wxdude64 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 6 hours ago, psuhoffman said: lol you’re north of the extreme mid level firehose Im talking about on this run too. But I’d be suspect of those crazy totals down in central VA as there’s very likely a mid level warm layer associated with the strong SW h7 winds partially responsible for that crazy precip band. The gfs won’t see it at this range. Remember places in central VA expected 18” before PD2 and got 8” of sleet instead. Remembers well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 12 minutes ago, nj2va said: And for 5,000 years before that, the north trend has always worked. In general, your area is always favored over southern/DC. Hopefully everyone in the forum is happy. You selling Sex Panther by Odeon? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Hard to believe these operational runs in light of the ensembles. That’s probably why we have ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: You selling sex panther? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . You need to get some sleep. This seems to be affecting your mental health. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, Ji said: That’s probably why we have ensembles Gefs at 156hrs are already different from 18z, so they can change fast too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: You selling Sex Panther by Odeon? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . No one is promising you a north trend, all I was trying to say is at 150 hours I think all you can be is content that 20” is possible somewhere within 100 miles of you. You are within the margin of error, even if you might rather be Fredericksburg right now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Gefs at 156hrs are already different from 18z, so they can change fast too. I see it a tick south, but still great for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I see it a tick south, but still great for us Yeah, it decided to dump almost 2" at 162hrs and an inch+ the next 6 hours, so it's almost caught up to 18z. About .5" less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I’d be worrying more about being on the southern end of this envelope but it looks pretty good! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: You selling Sex Panther by Odeon? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . I honestly don’t even understand that reference. Hopefully a week from now, everyone is digging out from a forum wide MECS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I’d be worrying more about being on the southern end of this envelope but it looks pretty good!That’s a bit too north for my liking 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, bncho said: How do you access this panel? Better question 'how do you get the control to come true?' lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Yeah, it decided to dump almost 2" at 162hrs and an inch+ the next 6 hours, so it's almost caught up to 18z. About .5" less.We are all poor at waiting for the run to end lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Now I'm stuck staying up for the Euro. Ughh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, mitchnick said: Now I'm stuck staying up for the Euro. Ughh It will be worth it. Trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, ravensrule said: It will be worth it. Trust me. Better be. I need my beauty rest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: I honestly don’t even understand that reference. Hopefully a week from now, everyone is digging out from a forum wide MECS. Anchorman quote -Sex Panther cologne- “60%of the time it works every time” Yes, hopefully we all cash in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I’ll take half this moisture in snow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 Everybody good now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, stormtracker said: Everybody good now? GEFS was the pacifier...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 nice 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 Just now, DarkSharkWX said: nice Sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Everybody good now?So sleepy can’t keep doing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 WB 0Z GEFS total precip the same for us compared to 18Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 WB 0Z GEFS lot of nice hits still. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 WB 0Z GEFS total precip the same for us compared to 18Z.Sure went up in Tennessee though Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5 Author Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, Ji said: So sleepy can’t keep doing this Another 30 mins. We better get our sleep in...gonna be a long week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 WB 0Z GEFS lot of nice hits still.Too many north solutions for my liking Sent from my SM-A515U using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Euro also norther w/ part 1 - light snow at DCA around 4pm monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 euro is more north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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