February Medium/Long Range Thread

[stormtracker]

looks like a 4-7 deal

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

looks like a 4-7 deal

Next

[stormtracker]

I think our realistic max is 10"...and that might be tough

[T. August]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

4 to 6 isn't plentiful lol

Like @stormtracker said, it gets kind of warm. Precip isn’t bad 

[dailylurker]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

That brought everyone back down to earth lol

Not me! I'm pumped lol

[stormtracker]

Just now, ravensrule said:

Next

You're joking, right?

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

You're joking, right?

Obviously, give me 6" and I'm happier than a pig in shit. 

[mappy]

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

Obviously, give me 6" and I'm happier than a pig in shit. 

[DDweatherman]

2 minutes ago, T. August said:

Like @stormtracker said, it gets kind of warm. Precip isn’t bad 

Canadian-ish from the looks of it

[Maestrobjwa]

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

 Precip is plentiful...just the fucking thermals...850 close to DC...32 right on top.

We lose them both by 135...

Man it's that stupid low that came outta nowhere and is now on all 3 globals. See...that kind of random bad luck stuff seems to happen more on weekdays 

[T. August]

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

Canadian-ish from the looks of it

It is. 4-6” would be fine by me. I just want it to be decently heavy at times. Peak snowfall rate imby this year was .8”/hr lol.

[winter_warlock]

5 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

Next

Dude I wouldn't say that !!!  still well over 100 hours till event.. models will change at least 10 times by then lol

[Ji]

why does dr no hate us so much

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, winter_warlock said:

Dude I wouldn't say that !!!  still well over 100 hours till event.. models will change at least 10 times by then lol

That low up there is gonna be a pain I'm telling ya. Seen this too many times (talking about you March 2018)

[DDweatherman]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

That low up there is gonna be a pain I'm telling ya. Seen this too many times (talking about you March 2018)

I’m really not sure it will play a huge role. Sure the gfs is a lot different in that it’s loaded up qpf wise but it’s more about the wavelengths and energy being consolidated. That’s where the differences arise. I think with that, if the euro had 1 consolidated wave the thermals would be a bit better. 

[Ji]

i dont think ive ever seen a piece of technology that hates us so much

[Paleocene]

Just now, Ji said:

i dont think ive ever seen a piece of technology that hates us so much

[HighStakes]

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

That low up there is gonna be a pain I'm telling ya. Seen this too many times (talking about you March 2018)

As of right now doesn't every major model give you 4-8 inches. We're still 100 hours away from the first flake falling. Stop with the negative projection. 

[winter_warlock]

2 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Thsts not bad guys for being the low end..  not ad bad as the doom and gloom I see in here lol

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

2 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Yo that rules.  Stripes us. Let’s go. 

[Swiscaster]

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

i dont think ive ever seen a piece of technology that hates us so much

[Terpeast]

Euro looks like the classic 3-6"/4-7" overrunning event we used to have regularly in the past. CMC more like 2-4" mix, while GFS is a high-end MECS scenario. Probably will verify somewhere in the middle.

[winter_warlock]

4 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Looks like a solid 6" for dc_balt

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

Euro looks like the classic 3-6"/4-7" overrunning event we used to have regularly in the past. CMC more like 2-4" mix, while GFS is a high-end MECS scenario. Probably will verify somewhere in the middle.

So 2-4 low end ( cmc)and 12 to 18(gfs) high end......  thats a good 6 to 12 area wide on average.. id take that!!

[AdamHLG]

January 21, 2016 was a loooooong time ago.  We used to get the big ones every 3 years.  We are at year 9.  At some point one of these needs to deliver 18" plus.  It is time to reset the timer so let's do it already.  I can understand the doom and gloom.  I like snow like the rest of ya, but at some point I want more than 6".    And 6" I might add means it's really 3.5" most of the time by game day.      

[blizzardmeiser]

17 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

You're joking, right?

In our area, 4-6 is always a win.  We aren't Syracuse. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

People that don’t want 6 inches of snow are nuts lol. This is dc. We sometimes go years between 6 inch storms. 

[HighStakes]

2 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

People that don’t want 6 inches of snow are nuts lol. This is dc. We sometimes go years between 6 inch storms. 

Exactly! 6 inches is a solid snowstorm. Even up here it's nothing to sneeze at. For most of this forum 6 inches is a 1/3 of their yearly average.

[Maestrobjwa]

17 minutes ago, HighStakes said:

As of right now doesn't every major model give you 4-8 inches. We're still 100 hours away from the first flake falling. Stop with the negative projection. 

My concern is that low trends stronger as we get closer, and thus things get warmer than this run. I mean yeah as is I'd take that in a second! As long as it doesn't get worse and turn into another advisory slop event like the cmc seems to be heading towards.

[Solution Man]

Let’s take the blend and call it a huge win=8-10.