February Medium/Long Range Thread

[ravensrule]

16 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I am almost sure I am going to see plenty of more snow....

 

 

because I'll be in Vermont 4 of the next 6 weekends 

Dude, I'm getting too old to see something so small. 

[mitchnick]

Just now, ravensrule said:

Dude, I'm getting too old to see something so small. 

I bet you hear that from your wife all the time!

 

Set yourself up for that one! 

[adelphi_sky]

18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I am almost sure I am going to see plenty of more snow....

 

 

because I'll be in Vermont 4 of the next 6 weekends 

....online. 

[stormy]

28 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I am almost sure I am going to see plenty of more snow....

 

 

because I'll be in Vermont 4 of the next 6 weekends 

I agree, March usually produces big totals, especially at Spruce Knob.

[NorthArlington101]

The AccuWeather 45-day forecast says we’re done here 

[CAPE]

6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

The AccuWeather 45-day forecast says we’re done here 

And...no one cares about whackUweather.

[NorthArlington101]

5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

And...no one cares about whackUweather.

was intended as a joke 

[Ji]

It’s too cold to snow multiple times was not on my globar warning bingo card

[CAPE]

30 minutes ago, Ji said:

It’s too cold to snow multiple times was not on my globar warning bingo card

Its not 'too cold' to snow. We don't have a hyper continental climate. We do cold and dry/mild and wet pattern cycles quite efficiently though.

[psuhoffman]

1 hour ago, ravensrule said:

Dude, I'm getting too old to see something so small. 

Must make it hard to aim 

[Wintrest]

9 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Its not 'too cold' to snow. We don't have a hyper continental climate. We do cold and dry/mild and wet pattern cycles quite efficiently though.

Maybe too cold (and dry) for a relatively low energy system to build the strength displace a behemoth. This cold air mass was not letting any scrubs through… the gatekeeper.

[CAPE]

7 minutes ago, Wintrest said:

Maybe too cold (and dry) for a relatively low energy system to build the strength displace a behemoth. This cold air mass was not letting any scrubs through… the gatekeeper.

If that's what he is specifically referring to, then yes the strength and depth of this cold airmass with a southward suppressed thermal boundary was not conducive to a weakish, flat, southern stream wave doing anything other than what it did- moving west to east and exiting the coast well to our south.

[CAPE]

As of now, this window looks like maybe the best chance for something wintry- in the form of a southern stream shortwave ejecting eastward and riding the thermal boundary just to our south with cold air pressing.

[Daniel Boone]

2 hours ago, mitchnick said:

Here it is. Plenty cold over the country. Here's an 850 map. Notice a reinforcing shot of cold in Canada too.

It's not showing the Cuban Cigar heat ridge the other's are by then.

[clskinsfan]

6 minutes ago, CAPE said:

As of now, this window looks like the maybe the best chance for something wintry- in the form of a southern stream shortwave ejecting eastward and riding the thermal boundary just to our south with cold air pressing.

Fringed again. For everyone here. Just end it. 

[clskinsfan]

Funniest shit ever. We went from like 200 people in this thread. To 38.  Bwahhahhhahasa!

[joeride]

 

[Ji]

13 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Funniest shit ever. We went from like 200 people in this thread. To 38.  Bwahhahhhahasa!

the facebook weather pages are taking huge hits in terms of reach,views. Its ova bro. Time for the redskins offseason

I am sure we will track one more event though..at some point we have to cash in on being N and W

[Ji]

@psuhoffmanhow bad is the state college snow drought?

[psuhoffman]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

@psuhoffmanhow bad is the state college snow drought?

Pretty bad, about the same as mind wrt climo but they’re in a valley so they’ve had even less of those nice little upslope enhanced 4-6” marginal events. 

[87storms]

 

My winter gut is, too. I’m not opposed to warmer weather at this point so I can get more cardio in. I’ve got one more snowstorm left, but very open to the upcoming “relatively” milder stretch.

[CAPE]

This is probably the most likely period overall for something interesting to occur.

[mitchnick]

End of the 18z AI run. Maybe...we'll see.

[Ji]

End of the 18z AI run. Maybe...we'll see.

This needs work

[snowfan]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

@psuhoffmanhow bad is the state college snow drought?

 

[mitchnick]

22 minutes ago, Ji said:

This needs work

Not work, cold air!

[mitchnick]

Little tropical action maybe on the AI too for 3/5.

[Ji]

 

Thanks. It’s actually not bad bad as I thought but need our neighbors to our north to be more successful so we have a chance it seems

[psuhoffman]

Just now, Ji said:

Thanks. It’s actually not bad bad as I thought but need our neighbors to our north to be more successful so we have a chance it seems

That seems bad to me. When I was there over 20 years ago “normal” was just under 50”. Over the last 20 years it looks like they haven’t had anymore snow than me here. 

[winter_warlock]

4 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

The AccuWeather 45-day forecast says we’re done here 

Accuweather forecasts are about as accurate  as the CRAS model  lol