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North of the Pike Slop Fest Jan 31-Feb 1


HoarfrostHubb
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9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Perhaps ...  it is the NAM.  Never a bad idea  LOL

That said, it is 36/31 here, however ... I personally fail to see where we are getting warm air into this region above the deck.  The sounding is chilly, suggesting any warmth at all is restricted to the surface to 1200'   Every sigma above is at or below 0C?    'less I'm mistaken. 

Probably fall rates dictate this bad boys distribution -

SW winds 14 mph at ORH last hour.

Quick check upstream: 44/40 at Philly current hour.

This is a cold front passage but oriented N/S rather than E/W but it’s not a back door. 

It’s really warm ahead of it; the temp doesn’t stop rising until the front moves through.

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6 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

SW winds 14 mph at ORH last hour.

Quick check upstream: 44/40 at Philly current hour.

This is a cold front passage but oriented N/S rather than E/W but it’s not a back door. 

It’s really warm ahead of it; the temp doesn’t stop rising until the front moves through.

Like I said ... always a risk with the NAM   lol

 

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okay, so .. having looked at that NAM my self.   The model paints rain, intensity not withstanding ..., through early evening than a change to snow along Rt 2 in N. Ma between 5 and 7 pm.  It may snow moderately at times, but most likely light thereafter through 1am.  Then the whole system mercifully dwindles off into the Atlantic where we can finally never have to talk its irrelevancy again ...  

Not sure what individual expectations are with this thing but the current behavior appears to match the 12z run from what I'm seeing.

 

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2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

2001 brady this year. Not 2007. Dink and dunk. 

Yes, No biggies, But nickel and dime our way to mediocrity, Didn't go north this weekend but just spoke with my friend up there and they got 4" overnight in Eustis, Says its snowing there this morning under dim sun too....lol

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Just now, dendrite said:

Hopefully it’s Saquon with a packless, open field. 

Think of Saquon's record setting number of 60+ yard runs as a double digit snow storm.  I say we get 2-3 of those rest of the season.  But then the dinks/dump offs to Goeddard and Smith will probably continue.  

I think we have a big finish this year, as do the Iggles.

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15 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Think of Saquon's record setting number of 60+ yard runs as a double digit snow storm.  I say we get 2-3 of those rest of the season.  But then the dinks/dump offs to Goeddard and Smith will probably continue.  

I think we have a big finish this year, as do the Iggles.

Think of every 60+ run as a high temp

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13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Actually cheering for you guys. I just feel like KC gets so many breaks.....break their effing hearts next Sunday.

You know...a lot of people said the same about the Pats after a while lol.

In my heart, this is a special Eagles team (similar to the one that beat the Pats), but it is hard to pick against KC.  Birds probably the best team to try to beat them though, because they can win so many ways this year.

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