2011 GHD Blizzard event recap.

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2015_02_01_WinterStorm

https://www.weather.gov/lot/2011blizzard

eae45648d6be46cfb037d02fbef53881.jpgd267030482cf2a26b0267f11bc020666.jpg227e3cf7dd044ce5a960eda54a074e93.jpg115357be0fdfa5ea9f7f56cd85237854.jpgc2ec6d812c4211427f5b134e392f6e57.jpg02c70931854fe55ca28f39f1fc8c94ee.jpg

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18 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

Picked up a few tenths today. Ground is white again. Might grab another inch tomorrow night but someone a few counties north is going to jackpot 3-5” 

0.8 fell here this morning. Cold dense upper teens mid-winter variety. This system looked better organized on recent model runs than what transpired in the end. 5-6" measured numerous places imby today.

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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Roads were very slick. The ground is still so cold and frozen. Our snowcover had melted a few days ago, other than some piles.

This is the most its looked like deep winter in 2 years. Roughly 4" on the ground (3.2" Friday and a little over 1" today) Might turn to a glacier this week with the big swings 

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40 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said:

This is the most its looked like deep winter in 2 years. Roughly 4" on the ground (3.2" Friday and a little over 1" today) Might turn to a glacier this week with the big swings 

We have had a lot of days since late November with a light amount of snow on the ground, but our peak depth (on multiple days in Jan) was only 4" so far. Last winter was obviously a well discussed mild train wreck, but during the brief spell of deep winter last January we got up to 7" snow depth.

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The models verbatim don't look all that promising right now, but with the impressive baroclinic zone that's appearing to set up, conditions would be ripe for a major winter storm in this subforum (and no, I'm not talking about the ice storm thread) at some point in the next couple of weeks with just a bit of buckling in the upper level pattern.

Meanwhile, I'm loving the 80s and near-record highs we're going to have all week!

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Using the full seasonal average of 63.8 inches for 2024-2025, a total of 659.5 inches should have fallen over this 10-year period. A positive departure of 263.4 inches means 922.9 inches would have fallen, or an average of 92.29 inches per year. So, a 10-year period with a similar positive departure would be a 10-year period where the average annual snowfall was between the value for the 4th & 5th snowiest individual winter on record in Cleveland.

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