February Medium/Long Range Thread

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

00z GFS even souther and more diffuse - gonna be a different outcome. 

Mixed precip moves in in earnest around 1am - earlier runs today had stuff in the area closer to noon

[NorthArlington101]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Mixed precip moves in in earnest around 1am - earlier runs today had stuff in the area closer to noon

Ice goes further south, colder, probably more impactful since it’s overnight. Maybe a little lighter on the precip totals but made up for by chill/timing. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Wow big ice storm for MD on the GFS!

[Ji]

Mixed precip moves in in earnest around 1am - earlier runs today had stuff in the area closer to noon

Lots of zr before sunrise

[nj2va]

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, nj2va said:

Washes away but interesting run for sure. I’d feel pretty good about something if I wasn’t in the city, and if things keep trending towards the GFS maybe the blind squirrel found a nut. 
 

thread?

[rjvanals]

Canadian is also a ice storm 

[Maestrobjwa]

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Washes away but interesting run for sure. I’d feel pretty good about something if I wasn’t in the city, and if things keep trending towards the GFS maybe the blind squirrel found a nut. 
 

thread?

When it comes to ice, with me being in the city (northern portion of it), I never know how to guage an ice threat beforehand and whether it could actually be a problem even here.

[nj2va]

8 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Washes away but interesting run for sure. I’d feel pretty good about something if I wasn’t in the city, and if things keep trending towards the GFS maybe the blind squirrel found a nut. 
 

thread?

I’m skeptical at best for anything meaningful here but favored areas are a different story.  But even there, I don’t think this is going to be some kind of major ice storm.

Might as well make a thread.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Looks like 1" of QPF, 85-90% frozen here on the GFS. 

[Chris78]

Another ice event for the weekend.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Just now, Chris78 said:

Another ice event for the weekend.

Shades of 1994

[Ralph Wiggum]

We lost the Feb 9 analfront thing on the 0z gfs.

[stormtracker]

Well, the SuperBowl storm is gone

[Solution Man]

Brewing @ 195

[stormtracker]

The 12th event...still there approaching

[stormtracker]

CAD look solid..some light snow in the area

[nj2va]

Should be more frozen in DC this run 

[stormtracker]

CAD still holding...light snow still..heaviest to the south

[stormtracker]

yeah, CAD holding well.  Heavy snow down toward Central VA and  RIC

[Solution Man]

Gonna be pretty nice

[ravensrule]

20 minutes ago, nj2va said:

I’m skeptical at best for anything meaningful here but favored areas are a different story.  But even there, I don’t think this is going to be some kind of major ice storm.

Might as well make a thread.

Thread has been given. I believe my first one ever. Bodes well for slippery when wet. 

[stormtracker]

Seems like a pre curser of a heavier slug out west.  moderate snows at 9z on the 12th

[Solution Man]

Keep her rolling 

[stormtracker]

moderate snows still on the next panel..looks like some sort of coastal is trying to going.

[stormtracker]

surface fzg gets to DC...on the cusp of a mix

[Solution Man]

She’s a beaut

[stormtracker]

DC diving line between snow/mix/rain at 18z...moderate...something at that hour

[stormtracker]

heading out at 21z...DC warms above 32..0z line at the M/D line

[Solution Man]