snowmagnet Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:28 PM, NorthArlington101 said: another perspective just showing how clear this threat window is... if it wasn't already clear to the group Expand Yeah- I'm a bit confused about all the pessimism around the 11-13th event. This has been showing up on and off for well over a week, and is getting more and more consistent. Several different ensembles have quite a signal for this range. I know we have been burned many times, and it's rare to have a 10 day signal. But we did in 2016 and Dec 2009, and others. It's not likely going to be a HECS, but it is definitely something worth tracking. Just because the pattern is good after the 20th doesn't mean we can't score a coup before then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 I see the roller coaster is going back up this afternoon... good!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Stolen from discord. 3 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 I think @WxUSAF mentioned wanting to see the next NBM earlier - fwiw... some of this is from the 10th but most is 12th-on 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:47 PM, NorthArlington101 said: I think @WxUSAF mentioned wanting to see the next NBM earlier - fwiw... some of this is from the 10th but most is 12th-on Expand Yup yup. Impressive. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:46 PM, Heisy said: Stolen from discord . Expand That actually causes a bit of discord with me. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:46 PM, Heisy said: Stolen from discord . Expand Move that up 150-200 miles and everybody (especially @Ji) will be a lot happier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:26 PM, NorthArlington101 said: buy! Expand Why didn’t you post the 1114 hr? There was more to come! 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:26 PM, NorthArlington101 said: buy! Expand With cash! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:46 PM, Heisy said: Stolen from discord . Expand Paging @Bob Chill Paging @Bob Chill 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 9:19 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Paging @Bob Chill Paging @Bob Chill Expand 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 9:19 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Paging @Bob Chill Paging @Bob Chill Expand On 2/3/2025 at 9:19 PM, Ralph Wiggum said: Paging @Bob Chill Paging @Bob Chill Expand That would break our total snowfall record in Richmond if that actually verified…lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Looks like the pattern breaks down mid March. Which is perfect timing imo. Maybe we will get a real spring this year after a historic 4-5 week period of winter? 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 9:41 PM, clskinsfan said: Looks like the pattern breaks down mid March. Which is perfect timing imo. Maybe we will get a real spring this year after a historic 4-5 week period of winter? Expand I don’t think anybody would complain about that. We might be sick of winter by the time mid March rolls around. Nah will be looking for one more round. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 9:02 PM, bncho said: Move that up 150-200 miles and everybody (especially @Ji) will be a lot happier. Expand Right there is perfect lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:40 PM, WxUSAF said: 18” at BWI over that period is about 175% of climo. Expand I’ve never seen the mean look like that. Even after the crazy ridiculous week 2, weeks 3-4-5 are about as snowy as I’ve ever seen a 7 day mean on the weeklies. It finally breaks around March 15. 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 GFS still doing something with the 9th....wintry...but gonna go to rain...looks like the midweek thing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 8:28 PM, aldie 22 said: reversed fringedOn 1000 hour clown maps. May nudge a hair id say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Precip is approaching for the 12th, but temps out front are too encouraging. Snow in the area Tuesday evening. CAD entrenched but looks to be retreating? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 CAD holding so far. Moderate snow Tuesday night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Destruction early Wed AM..like 1am or so. HEavy snow, but thermals about to give way 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Well shit...thermals still hanging on in the next panel...it's close tho. I'm talking like snow line cuts through like Charles County from SW to NE 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Snow line drops a bit south believe it or not on the next panel. If this is all snow, it's gonna be pretty good 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Precip still there, but light and pulling away...thermals finally starting to give way, but the damage appears to have been done at that point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 1042 High in southern Ontario is a lifesaver. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 She's a beaut. Going from these shitty SV maps....looks like 10-15 forum wide...even Mitch gets good, but not as good as down here. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 3 Author Share Posted February 3 Pretty map people, do your thang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 10:32 PM, stormtracker said: She's a beaut. Going from these shitty SV maps....looks like 10-15 forum wide...even Mitch gets good, but not as good as down here. Expand But not F word worthy? Mmmm. I’ll pass until I get the F word thrown at me. ETA: The wife just told me to F off with all my snow talk. I guess that counts. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 Another incoming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 3 Share Posted February 3 On 2/3/2025 at 10:32 PM, stormtracker said: She's a beaut. Going from these shitty SV maps....looks like 10-15 forum wide...even Mitch gets good, but not as good as down here. Expand tropical tidbits hate our guts https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025020318&fh=204 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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