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February Medium/Long Range Thread


stormtracker
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2 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

To say that's disappointing is a understatement. Seems like it's not just the progression of Wednesday's storm that fell apart on guidance.

Tbh I never really bought into the favorable pattern going all the way to mid march. I had it going to march 1 maybe 2, before it warmed up. Now the warm up is coming a week earlier, but it may be a brief warmup. It may get cold again after that, but I don’t know how favorable that pattern would be for snow. 

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5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Ready for 70F. I’m not normally one to ever wish for winter to end, but I’m ready for some sunshine and outdoor activities.

Whoa! Folding a bit quick no? LOL We have plenty of that weather to come. Let’s get 1 more winter wonderland here before we hit the whole “wave the white flag” vibe. B)

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Just now, Scraff said:

Whoa! Folding a bit quick no? LOL We have plenty of that weather to come. Let’s get 1 more winter wonderland here before we hit the whole “wave the white flag” vibe. B)

That’s what I thought this week would be! Cap off winter with a cold MECS! Or a few wind blown flurries…

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Welp, I guess that's that for this winter barring a miracle comeback. 

This winter was a mixed bag for me. I am glad it looked and felt like winter most of the time. We had true cold air to work with all season, and warm-ups were the exception not the rule. You'd have cold, brief warm intrusion, then cold--polar opposite of years like 22-23, lol After all the "too warm" discussions we've had...this time winter felt like winter. I mean we actually had a snowpack for almost the entire month of January--when's the last time that happened? This winter was no where near as hopelessly nina as any of us thought it would be. Even February wasn't a complete torch, lol That too warm thread was abandoned this year :lol:

Now, while this winter gets an A+ for a winter atmosphere with consistent cold and snowpack, the results were downright mediocre for my yard. Fringed over and over again, smh I was hoping this would be the year I finally broke the streak of not getting at least a 6" snowfall. But alas...Baltimore's rough stretch continues. If this week's threat doesn't come back, this would be the 6th year in a row I didn't even get to median let alone average. The last 9 years have been below typical climo (so for those thinking my expectations are "unrealistic"...I'd like to think all of you would expect your climo. I do, and it just hasn't gotten there for quite awhile.)

So, my overall grade: B-.

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19 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

18z GEFS has a real warm pattern setting up at h384, early March.. early Spring-like if it holds with -PNA and +NAO

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Probably shoot straight to 90 degrees with 72 dews and scorching sun in Texas in early March. Winter has sure been freezing COLD! Lawn is primed, we have had 7 inches of rain already this year and some of the grass is already 14 inches tall. Mower is shot and I am super POOR and fresh out of money. Might have to pull it by hand lmao. Been wishing for warmth. I'm gonna get my wish.

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4 minutes ago, Jebman said:

Probably shoot straight to 90 degrees with 72 dews and scorching sun in Texas in early March. Winter has sure been freezing COLD! Lawn is primed, we have had 7 inches of rain already this year and some of the grass is already 14 inches tall. Mower is shot and fresh out of money. Might have to pull it by hand lmao. Been wishing for warmth. I'm gonna get my wish.

Yeah an above average temp pattern looks highly probable for Texas in early March with those upper latitude patterns. Save your money up! The La Nina is still holding on and that means the Midwest could have an active tornado season this Spring, too. :) 

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