February Medium/Long Range Thread

[stormtracker]

Pretty map people, do your thang

[Scraff]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

She's a beaut.  Going from these shitty SV maps....looks like 10-15 forum wide...even Mitch gets good, but not as good as down here.  

But not F word worthy? Mmmm. I’ll pass until I get the F word thrown at me. 
 

ETA: The wife just told me to F off with all my snow talk. I guess that counts. 

[mitchnick]

Another incoming. 

[Ji]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

She's a beaut.  Going from these shitty SV maps....looks like 10-15 forum wide...even Mitch gets good, but not as good as down here.  

tropical tidbits hate our guts

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025020318&fh=204

[stormtracker]

Just now, Scraff said:

But not F word worthy? Mmmm. I’ll pass until I get the F word thrown at me. 

Well, it wasn't clear.  Each panel I kept expecting the thermals to give way, but that shit just kept hanging on.  If I knew the cold was secure, it would have been one.

[stormtracker]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Another incoming. 

Well, it looked good..but thermals are the issues.  It's a huge slug of moisture

[stormtracker]

Yeah, it's a rainer

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

tropical tidbits hate our guts

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025020318&fh=204

I'm ignoring it because I don't like it.

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Well, it looked good..but thermals are the issues.  It's a huge slug of moisture

Yeah was gunna post that until I saw this

[aldie 22]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Yeah was gunna post that until I saw this

Winters over

[J.Mike]

1 hour ago, Conway7305 said:

 

That would break our total snowfall record in Richmond if that actually verified…lol 

Don't forget Short Pump 

[mitchnick]

12z had some snow with the follow-up system, so it's not in stone.

[Ji]

Just now, mitchnick said:

12z had some snow with the follow-up system, so it's not in stone.

you dont think a GFS run at 240 hours is in stone?

[midatlanticweather]

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

you dont think a GFS run at 240 hours is in stone?

I'm just going to stop trying to teach you.

[Ji]

It would be fun to get a 15 inch snowstorm and then a severe ice storm on top

[Maestrobjwa]

8 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Hey look a C MD a jack bubble

[clskinsfan]

Another bomb incoming on the 16th. This is lining up to be something historic. 

[stormtracker]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

Another bomb incoming on the 16th. This is lining up to be something historic. 

It's a FOLKS

[mitchnick]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's a FOLKS

Yep

[mitchnick]

Another one more than 1 foot

[Terpeast]

So fun to get a FOLKS in here, whether it pans out or not!

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's a FOLKS

Do tell...don't tease!!  LOL!  Is this something after the rainer event on the 14th (which is just after the snow we get on the 12th)?  Sorry...running a bit slow and haven't seen past the 13-14th yet.

[stormtracker]

Just now, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Do tell...don't tease!!  LOL!  Is this something after the rainer event on the 14th (which is just after the snow we get on the 12th)?  Sorry...running a bit slow and haven't seen past the 13-14th yet.

Well, it's so far away, so it's exciting to see, but we know it'll be gone.   Yes, this is after the 14th.  Looks to be around the 16th

[mitchnick]

Just now, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Do tell...don't tease!!  LOL!  Is this something after the rainer event on the 14th (which is just after the snow we get on the 12th)?  Sorry...running a bit slow and haven't seen past the 13-14th yet.

 

[clskinsfan]

[clskinsfan]

I dont know if I have ever seen as weenie of a run on a weather model. Extended period of multiple shots. 

[mitchnick]

Thru 324hrs

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Well, it's so far away, so it's exciting to see, but we know it'll be gone.   Yes, this is after the 14th.  Looks to be around the 16th

 

Just now, mitchnick said:

 

Thanks to you both.  Yeah, it's waaaay out there of course.  But the key takeaway for me is that we have several waves coming at us within that one week or so period, and there are several indications that we could score a good bit of snow even if one of them is too warm with mainly rain.  And from what I saw, the temps don't exactly torch completely and subsequently cool off again.

[psuhoffman]

Storm 1

storm 2

total