NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, Ji said: how did we miss thiss https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025020518&fh=66 we've got storm threads for tonight and Saturday if you back out of this thread and click them 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, Ji said: how did we miss thiss https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025020518&fh=66 It's not real, it's TT crappy algo's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 GFS is dry and slides the first slug south. but..let's wait. But it's markedly drier 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS is dry and slides the first slug south. but..let's wait Don't know if that's good for us or bad lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 Just ugly for the first wave...dry and nothing north of DC and even the precip to DC is minuscule Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Junkie Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Dry. South. I’m in the “bad for us” camp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Just ugly for the first wave...dry and nothing north of DC and even the precip to DC is minuscule looks like 4-6" lynchburg to RIC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: looks like 4-6" lynchburg to RIC Yeah, should have mentioned that for those guys. My bad RIC crew! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2nd wave won't have a juice problem... I'm interested but make no promises 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 2nd wave won't have a juice problem... I'm interested but make no promises Men are all alike. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 I will say this...the orientation out west appears better and the precip is further north. Snowing at 12 Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yeah, should have mentioned that for those guys. My bad RIC crew! no other model shows monday snow for us--so i am not sure why we losing panties 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 light snow entering DCA at 138 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 It's going to be a better run 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 mod at 141 - rippage on the doorstep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 Moderate snow 1pm Tuesday 144 hours 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 say it 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 Temps no issues...mod to heavy at 147 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 widespread WSW - SECSy 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 MUCH better. Should calm some folks down 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 It's snow wall to wall for EZF north. RIC Flirts with and mixes 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Such a gut wrenching and exhausting sick hobby. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's snow wall to wall for EZF north. RIC Flirts with and mixes encompasses both events - nothing from Saturday 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 A lot to like about the fact that a 1035-1040 High is to the NW of the Tuesday wave. I'm wondering if the Sun-Mon wave missing us to the south is actually helping us by laying down the track for the Tuesday storm. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 Not gonna steal north's thunder like he's stealing mine! I'll let him give the accumulations stuff. But it's good. Mitch might be meh tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: encompasses both events - nothing from Saturday Maybe something behind this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: encompasses both events - nothing from Saturday Booyah. I'd lock this up and call it a day RIGHT NOW. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: A lot to like about the fact that a 1035-1040 High is to the NW of the Tuesday wave. I'm wondering if the Sun-Mon wave missing us to the south is actually helping us by laying down the track for the Tuesday storm. I'm glad my amateur thinking was in line with an expert When I saw that first wave be that weak I kinda figured the second one would be less disrupted. So back to the weenie rule of rooting for one wave to fail so the next one is even better? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, stormtracker said: Booyah. I'd lock this up and call it a day RIGHT NOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Maybe something behind this It's trying, but I think it's ultimately gonna be shunted south. RIC looks like Rain for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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