February Medium/Long Range Thread

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EPS.  Still lot of good hits here.

[Ji]

WB 0Z EPS.  Still lot of good hits here.

Not as bad as I thought. But the bleeding has to stop

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[Weather Will]

Just now, Ji said:

Not as bad as I thought. But the bleeding has to stop

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EPS basically held steady this run for a moderate snow storm next week.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

NAO remains positive through Day 15.. You guys may say it's not, but what you are looking at is the AO. The NAO is actually SLP calculated between Iceland and the Azores. What's happening for the next 15 days is a "south-based +NAO", and I've run the maps, it goes with warmer than average conditions in the Mid Atlantic and Southeast. This is why 500mb never gets cold. I'm still of the opinion that the coming storms are mostly rain or ice.. we will do well if we exit this +NAO pattern with more than a few inches of snow total. +NAO/-EPO, which is modeled for some of the time, is correlated to icestorms.