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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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On 2/1/2025 at 4:10 PM, mitchnick said:

Euro site.  I'll  post yesterday's on top and today's on the bottom for weeks 2, 3, 4 and 6. Week 5 was similar. 

 

 

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This post from Saturday compared the change from Friday. Yesterday's were even colder. Instead of posting all the maps, here's a link to the weeklies. You can see the incredible change starting week 2 with now below normal over a large area of the Conus. And there are no longer any weeks AN. Don't freak over week 1, as it has looked that way for days. 

https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202502020000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202502100000

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this retrograding and decaying Scandi block along with the elongated TPV is often a precursor to some of our larger storms, historically. there are risks before this occurs, mainly around the 8th and 12th, but there's certainly a window for a more prototypical coastal storm between the 18-23rd

06a5d435-1615-4540-8d3d-4f99bc291613.thumb.gif.4c8d15e98bca65a494b106249e6dfc2f.gif

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1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this retrograding and decaying Scandi block along with the elongated TPV is often a precursor to some of our larger storms, historically. there are risks before this occurs, mainly around the 8th and 12th, but there's certainly a window for a more prototypical coastal storm between the 18-23rd

06a5d435-1615-4540-8d3d-4f99bc291613.thumb.gif.4c8d15e98bca65a494b106249e6dfc2f.gif

psu has been saying that before the 20th may be too soon (not that we would not take anything we get lucky with).. so that lines up better.. regardless, looking good

 

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3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

I have to drive to NW New Jersey on the 11th for a meeting on the 12th. Hopefully they still know how to clear the Jersey turnpike. All 3 ensembles look pretty dang good to my old eyes

Nice knowin' ya'!

J/k...you'll be fine. :yikes:

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