February Medium/Long Range Thread

[mitchnick]

7 minutes ago, Ji said:

Jb said Ai cancelled the cold pattern for mid February

It changes every 6-hour run. Really. 

[cbmclean]

10 minutes ago, Ji said:

Jb said Ai cancelled the cold pattern for mid February

This has been an odd year, BAM and Eric Webb have often been on the cold hype train; while JB has been a downer.  Next we'll see dogs and cats living together; mass hysteria!!

[Ji]

It changes every 6-hour run. Really. 

You give it a lot of press for a model that changes so much

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

You give it a lot of press for a model that changes so much

 Everybody wants to know what it shows, but aren't really interested enough to figure out those lousy maps. I'll do it. I have nothing else to do except play one of my guitars while I wait to shovel snow.

[Miss Pixee]

8 hours ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z EPS....lot of big hits and several still to the south....

p38 with a dash of street salt, please.

[NorthArlington101]

GFS snowing this Saturday at 108 hours out - moderate snow DC-north at 111. Flip to ice at 114 unless you're in NE MD

[Ji]

Snow starts sat morning on gfs

[Solution Man]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

GFS snowing this Saturday at 108 hours out - moderate snow DC-north at 111.

 Gonna be a nice hit

[Maestrobjwa]

Welcome to CAD week everyone, lol Cadwick Frozeman!

[Ji]

Welcome to CAD week everyone, lol

This is our blowtorch week

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

 Gonna be a nice hit

I think Saturday's upside is a snowier Wednesday/Thursday event... no shot we don't mix seemingly.

^ most of this is "ice"

[Solution Man]

Fireworks on the horizon 

[psuhoffman]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

You give it a lot of press for a model that changes so much

It doesn’t look that bad to me. 2 mid Atlantic snow events and ends with a crazy block. JB is just creating fake drama to get you doing exactly what you’re doing. 

[NorthArlington101]

GFS incoming at 171

hmmm - may be fading out a bit

[Scraff]

Where’s @stormtrackerWe might need some F bombs. 

[Solution Man]

Say it

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Say it

lot going on this run - i wouldn't turn my nose up at it but too messy. Not a folks or a fail

[Solution Man]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

lot going on this run - i wouldn't turn my nose up at it but too messy. Not a folks or a fail

Yep a bit sloppy

[Ji]

lot going on this run - i wouldn't turn my nose up at it but too messy. Not a folks or a fail

That looks horrible.

[NorthArlington101]

Look at all the QPF we hypothetically lose to ice this next week

[Solution Man]

PSU land

[Ji]

I hope this ain’t becoming Feb 2007 when the models had 20 plus inches for days before a last minute shift changed it to a ice storm

[ravensrule]

7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

lot going on this run - i wouldn't turn my nose up at it but too messy. Not a folks or a fail

I’ll take my 6” and be thrilled. 

[Maestrobjwa]

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

lot going on this run - i wouldn't turn my nose up at it but too messy. Not a folks or a fail

Is it just me or do these storms as modeled look weird? It's like CAD after CAD...or whatever you call it. Like multiple trains of this moisture that's right on the barrier temp-wise. Not sure we've seen anything like that in recent years...

[nj2va]

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

I hope this ain’t becoming Feb 2007 when the models had 20 plus inches for days before a last minute shift changed it to a ice storm

Didn’t you just say you wanted a legit ice storm at 23 degrees in the other thread?

[Solution Man]

Round 4 on the way, she gone

[Ji]

Didn’t you just say you wanted a legit ice storm at 23 degrees in the other thread?

Yes after 15 inches of snow has fallen. The gfs ice storm is 31

[Ji]

The ggem looks like it may be a hit

[midatlanticweather]

This was a garbage run! Lots of weird set ups and it mainly misses my backyard! Here we are at the end of the run and the south is cashing in again! Lets hope for better runs.. but when they start taking away snow, they have a hard time stopping! LOL

 

[Ji]

Round 4 on the way, she gone

0-4. Hopefully #5