Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 12:50 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:50 AM -AO popping back on models (Arctic circle). Transitions to -EPO. We also have +PNA because of the MJO. This Winter has wanted to stay cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted yesterday at 12:51 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:51 AM 10 minutes ago, Ji said: I was watching a DT video a couple of days ago and he mentioned one reason to go against the storm is because it wasn’t falling on a weekend and all our big storms have been weekend storms. Is that a thing Yeah it failed the weekend storm criteria and I kept quiet about that Don't go against the weekend rule 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 12:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:53 AM -AO popping back on models (Arctic circle). Transitions to -EPO. We also have +PNA because of the MJO. This Winter has wanted to stay cold. Let’s go then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted yesterday at 12:53 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:53 AM 5 minutes ago, Ji said: 18z upgraded ai I thought it wasn't getting upgraded until Feb 25?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 12:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:55 AM 1 minute ago, Ji said: Let’s go then I probably wouldn't make any snow calls, but it is going to be hard to warm up much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted yesterday at 12:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:56 AM Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: I probably wouldn't make any snow calls, but it is going to be hard to warm up much. So you're saying, we're getting snow on Feb 28?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted yesterday at 01:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:01 AM 4 minutes ago, ravensrule said: So you're saying, we're getting snow on Feb 28?. 18z GEFS drops blue's over us 4 times in the medium-long range https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/ENSHGTAVGNH_18z/ensloopmref.html I mean, it might snow, but I wouldn't say anything too significant I guess. Let's also see if it holds. -EPO is a good pattern, showing up at Days 9-15. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 01:03 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:03 AM I thought it wasn't getting upgraded until Feb 25?. Well….surprise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Benjamn3 Posted yesterday at 01:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:22 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM 37 minutes ago, Ji said: 18z upgraded ai That storm on day 9/10 goes mainly to our west this run and gives us some snow on the back side....yeah right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 01:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:29 AM 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: Is your pattern back? It never left. I was focused on the threat in front of us and didn’t want to engage with the “the sky is falling” takes because we got a temporary relax for a few days. I get it. It’s toward the end of winter so every day lost is magnified. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 01:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:32 AM 3 minutes ago, mitchnick said: That storm on day 9/10 goes mainly to our west this run and gives us some snow on the back side....yeah right. Don’t we want it too amplified at that range? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted yesterday at 01:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:32 AM 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It never left. I was focused on the threat in front of us and didn’t want to engage with the “the sky is falling” takes because we got a temporary relax for a few days. I get it. It’s toward the end of winter so every day lost is magnified. Valid - wasn't sure from people's "sky is falling" takes if the relax was actually temporary. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted yesterday at 01:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:35 AM Just now, psuhoffman said: Don’t we want it too amplified at that range? I don't know what we want on models anymore, except for consistency and accuracy, and that ain't happening any time soon. Honestly, I'm done with winter. If it snows it snows, if it doesn't it doesn't. I'm tired of wasting money to heat my house. Bring on the warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted yesterday at 01:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:37 AM 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted yesterday at 01:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:37 AM 48 minutes ago, Ji said: I was watching a DT video a couple of days ago and he mentioned one reason to go against the storm is because it wasn’t falling on a weekend and all our big storms have been weekend storms. Is that a thing Wow. He's right. https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/ten-worst-storms-in-dc-history/60569/ Jan 22-24, 2016 - Friday to Sunday Snowmageddon - Friday to Saturday Blizzard of 1996- Saturday to Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 01:38 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:38 AM 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Valid - wasn't sure from people's "sky is falling" takes if the relax was actually temporary. Thanks! The extreme to which the TPV got displaced this week actually lead to a pinwheel of the whole pattern and a temporary break for a few days before everything cycles around again. I did not, nor could anyone really, have seen that coming. But the warm few days is just a temporary thing in the larger cold period as things reshuffle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM 4 minutes ago, mitchnick said: I don't know what we want on models anymore, except for consistency and accuracy, and that ain't happening any time soon. Honestly, I'm done with winter. If it snows it snows, if it doesn't it doesn't. I'm tired of wasting money to heat my house. Bring on the warmth. You're just "done" and I totally get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 01:42 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:42 AM 5 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: Wow. He's right. https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/ten-worst-storms-in-dc-history/60569/ Jan 22-24, 2016 - Friday to Sunday Snowmageddon - Friday to Saturday Blizzard of 1996- Saturday to Monday don't start that shit again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted yesterday at 02:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:04 AM 26 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: Wow. He's right. https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/ten-worst-storms-in-dc-history/60569/ Jan 22-24, 2016 - Friday to Sunday Snowmageddon - Friday to Saturday Blizzard of 1996- Saturday to Monday feb 28 is a friday so to my weenie eyes its a lock, especially with the S/E trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 02:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:18 AM Watch the least hyped window of season be the one that delivers 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted yesterday at 02:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:20 AM don't start that shit again I think mitchnivk had a theory on this years ago with less things atmospherically happening on weekends due to less workers or something. I forgot the actual details Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted yesterday at 02:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:25 AM 4 minutes ago, Ji said: I think mitchnivk had a theory on this years ago with less things atmospherically happening on weekends due to less workers or something. I forgot the actual details Every time the Eagles have won the super bowl its been on a weekend! Crazy right 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted yesterday at 04:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:18 AM Not sure what it will do, but the tpv might make a farther SE press this run out ahead of any wave day 9-10…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted yesterday at 04:23 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:23 AM Hmmmm, this actually looks really good . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted yesterday at 04:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:32 AM Might be a big hit this run, watch this wave be the one that gets the job done after everyone has jumped ship lol . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted yesterday at 04:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:35 AM More incoming lol, I know it’s far out, this wave has me intrigued. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted yesterday at 04:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:36 AM HECS . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted yesterday at 04:36 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:36 AM 5 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Ok now it’s trolling me 1 minute ago, Heisy said: More incoming lol, I know it’s far out, this wave has me intrigued. . And the trend already begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted yesterday at 04:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:37 AM Just now, Heisy said: HECS . Color us skeptical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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