Ji Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago There’s just not really a discernible surface low. Guess it’s all overrunning or a stalled front with multiple waves type of a situationIf we had a strong low we might run the risk of a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago If we had a strong low we might run the risk of a cutter Maybe this ends up being like that week we had in Jan ‘24 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Let me be clear, for six years that supposition has NOT worked up this way. You can keep typing it, but please understand that we’ve seen this for years and years now. So, yeah, this kind of hiccup raises some eyebrows up my way. And for 5,000 years before that, the north trend has always worked. In general, your area is always favored over southern/DC. Hopefully everyone in the forum is happy. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Ukie is a miss to central VA but the evolution is different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Hard to believe these operational runs in light of the ensembles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 hours ago, psuhoffman said: lol you’re north of the extreme mid level firehose Im talking about on this run too. But I’d be suspect of those crazy totals down in central VA as there’s very likely a mid level warm layer associated with the strong SW h7 winds partially responsible for that crazy precip band. The gfs won’t see it at this range. Remember places in central VA expected 18” before PD2 and got 8” of sleet instead. Remembers well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 12 minutes ago, nj2va said: And for 5,000 years before that, the north trend has always worked. In general, your area is always favored over southern/DC. Hopefully everyone in the forum is happy. You selling Sex Panther by Odeon? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Hard to believe these operational runs in light of the ensembles. That’s probably why we have ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: You selling sex panther? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . You need to get some sleep. This seems to be affecting your mental health. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, Ji said: That’s probably why we have ensembles Gefs at 156hrs are already different from 18z, so they can change fast too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: You selling Sex Panther by Odeon? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . No one is promising you a north trend, all I was trying to say is at 150 hours I think all you can be is content that 20” is possible somewhere within 100 miles of you. You are within the margin of error, even if you might rather be Fredericksburg right now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Gefs at 156hrs are already different from 18z, so they can change fast too. I see it a tick south, but still great for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I see it a tick south, but still great for us Yeah, it decided to dump almost 2" at 162hrs and an inch+ the next 6 hours, so it's almost caught up to 18z. About .5" less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I’d be worrying more about being on the southern end of this envelope but it looks pretty good! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 9 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: You selling Sex Panther by Odeon? Just bleating north trend is not great meteorology . I honestly don’t even understand that reference. Hopefully a week from now, everyone is digging out from a forum wide MECS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I’d be worrying more about being on the southern end of this envelope but it looks pretty good!That’s a bit too north for my liking 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, bncho said: How do you access this panel? Better question 'how do you get the control to come true?' lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Yeah, it decided to dump almost 2" at 162hrs and an inch+ the next 6 hours, so it's almost caught up to 18z. About .5" less.We are all poor at waiting for the run to end lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Now I'm stuck staying up for the Euro. Ughh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, mitchnick said: Now I'm stuck staying up for the Euro. Ughh It will be worth it. Trust me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, ravensrule said: It will be worth it. Trust me. Better be. I need my beauty rest. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, nj2va said: I honestly don’t even understand that reference. Hopefully a week from now, everyone is digging out from a forum wide MECS. Anchorman quote -Sex Panther cologne- “60%of the time it works every time” Yes, hopefully we all cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I’ll take half this moisture in snow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago Everybody good now? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: Everybody good now? GEFS was the pacifier...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DarkSharkWX Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago nice 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, DarkSharkWX said: nice Sign me up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Everybody good now?So sleepy can’t keep doing this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago WB 0Z GEFS total precip the same for us compared to 18Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago WB 0Z GEFS lot of nice hits still. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now